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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers62%10090
20Jazz38%9687
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.5
46.8
36.6
14
44%
11
1
0
1
0
5
3
8
3-4
75%
4-13
6-11
31%
53%
1-1
100%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.4
42.6
37.3
40
56%
8
4
1
1
1
3
1
7
11-11
100%
13-28
9-18
46%
49%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.2
39.7
32.1
12
41%
9
2
1
1
5
3
3
6
2-4
50%
5-13
6-11
38%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.4
36.4
21.8
2
20%
2
7
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.8
27.7
27.0
11
92%
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
54%
1-1
100%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.9
18.9
25.9
3
75%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.2
15.7
17.6
2
17%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
14.8
12.5
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
13.1
3.1
4
100%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
9.3
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.7
14.4
0
1-2
50%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
7.3
0
1-1
42%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.9
5.4
0
0-1
46%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.9
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.0
43.3
33.7
11
31%
11
1
1
1
3
1
2
9
1-2
50%
5-17
8-16
29%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 26.9
41.2
26.8
29
58%
9
1
3
1
0
1
2
7
1-2
50%
14-24
5-9
58%
53%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.3
33.5
18.8
7
88%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.9
30.7
28.6
3
21%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.8
20.4
26.7
2
14%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-2
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.7
33.9
23.3
18
56%
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
4-5
80%
4-11
3-7
36%
45%
2-3
67%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.6
22.3
17.5
4
35%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-2
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
15.5
15.6
4
31%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.5
11.8
21.8
4
40%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.6
9.7
11.4
3
80%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.5
2.8
11.7
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.2
2.0
0
0-0
53%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 33.9
1.8
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.