FinalWin Prob.pScore
147%101
89
653%102
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
89.0100108.4
LAC logo LAC
94.110178.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAC
OT1 - 0:00.0LAC89
0%
95
100%
OT1 - 0:05.0LACButler Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)89
0.1%
95
99.9%
OT1 - 0:05.0LACJordan 3' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)89
0.1%
94
99.9%
OT1 - 0:13.0LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)89
2.6%
92
97.4%
OT1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
3.9%
92
96.1%
OT1 - 0:21.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)89
10.3%
92
89.7%
OT1 - 0:22.0LACMISS Griffin 21' Jump Shot89
7.7%
92
92.3%
OT1 - 0:45.0LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)89
7.5%
92
92.5%
OT1 - 0:48.0MIAJordan BLOCK (6 BLK)89
9.7%
92
90.3%
OT1 - 1:08LACGriffin 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)89
18.6%
92
81.4%
OT1 - 1:25MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 7 AST)89
30.6%
90
69.4%
OT1 - 1:30MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
13.9%
90
86.1%
OT1 - 1:31MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
9.8%
90
90.2%
OT1 - 1:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)86
15.0%
90
85.0%
OT1 - 1:45LACMISS Paul 6' Floating Jump Shot86
13.2%
90
86.8%
OT1 - 2:05LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
9.2%
90
90.8%
OT1 - 2:06MIAMISS James 3' Layup86
11.0%
90
89.0%
OT1 - 2:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)86
16.7%
90
83.3%
OT1 - 2:08MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot86
11.0%
90
89.0%
OT1 - 2:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
16.9%
90
83.1%
OT1 - 2:17LACMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot86
14.0%
90
86.0%
OT1 - 2:37LACJordan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)86
8.9%
90
91.1%
OT1 - 2:39MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot86
10.8%
90
89.2%
OT1 - 3:08LACJordan 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)86
18.6%
90
81.4%
OT1 - 3:29MIABillups STEAL (2 STL)86
23.3%
88
76.7%
OT1 - 3:33LACPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)86
37.4%
88
62.6%
OT1 - 3:49LACButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
27.9%
88
72.1%
OT1 - 3:50MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot86
30.6%
88
69.4%
OT1 - 4:08LACBillups Foul Turnover (P4.T15)86
36.9%
88
63.1%
OT1 - 4:25LACBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
27.5%
88
72.5%
OT1 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot86
30.2%
88
69.8%
OT1 - 4:42LACButler 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)86
36.7%
88
63.3%
OT1 - 5:00LACJump Ball Billups vs. James: Tip to Paul86
45.3%
86
54.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)86
40.5%
86
59.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 285
31.3%
86
68.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Rebound85
43.5%
86
56.5%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 285
20.1%
86
79.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)85
32.4%
86
67.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0LACBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)84
23.8%
86
76.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0LACBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)84
25.0%
85
75.0%
Q4 - 0:27.0LACBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)84
26.6%
84
73.4%
Q4 - 0:32.0LACJordan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
60.3%
83
39.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot84
67.3%
83
32.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
74.3%
83
25.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0LACMISS Paul 11' Jump Bank Shot84
69.7%
83
30.3%
Q4 - 1:21MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
57.7%
83
42.3%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 283
54.8%
83
45.2%
Q4 - 1:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
58.3%
83
41.7%
Q4 - 1:40LACMISS Griffin 21' Jump Shot83
53.8%
83
46.2%
Q4 - 2:00MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)83
44.1%
83
55.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 282
42.0%
83
58.0%
Q4 - 2:00MIAHeat Rebound82
45.1%
83
54.9%
Q4 - 2:01LACMISS Butler 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
42.3%
83
57.7%
Q4 - 2:16MIAJames Foul Turnover (P5.T17)82
31.1%
83
68.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
48.5%
83
51.5%
Q4 - 2:30LACMISS Paul 6' Jump Shot82
42.9%
83
57.1%
Q4 - 2:44LACCLIPPERS Rebound82
30.9%
83
69.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup82
36.0%
83
64.0%
Q4 - 2:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)82
48.8%
83
51.2%
Q4 - 2:50LACMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
43.0%
83
57.0%
Q4 - 2:55LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
33.1%
83
66.9%
Q4 - 2:57LACMISS Griffin 4' Jump Shot82
43.0%
83
57.0%
Q4 - 3:13MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)82
32.7%
83
67.3%
Q4 - 3:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)82
48.3%
83
51.7%
Q4 - 3:28LACMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
43.3%
83
56.7%
Q4 - 3:37LACJordan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)82
36.4%
83
63.6%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot82
39.3%
83
60.7%
Q4 - 4:01LACButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)82
46.3%
83
53.7%
Q4 - 4:17MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)82
64.4%
80
35.6%
Q4 - 4:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)81
62.6%
80
37.4%
Q4 - 4:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
55.9%
80
44.1%
Q4 - 4:34LACMISS Butler 4' Layup80
52.7%
80
47.3%
Q4 - 4:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
45.3%
80
54.7%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 279
43.3%
80
56.7%
Q4 - 4:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
46.2%
80
53.8%
Q4 - 4:59LACMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
42.9%
80
57.1%
Q4 - 5:09LACJordan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
37.6%
80
62.4%
Q4 - 5:17MIAMISS Wade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot79
40.2%
80
59.8%
Q4 - 5:30LACJump Ball Butler vs. Haslem: Tip to Bosh79
46.3%
80
53.7%
Q4 - 5:49MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
37.5%
80
62.5%
Q4 - 5:49MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 278
35.9%
80
64.1%
Q4 - 6:03LACPaul 15' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)78
39.2%
80
60.8%
Q4 - 6:19LACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
46.2%
78
53.8%
Q4 - 6:23MIAJordan BLOCK (5 BLK)78
48.6%
78
51.4%
Q4 - 6:52MIAHeat Rebound78
68.5%
76
31.5%
Q4 - 6:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)78
61.2%
76
38.8%
Q4 - 6:52MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 277
59.7%
76
40.3%
Q4 - 6:53MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
61.6%
76
38.4%
Q4 - 6:55LACMISS Billups 7' Jump Shot77
59.2%
76
40.8%
Q4 - 7:11MIAPaul STEAL (3 STL)77
53.4%
76
46.6%
Q4 - 7:18LACEvans Foul Turnover (P2.T13)77
60.8%
76
39.2%
Q4 - 7:31MIAJames 3' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)77
53.4%
76
46.6%
Q4 - 7:43LACBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)75
47.0%
76
53.0%
Q4 - 8:03MIACole Foul Turnover (P2.T14)75
40.9%
76
59.1%
Q4 - 8:09LACFoye 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)75
47.0%
76
53.0%
Q4 - 8:22LACJordan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
53.5%
74
46.5%
Q4 - 8:24MIAJordan BLOCK (4 BLK)75
55.4%
74
44.6%
Q4 - 8:35LACWilliams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)75
59.7%
74
40.3%
Q4 - 8:41LACEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
53.5%
74
46.5%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot75
55.4%
74
44.6%
Q4 - 9:04LACWilliams 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)75
58.9%
74
41.1%
Q4 - 9:25MIAHaslem 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)75
64.7%
72
35.3%
Q4 - 9:40LACJordan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)73
58.9%
72
41.1%
Q4 - 10:02MIABosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)73
52.6%
72
47.4%
Q4 - 10:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
47.0%
72
53.0%
Q4 - 10:11LACMISS Williams 14' Floating Jump Shot71
45.3%
72
54.7%
Q4 - 10:44LACEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
41.4%
72
58.6%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot71
43.1%
72
56.9%
Q4 - 11:00LACButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)71
47.0%
72
53.0%
Q4 - 11:00LACButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
47.8%
71
52.2%
Q4 - 11:22MIAWade 5' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)71
52.3%
70
47.7%
Q4 - 11:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
46.8%
70
53.2%
Q4 - 11:33LACMISS Paul 6' Jump Shot69
45.3%
70
54.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAC69
41.7%
70
58.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0LACCLIPPERS Rebound69
41.7%
70
58.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0LACMISS Paul 15' Running Jump Shot69
45.3%
70
54.7%
Q3 - 0:07.0LACEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
42.2%
70
57.8%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
43.6%
70
56.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0LACJordan 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)69
46.8%
70
53.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)69
52.3%
68
47.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0LACPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)67
46.8%
68
53.2%
Q3 - 1:04MIAJames 4' Layup (15 PTS)67
56.8%
65
43.2%
Q3 - 1:17LACPaul 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)65
51.6%
65
48.4%
Q3 - 1:25LACEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)65
56.8%
63
43.2%
Q3 - 1:29LACMISS Butler 4' Jump Shot65
59.9%
63
40.1%
Q3 - 1:36LACJordan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
56.8%
63
43.2%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Haslem 9' Jump Shot65
58.2%
63
41.8%
Q3 - 1:46LACGriffin Foul Turnover (P2.T9)65
61.3%
63
38.7%
Q3 - 1:58MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)65
56.8%
63
43.2%
Q3 - 2:21LACButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)65
60.5%
63
39.5%
Q3 - 2:40LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
69.0%
60
31.0%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot65
70.3%
60
29.7%
Q3 - 3:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
72.1%
60
27.9%
Q3 - 3:09LACMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
70.9%
60
29.1%
Q3 - 3:25MIABattier 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)65
68.2%
60
31.8%
Q3 - 3:44LACButler 21' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)63
64.4%
60
35.6%
Q3 - 4:02LACEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
67.2%
58
32.8%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS James 7' Turnaround Jump Shot63
68.6%
58
31.4%
Q3 - 4:20MIAJames Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
71.6%
58
28.4%
Q3 - 4:20MIAMISS James Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 262
70.7%
58
29.3%
Q3 - 4:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
67.9%
58
32.1%
Q3 - 4:22LACMISS Griffin 4' Dunk62
66.6%
58
33.4%
Q3 - 4:30LACCLIPPERS Rebound62
63.4%
58
36.6%
Q3 - 4:31MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 162
64.0%
58
36.0%
Q3 - 4:49LACPaul 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)60
60.0%
58
40.0%
Q3 - 5:00LACEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
63.4%
56
36.6%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
64.0%
56
36.0%
Q3 - 5:10LACBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
66.9%
56
33.1%
Q3 - 5:10LACBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
67.2%
55
32.8%
Q3 - 5:30LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
70.1%
54
29.9%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot60
71.3%
54
28.7%
Q3 - 5:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
73.9%
54
26.1%
Q3 - 5:40LACMISS Griffin 9' Jump Shot60
72.8%
54
27.2%
Q3 - 6:02MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)60
69.4%
54
30.6%
Q3 - 6:05LACBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)58
66.2%
54
33.8%
Q3 - 6:15LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
62.2%
54
37.8%
Q3 - 6:17MIAGriffin BLOCK (1 BLK)58
63.4%
54
36.6%
Q3 - 6:38LACGriffin 3' Running Layup (18 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)58
66.2%
54
33.8%
Q3 - 6:57MIAChalmers 7' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)58
69.4%
52
30.6%
Q3 - 6:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
66.2%
52
33.8%
Q3 - 7:01MIAJordan BLOCK (3 BLK)56
62.4%
52
37.6%
Q3 - 7:24LACButler 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)56
65.1%
52
34.9%
Q3 - 7:48MIABosh 1' Layup (13 PTS)56
68.3%
50
31.7%
Q3 - 7:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
65.1%
50
34.9%
Q3 - 7:54LACMISS Griffin 22' Jump Shot54
64.0%
50
36.0%
Q3 - 8:05MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)54
60.9%
50
39.1%
Q3 - 8:20LACPaul 3' Driving Layup (18 PTS)54
64.7%
50
35.3%
Q3 - 8:34MIAWade 2' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (James 5 AST)54
67.8%
48
32.2%
Q3 - 8:36MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)52
64.7%
48
35.3%
Q3 - 8:37MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot52
62.1%
48
37.9%
Q3 - 8:52LACPaul 16' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)52
64.7%
48
35.3%
Q3 - 9:06LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
67.3%
46
32.7%
Q3 - 9:07MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot52
68.3%
46
31.7%
Q3 - 9:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
70.5%
46
29.5%
Q3 - 9:16LACMISS Griffin 18' Turnaround Jump Shot52
69.5%
46
30.5%
Q3 - 9:35MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)52
67.3%
46
32.7%
Q3 - 9:56LACButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)50
64.1%
46
35.9%
Q3 - 10:08LACButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
60.0%
46
40.0%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot50
61.1%
46
38.9%
Q3 - 10:37LACButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)50
63.6%
46
36.4%
Q3 - 11:05MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)50
69.3%
43
30.7%
Q3 - 11:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)48
66.5%
43
33.5%
Q3 - 11:15LACMISS Griffin 17' Jump Shot48
65.5%
43
34.5%
Q3 - 11:39LACJordan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
63.1%
43
36.9%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup48
64.2%
43
35.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAC48
66.5%
43
33.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
63.2%
43
36.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0LACBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)45
55.9%
43
44.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
63.2%
40
36.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAHaslem 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)45
63.2%
40
36.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAJordan BLOCK (2 BLK)43
57.5%
40
42.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0LACBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
59.2%
40
40.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0LACMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 243
59.5%
39
40.5%
Q2 - 1:03MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
59.8%
39
40.2%
Q2 - 1:03MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
59.2%
39
40.8%
Q2 - 1:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)41
55.6%
39
44.4%
Q2 - 1:13LACMISS Butler 3' Reverse Layup41
55.0%
39
45.0%
Q2 - 1:34LACButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
53.5%
39
46.5%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot41
54.1%
39
45.9%
Q2 - 1:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)41
55.6%
39
44.4%
Q2 - 1:48LACJordan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)41
53.5%
39
46.5%
Q2 - 1:48LACMISS Jordan 3' Tip Shot41
55.0%
39
45.0%
Q2 - 1:49LACMISS Griffin Free Throw 2 of 241
55.3%
39
44.7%
Q2 - 1:49LACMISS Griffin Free Throw 1 of 241
53.4%
39
46.6%
Q2 - 2:01MIAGriffin STEAL (1 STL)41
52.6%
39
47.4%
Q2 - 2:25LACBillups 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)41
55.8%
39
44.2%
Q2 - 2:39MIAWade 2' Layup (11 PTS)41
61.9%
36
38.1%
Q2 - 2:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
58.9%
36
41.1%
Q2 - 2:44MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot39
56.8%
36
43.2%
Q2 - 3:00LACButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
58.9%
36
41.1%
Q2 - 3:00LACButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
59.4%
35
40.6%
Q2 - 3:19LACJordan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
61.4%
34
38.6%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot39
62.4%
34
37.6%
Q2 - 3:36LACPaul 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)39
64.7%
34
35.3%
Q2 - 3:49LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
67.1%
32
32.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 239
67.5%
32
32.5%
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 239
69.2%
32
30.8%
Q2 - 4:08LACGriffin 3' Layup (16 PTS)39
69.3%
32
30.7%
Q2 - 4:09LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
71.6%
30
28.4%
Q2 - 4:12LACMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
73.4%
30
26.6%
Q2 - 4:18MIABillups STEAL (1 STL)39
71.6%
30
28.4%
Q2 - 4:22MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
74.2%
30
25.8%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
72.4%
30
27.6%
Q2 - 4:31LACPaul 4' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
74.2%
30
25.8%
Q2 - 4:53MIABosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)39
76.3%
28
23.7%
Q2 - 5:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)36
71.2%
28
28.8%
Q2 - 5:10LACMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot36
70.5%
28
29.5%
Q2 - 5:29MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T9)36
68.9%
28
31.1%
Q2 - 5:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)36
71.3%
28
28.7%
Q2 - 5:40LACMISS Griffin 3' Layup36
70.6%
28
29.4%
Q2 - 5:43LACJordan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
68.9%
28
31.1%
Q2 - 5:44LACMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot36
70.6%
28
29.4%
Q2 - 6:06MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)36
67.8%
28
32.2%
Q2 - 6:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
65.8%
28
34.2%
Q2 - 6:12LACMISS Griffin 22' Jump Shot34
64.9%
28
35.1%
Q2 - 6:33MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
62.9%
28
37.1%
Q2 - 6:33MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
62.4%
28
37.6%
Q2 - 6:33MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
60.6%
28
39.4%
Q2 - 6:35MIAEvans BLOCK (1 BLK)32
58.4%
28
41.6%
Q2 - 6:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
60.7%
28
39.3%
Q2 - 6:53LACMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 232
60.2%
28
39.8%
Q2 - 6:53LACMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 232
59.0%
28
41.0%
Q2 - 7:16MIABosh 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)32
57.3%
28
42.7%
Q2 - 7:27LACGriffin 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)30
54.9%
28
45.1%
Q2 - 7:36LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
59.9%
25
40.1%
Q2 - 7:38LACMISS Griffin 5' Jump Shot30
61.9%
25
38.1%
Q2 - 7:55MIAGomes STEAL (1 STL)30
59.9%
25
40.1%
Q2 - 8:12LACWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gomes 1 AST)30
62.2%
25
37.8%
Q2 - 8:32MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)30
64.6%
23
35.4%
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 229
64.1%
23
35.9%
Q2 - 8:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
64.7%
23
35.3%
Q2 - 8:36LACMISS Foye 13' Jump Shot29
63.9%
23
36.1%
Q2 - 8:45LACEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
62.1%
23
37.9%
Q2 - 8:46LACMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
63.9%
23
36.1%
Q2 - 8:53LACCLIPPERS Rebound29
62.2%
23
37.8%
Q2 - 8:53LACMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot29
63.9%
23
36.1%
Q2 - 9:02LACGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
61.5%
23
38.5%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot29
62.3%
23
37.7%
Q2 - 9:21MIAHeat Rebound29
64.1%
23
35.9%
Q2 - 9:21LACMISS Gomes 17' Jump Shot29
63.3%
23
36.7%
Q2 - 9:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
61.6%
23
38.4%
Q2 - 9:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
61.1%
23
38.9%
Q2 - 9:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
59.3%
23
40.7%
Q2 - 9:51LACMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot27
58.5%
23
41.5%
Q2 - 10:08MIAWade Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T7)27
56.2%
23
43.8%
Q2 - 10:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
58.9%
23
41.1%
Q2 - 10:08MIAMISS Cole 3' Layup27
57.0%
23
43.0%
Q2 - 10:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
58.9%
23
41.1%
Q2 - 10:12LACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
56.2%
23
43.8%
Q2 - 10:12LACMISS Evans 3' Tip Shot27
58.1%
23
41.9%
Q2 - 10:14LACMISS Gomes 3' Layup27
58.1%
23
41.9%
Q2 - 10:32MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)27
56.2%
23
43.8%
Q2 - 10:32MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 226
55.7%
23
44.3%
Q2 - 10:35MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
56.5%
23
43.5%
Q2 - 10:37LACMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
55.7%
23
44.3%
Q2 - 10:50MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
53.7%
23
46.3%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw Technical24
51.5%
23
48.5%
Q2 - 11:13LACPaul 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)24
51.2%
23
48.8%
Q2 - 11:18MIAPaul STEAL (2 STL)24
53.5%
21
46.5%
Q2 - 11:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
56.1%
21
43.9%
Q2 - 11:21LACMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot24
55.3%
21
44.7%
Q2 - 11:44LACCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
53.5%
21
46.5%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot24
54.3%
21
45.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
56.1%
21
43.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0LACPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
55.3%
21
44.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0LACPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
55.6%
20
44.4%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAAnthony 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)24
58.2%
19
41.8%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
55.3%
19
44.7%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Cole 3' Driving Layup22
54.1%
19
45.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0LACPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
55.4%
19
44.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0LACPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
55.7%
18
44.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)22
58.2%
17
41.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)21
57.7%
17
42.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0LACEvans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)20
55.4%
17
44.6%
Q1 - 1:09MIAJames 3' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)20
53.4%
17
46.6%
Q1 - 1:13MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
50.5%
17
49.5%
Q1 - 1:16LACMISS Paul 3' Layup18
50.0%
17
50.0%
Q1 - 1:32MIABattier 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)18
48.8%
17
51.2%
Q1 - 1:47LACPaul 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
45.8%
17
54.2%
Q1 - 1:55LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
48.8%
15
51.2%
Q1 - 1:56MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
49.3%
15
50.7%
Q1 - 2:16LACWilliams 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
50.7%
15
49.3%
Q1 - 2:37MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)16
53.2%
13
46.8%
Q1 - 2:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
50.7%
13
49.3%
Q1 - 2:45LACMISS Griffin 4' Jump Shot14
50.1%
13
49.9%
Q1 - 3:06MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
48.5%
13
51.5%
Q1 - 3:24LACGriffin 3' Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)12
46.4%
13
53.6%
Q1 - 3:30MIAPaul STEAL (1 STL)12
48.5%
11
51.5%
Q1 - 3:39LACCLIPPERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)12
50.9%
11
49.1%
Q1 - 3:39LACCLIPPERS Rebound12
48.5%
11
51.5%
Q1 - 3:40LACMISS Williams 11' Turnaround Jump Shot12
50.2%
11
49.8%
Q1 - 4:03LACCLIPPERS Rebound12
48.2%
11
51.8%
Q1 - 4:03MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot12
49.0%
11
51.0%
Q1 - 4:09LACGriffin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
50.6%
11
49.4%
Q1 - 4:23MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)12
48.3%
11
51.7%
Q1 - 4:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
50.7%
11
49.3%
Q1 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot12
49.0%
11
51.0%
Q1 - 4:56LACGriffin 2' Driving Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)12
50.7%
11
49.3%
Q1 - 5:00LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
52.7%
9
47.3%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot12
52.9%
9
47.1%
Q1 - 5:08LACJordan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)12
54.5%
9
45.5%
Q1 - 5:27LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
52.2%
9
47.8%
Q1 - 5:29LACMISS Billups 4' Finger Roll Layup12
53.8%
9
46.2%
Q1 - 5:48MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
52.2%
9
47.8%
Q1 - 5:58LACPaul 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
54.5%
9
45.5%
Q1 - 6:09MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
56.0%
7
44.0%
Q1 - 6:23LACGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)12
58.1%
7
41.9%
Q1 - 6:23LACMISS Griffin Free Throw 1 of 212
58.7%
6
41.3%
Q1 - 6:28LACJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
58.0%
6
42.0%
Q1 - 6:29LACMISS Griffin 19' Jump Shot12
59.5%
6
40.5%
Q1 - 6:50MIAAnthony 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)12
58.0%
6
42.0%
Q1 - 7:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
55.8%
6
44.2%
Q1 - 7:03LACMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot10
55.1%
6
44.9%
Q1 - 7:23LACGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
53.6%
6
46.4%
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot10
54.3%
6
45.7%
Q1 - 7:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
55.8%
6
44.2%
Q1 - 7:32LACMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
55.1%
6
44.9%
Q1 - 7:46MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)10
53.6%
6
46.4%
Q1 - 7:51LACBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
51.9%
6
48.1%
Q1 - 8:16MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)8
49.8%
6
50.2%
Q1 - 8:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
45.9%
6
54.1%
Q1 - 8:22LACMISS Griffin 4' Jump Shot5
45.4%
6
54.6%
Q1 - 8:38MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
44.0%
6
56.0%
Q1 - 8:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 8:52LACMISS Paul 10' Floating Jump Shot3
41.6%
6
58.4%
Q1 - 9:19MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 9:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)3
42.5%
6
57.5%
Q1 - 9:24LACMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot3
42.0%
6
58.0%
Q1 - 9:38LACButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 9:40MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
41.2%
6
58.8%
Q1 - 9:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)3
42.5%
6
57.5%
Q1 - 9:46MIAJordan BLOCK (1 BLK)3
41.2%
6
58.8%
Q1 - 10:00LACGriffin 2' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)3
42.5%
6
57.5%
Q1 - 10:05LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
44.3%
4
55.7%
Q1 - 10:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS James 2' Tip Shot3
44.9%
4
55.1%
Q1 - 10:09MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot3
44.9%
4
55.1%
Q1 - 10:29LACJordan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)3
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 10:43LACPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
44.3%
4
55.7%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot3
44.9%
4
55.1%
Q1 - 11:03LACGriffin 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)3
46.0%
4
54.0%
Q1 - 11:28MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)3
47.8%
2
52.2%
Q1 - 11:41LACGriffin 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)0
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 12:00LACJump Ball Jordan vs. Anthony: Tip to Paul0
46.1%
0
53.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 45.9%
LAC
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
29
59%
LAC
15
30
50%
Midrange
MIA
10
36
28%
LAC
15
39
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
LAC
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
MIA
20
34
59%
LAC
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2344%11.5 / 26
M. Chalmers1864%9.0 / 14
D. Wade1740%8.5 / 21
C. Bosh1644%8.0 / 18
U. Haslem660%3.0 / 5
J. Anthony4100%2.0 / 2
S. Battier450%2.0 / 4
N. Cole18%0.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAC logo Clippers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2759%13.5 / 23
C. Butler2077%10.0 / 13
B. Griffin2040%10.0 / 25
C. Billups1243%6.0 / 14
D. Jordan880%4.0 / 5
M. Williams638%3.0 / 8
R. Foye250%1.0 / 2
R. Evans0-0.0 / 2
R. Gomes0-0.0 / 2
B. Cook0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+14
-18
96
LAC
86
+13
-15
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 45.9%
LAC
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
109.0
MIA 89.0
LAC 94.1 +5.1
Pace
91.3
88.8
MIA 108.4 +29.9
LAC 78.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.5
MIA 13.3 +5.1
LAC 18.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
50.2%
MIA 42.6%
LAC 45.3% +2.7%
TO %
15.9%
13.8%
MIA 15.8%
LAC 14.3% +1.5%
ORB %
26.6%
29.5%
MIA 27.1% +5.8%
LAC 21.3%
FTrt
30.7
28.7
MIA 42.0 +15.3
LAC 26.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
56.8%
MIA 56.3%
LAC 61.1% +4.8%
STL %
9.6%
9.4%
MIA 9.0% +2.1%
LAC 6.9%
BLK %
9.0%
8.2%
MIA 8.7%
LAC 12.3% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
51.8%
MIA 45.9%
LAC 47.0% +1.1%
Rim FG%
61.1%
60.6%
MIA 58.6% +8.6%
LAC 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.0%
39.0%
MIA 27.8%
LAC 38.5% +10.7%
3P %
35.9%
35.7%
MIA 31.3%
LAC 35.3% +4.0%
FT %
77.5%
68.1%
MIA 58.8%
LAC 73.9% +15.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
33.9%
MIA 35.8% +0.9%
LAC 34.9%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
39.3%
MIA 44.4% +0.9%
LAC 45.3%
3P Att. %
19.8%
26.9%
MIA 19.8%
LAC 19.8% +0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.
Game TotalsMIALAC
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes22.130.9
Points8995
Rebounds5045
Assists1822
Steals97
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)35 (3)
Field Goals32-8136-86
At-the-Rim FG17-2915-30
Midrange FG10-3615-39
2-Point FG27-6530-69
3-Point FG5-166-17
Free Throws20-3417-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
43.3
16
44%
11
1
0
1
3
1
1
10
3-5
60%
5-13
38%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
42.0
17
40%
7
2
3
2
2
4
1
6
5-8
63%
6-15
40%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
41.9
23
44%
13
7
2
0
6
5
2
11
9-17
53%
7-18
39%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
40.1
18
64%
4
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
4-10
40%
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
28.7
4
100%
3
1
1
1
1
3
3
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
31.0
6
60%
8
0
2
0
2
2
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 33
25.2
4
50%
1
0
1
2
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
12.8
1
8%
3
2
0
0
2
4
2
1
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
G · 6'4" 190 · 24
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
C · 6'11" 220 · 25
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · C · 7'0" 295 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
89
46%
50
18
9
6
18
0
13
37
20-34
59%
27-65
42%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.