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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Knicks42%9783
17Grizzlies58%10094
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.3
29.9
34.0
2
33%
11
2
0
1
0
1
4
7
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
59%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.5
28.9
33.4
12
29%
2
3
4
1
1
6
0
2
1-1
100%
4-16
4-8
25%
43%
1-4
25%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
26.5
31.4
9
77%
6
2
2
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
19.8
35.1
14
61%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
5-10
7-15
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.2
19.6
34.7
6
34%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
1-7
7-15
14%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 22.9
28.4
20.9
8
80%
7
1
0
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
2-4
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.8
24.4
17.2
8
30%
2
4
1
1
0
3
1
1
1-1
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
43%
1-5
20%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.3
21.4
17.7
14
88%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
4-7
57%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.7
19.3
8.5
2
25%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
11.3
3.9
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
10.6
4.7
3
39%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.3
2.2
0
0-1
44%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
1.5
0
0-0
40%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.0
39.8
39.6
10
52%
12
5
1
1
4
2
1
11
4-6
67%
3-7
6-11
43%
54%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
34.6
36.5
26
73%
5
2
1
1
1
2
1
4
3-4
75%
10-14
7-14
71%
49%
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
33.1
36.0
9
42%
1
7
1
2
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-9
5-10
33%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.0
26.2
23.8
12
68%
5
1
5
2
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
51%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.4
22.4
17.5
2
15%
9
1
0
0
0
1
1
8
2-2
100%
0-6
4-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
24.9
20.1
8
46%
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
2-4
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
20.6
24.0
18
75%
8
0
0
1
0
3
0
8
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
4-7
57%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.8
14.9
4.1
9
95%
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
9.9
15.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-4
0%
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
7.8
9.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.8
2.9
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
2.9
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.7
1.4
0
0-0
49%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.