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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Pistons26%8993
19Bucks74%98102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.8
40.4
25.2
9
29%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
3-13
3-6
23%
44%
0-1
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.6
39.7
30.0
32
82%
16
2
2
1
1
2
4
12
8-8
100%
12-16
5-9
75%
53%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.9
36.3
27.4
13
38%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-15
4-8
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.1
35.5
33.0
20
93%
2
3
0
1
1
5
0
2
4-4
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
40%
2-2
100%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.9
22.7
23.1
4
50%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.9
22.6
23.1
2
20%
5
1
2
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
48%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.7
20.3
9.6
11
55%
3
4
0
0
1
2
2
1
7-7
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
42%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.0
11.8
21.3
2
35%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
10.8
11.5
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.0
0.1
19.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
44%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.6
13.1
0
1-3
41%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.3
5.4
0
0-1
43%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.4
3.3
0
0-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.4
43.2
28.4
9
50%
6
4
3
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
3-8
38%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.8
42.6
34.5
25
67%
6
6
3
1
0
6
0
6
4-4
100%
6-10
4-9
60%
47%
3-7
43%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.3
39.5
35.1
27
77%
1
3
1
2
0
3
0
1
6-6
100%
6-11
4-10
55%
45%
3-4
75%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.1
34.6
27.3
10
51%
4
3
1
1
2
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
53%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.7
31.5
23.2
15
73%
6
5
0
1
2
0
4
2
3-3
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
19.0
20.5
14
50%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-10
3-5
30%
50%
2-3
67%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.3
13.3
20.7
2
50%
2
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
5.8
11.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.5
5.4
15.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
5.0
19.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
4-7
-
48%
0-0
-
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
0.1
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.3
6.2
0
1-2
48%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.8
3.8
0
0-1
52%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.