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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bobcats25%9081
15Hawks75%99111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
33.3
33.2
16
58%
4
2
1
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
7-12
5-11
58%
45%
0-1
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.9
33.0
20.7
21
56%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
5-6
83%
8-16
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.7
25.9
33.3
0
0%
6
4
0
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
25.9
15.6
9
61%
0
0
0
1
3
1
0
0
3-3
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.2
25.9
32.8
8
44%
1
8
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
43%
0-2
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.7
22.1
21.7
6
30%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-6
3-7
17%
38%
1-3
33%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
22.1
24.6
4
40%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.3
19.4
17.8
6
75%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.6
12.4
1.7
6
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
0-0
50%
40%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.4
11.8
9.5
2
20%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
5.0
9.4
3
65%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.9
3.3
13.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
9.6
0
1-3
46%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.1
39.4
32.7
30
61%
13
3
1
1
0
1
4
9
2-6
33%
14-22
6-12
64%
51%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.1
35.8
25.2
7
50%
8
3
1
1
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
35.6
35.7
23
53%
7
8
1
1
0
2
3
4
7-8
88%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
2-8
25%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.6
34.4
32.4
16
50%
6
7
1
2
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-12
4-8
42%
48%
2-4
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.9
31.8
20.2
10
62%
10
4
0
1
1
2
3
7
6-7
86%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
21.3
17.9
11
62%
3
0
3
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.8
20.8
10.8
12
54%
7
0
0
0
1
1
4
3
4-5
80%
4-9
1-3
44%
49%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.2
10.2
12.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.2
4.4
4.1
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
3.4
4.0
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.1
3.0
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.6
20.6
1
3-5
48%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.6
9.8
0
1-3
46%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.0
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.