FinalWin Prob.pScore
859%99
117
2241%96
109
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
124.59491.6
GSW logo GSW
113.59698.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL117
100%
109
0%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)117
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0GSWMISS Rush 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)117
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0GSWMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)117
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)116
99.8%
109
0.2%
Q4 - 0:35.0GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)115
99.7%
109
0.3%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLWafer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 9 AST)115
99.3%
109
0.7%
Q4 - 0:52.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:16)112
93.5%
109
6.5%
Q4 - 0:54.0GSWMISS Ellis 29' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot112
91.9%
109
8.1%
Q4 - 1:05ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (45 PTS)112
86.2%
109
13.8%
Q4 - 1:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:15)109
65.2%
109
34.8%
Q4 - 1:07ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot109
53.9%
109
46.1%
Q4 - 1:21GSWEllis 7' Running Jump Shot (30 PTS)109
65.2%
109
34.8%
Q4 - 1:33GSWLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)109
74.8%
107
25.2%
Q4 - 1:35ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2109
76.1%
107
23.9%
Q4 - 1:35ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (42 PTS)109
80.6%
107
19.4%
Q4 - 1:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:15)108
74.3%
107
25.7%
Q4 - 1:53GSWMISS Thompson 11' Running Jump Shot108
71.1%
107
28.9%
Q4 - 2:14ORLHoward 7' Running Hook Shot (41 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)108
61.7%
107
38.3%
Q4 - 2:37GSWThompson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ellis 11 AST)106
54.8%
107
45.2%
Q4 - 2:48ORLThompson STEAL (1 STL)106
72.6%
104
27.4%
Q4 - 3:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:14)106
82.6%
104
17.4%
Q4 - 3:05GSWMISS Lee Free Throw 2 of 2106
81.5%
104
18.5%
Q4 - 3:05GSWLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)106
76.6%
104
23.4%
Q4 - 3:19ORLWafer 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 8 AST)106
80.5%
103
19.5%
Q4 - 3:42GSWEllis 17' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)104
71.6%
103
28.4%
Q4 - 3:56ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (39 PTS)104
78.2%
101
21.8%
Q4 - 3:56ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2103
75.8%
101
24.2%
Q4 - 4:09GSWLee 1' Slam Dunk (25 PTS) (Ellis 10 AST)103
78.9%
101
21.1%
Q4 - 4:30ORLNelson 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wafer 3 AST)103
84.3%
99
15.7%
Q4 - 4:51ORLWafer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
71.9%
99
28.1%
Q4 - 4:52GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 1100
70.7%
99
29.3%
Q4 - 5:11ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 7 AST)100
76.3%
97
23.7%
Q4 - 5:17GSWLee Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)97
62.6%
97
37.4%
Q4 - 5:33ORLTurkoglu 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)97
53.9%
97
46.1%
Q4 - 5:54GSWEllis 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Lee 4 AST)95
45.9%
97
54.1%
Q4 - 6:09ORLWafer Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)95
62.3%
94
37.7%
Q4 - 6:19GSWLee 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)95
69.5%
94
30.5%
Q4 - 6:33ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (38 PTS) (Wafer 2 AST)95
75.2%
92
24.8%
Q4 - 6:52ORLWafer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
69.5%
92
30.5%
Q4 - 6:54GSWMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot93
67.3%
92
32.7%
Q4 - 7:14GSWLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)93
62.7%
92
37.3%
Q4 - 7:17ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 293
63.6%
92
36.4%
Q4 - 7:17ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)93
66.8%
92
33.2%
Q4 - 7:34ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
63.2%
92
36.8%
Q4 - 7:35GSWMISS Thompson 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
61.0%
92
39.0%
Q4 - 7:45GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
55.9%
92
44.1%
Q4 - 7:46ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 292
56.9%
92
43.1%
Q4 - 7:46ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)92
61.2%
92
38.8%
Q4 - 7:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:13)91
56.5%
92
43.5%
Q4 - 7:59GSWMISS Rush 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
54.2%
92
45.8%
Q4 - 8:10GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
50.6%
92
49.4%
Q4 - 8:11ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
52.5%
92
47.5%
Q4 - 8:26GSWThompson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellis 9 AST)91
56.8%
92
43.2%
Q4 - 8:42ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)91
68.9%
89
31.1%
Q4 - 8:42ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)90
66.8%
89
33.2%
Q4 - 8:59GSWRobinson 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)89
63.0%
89
37.0%
Q4 - 9:05ORLRedick 5' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)89
68.3%
87
31.7%
Q4 - 9:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)87
62.8%
87
37.2%
Q4 - 9:26GSWMISS McGuire 5' Jump Shot87
61.1%
87
38.9%
Q4 - 9:45ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)87
57.2%
87
42.8%
Q4 - 9:45ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)86
55.1%
87
44.9%
Q4 - 10:01GSWRobinson 19' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)85
51.6%
87
48.4%
Q4 - 10:10GSWMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
57.2%
85
42.8%
Q4 - 10:11ORLMISS Howard 8' Turnaround Hook Shot85
58.9%
85
41.1%
Q4 - 10:28GSWThompson Foul Turnover (P2.T12)85
62.6%
85
37.4%
Q4 - 10:33ORLRobinson STEAL (1 STL)85
57.2%
85
42.8%
Q4 - 10:49GSWThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGuire 2 AST)85
62.6%
85
37.4%
Q4 - 11:13ORLHoward 7' Running Hook Shot (31 PTS)85
71.8%
82
28.2%
Q4 - 11:26GSWLee Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)83
67.2%
82
32.8%
Q4 - 11:43ORLWafer 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)83
62.5%
82
37.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW80
51.8%
82
48.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLHoward 8' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)80
47.6%
82
52.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0GSWThompson Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)78
42.2%
82
57.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
37.6%
82
62.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Wafer 19' Jump Shot78
39.0%
82
61.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0GSWThompson 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)78
42.1%
82
57.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)78
47.5%
80
52.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)77
45.7%
80
54.3%
Q3 - 1:07GSWRush Foul Turnover (P2.T9)76
42.9%
80
57.1%
Q3 - 1:16GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
38.4%
80
61.6%
Q3 - 1:17ORLMISS Howard 1' Layup76
39.8%
80
60.2%
Q3 - 1:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)76
42.9%
80
57.1%
Q3 - 1:31GSWMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
41.5%
80
58.5%
Q3 - 1:37GSWLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)76
38.4%
80
61.6%
Q3 - 1:38ORLMISS Redick 5' Running Jump Shot76
39.8%
80
60.2%
Q3 - 1:55GSWEllis 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Rush 3 AST)76
42.9%
80
57.1%
Q3 - 2:09ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)76
53.1%
77
46.9%
Q3 - 2:09ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)75
51.5%
77
48.5%
Q3 - 2:11GSWEllis Free Throw 3 of 3 (18 PTS)74
48.5%
77
51.5%
Q3 - 2:11GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 3 (17 PTS)74
49.4%
76
50.6%
Q3 - 2:11GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 3 (16 PTS)74
50.4%
75
49.6%
Q3 - 2:25ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
57.7%
74
42.3%
Q3 - 2:25ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
56.7%
74
43.3%
Q3 - 2:25ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
53.2%
74
46.8%
Q3 - 2:26GSWMISS Rush 18' Jump Shot72
51.7%
74
48.3%
Q3 - 2:48GSWRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
48.4%
74
51.6%
Q3 - 2:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 272
49.1%
74
50.9%
Q3 - 2:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 272
51.4%
74
48.6%
Q3 - 3:09GSWEllis 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)72
54.1%
74
45.9%
Q3 - 3:18GSWWARRIORS Rebound72
62.5%
71
37.5%
Q3 - 3:18GSWMISS Robinson 6' Jump Shot72
65.5%
71
34.5%
Q3 - 3:28GSWLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
62.5%
71
37.5%
Q3 - 3:29ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
63.8%
71
36.2%
Q3 - 3:44GSWLee 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (21 PTS)72
66.8%
71
33.2%
Q3 - 4:01ORLHoward 5' Driving Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)72
69.9%
69
30.1%
Q3 - 4:24GSWLee 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)70
66.8%
69
33.2%
Q3 - 4:52ORLNelson 21' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)70
70.0%
67
30.0%
Q3 - 5:07ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
66.3%
67
33.7%
Q3 - 5:09GSWMISS Robinson 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
65.1%
67
34.9%
Q3 - 5:28GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
62.1%
67
37.9%
Q3 - 5:29ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 268
62.7%
67
37.3%
Q3 - 5:29ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 268
64.6%
67
35.4%
Q3 - 5:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)68
66.4%
67
33.6%
Q3 - 5:44GSWMISS Lee 3' Layup68
65.1%
67
34.9%
Q3 - 5:45GSWLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
62.1%
67
37.9%
Q3 - 5:46GSWMISS Jenkins 17' Jump Shot68
65.1%
67
34.9%
Q3 - 5:55ORLBiedrins STEAL (1 STL)68
62.1%
67
37.9%
Q3 - 5:57ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
66.4%
67
33.6%
Q3 - 5:58ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
63.4%
67
36.6%
Q3 - 6:18GSWJenkins 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)68
66.3%
67
33.7%
Q3 - 6:41ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)68
69.6%
65
30.4%
Q3 - 7:02GSWJenkins 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)65
62.2%
65
37.8%
Q3 - 7:24GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
65.6%
63
34.4%
Q3 - 7:26ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 265
66.1%
63
33.9%
Q3 - 7:26ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 265
67.8%
63
32.2%
Q3 - 7:44GSWRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
69.2%
63
30.8%
Q3 - 7:44GSWMISS Rush Free Throw 1 of 265
70.0%
62
30.0%
Q3 - 7:56ORLRedick 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)65
69.0%
62
31.0%
Q3 - 8:12ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
65.8%
62
34.2%
Q3 - 8:13GSWMISS Ellis 20' Step Back Jump Shot63
64.7%
62
35.3%
Q3 - 8:34ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)63
62.1%
62
37.9%
Q3 - 8:51ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
55.0%
62
45.0%
Q3 - 8:53GSWMISS Jenkins 22' Jump Shot60
53.8%
62
46.2%
Q3 - 8:57GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
51.0%
62
49.0%
Q3 - 8:58ORLBiedrins BLOCK (2 BLK)60
52.3%
62
47.7%
Q3 - 9:14GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)60
55.2%
62
44.8%
Q3 - 9:26ORLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
51.5%
62
48.5%
Q3 - 9:26ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
51.0%
62
49.0%
Q3 - 9:26ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
47.9%
62
52.1%
Q3 - 9:27ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
45.3%
62
54.7%
Q3 - 9:50GSWEllis 16' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)58
47.9%
62
52.1%
Q3 - 10:00GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
51.4%
60
48.6%
Q3 - 10:01ORLMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot58
53.2%
60
46.8%
Q3 - 10:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)58
55.8%
60
44.2%
Q3 - 10:08GSWMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot58
54.7%
60
45.3%
Q3 - 10:21GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
52.0%
60
48.0%
Q3 - 10:22ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
53.2%
60
46.8%
Q3 - 10:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)58
55.8%
60
44.2%
Q3 - 10:33GSWMISS Lee 9' Turnaround Hook Shot58
54.6%
60
45.4%
Q3 - 10:53ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)58
52.0%
60
48.0%
Q3 - 11:14GSWRush 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)55
46.2%
60
53.8%
Q3 - 11:36ORLHoward 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)55
52.8%
57
47.2%
Q3 - 11:47GSWLee Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)53
49.5%
57
50.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL53
45.9%
57
54.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWEllis 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)53
49.5%
57
50.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLLee STEAL (2 STL)53
53.9%
55
46.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)53
56.2%
55
43.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0GSWMISS Robinson 18' Running Jump Shot53
55.5%
55
44.5%
Q2 - 0:11.0GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
53.9%
55
46.1%
Q2 - 0:13.0GSWMISS Ellis 3' Reverse Layup53
55.5%
55
44.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound53
53.9%
55
46.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0GSWMISS Udoh 8' Jump Shot53
55.5%
55
44.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0GSWRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
53.8%
55
46.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 153
54.2%
55
45.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0ORLClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
49.7%
55
50.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0GSWMISS Lee Free Throw 2 of 251
49.3%
55
50.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0GSWLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)51
47.0%
55
53.0%
Q2 - 1:10ORLRichardson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)51
51.0%
54
49.0%
Q2 - 1:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)48
43.5%
54
56.5%
Q2 - 1:18GSWMISS Robinson 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
42.9%
54
57.1%
Q2 - 1:28GSWRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
41.4%
54
58.6%
Q2 - 1:29ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 148
41.6%
54
58.4%
Q2 - 1:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)46
37.3%
54
62.7%
Q2 - 1:32ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
35.9%
54
64.1%
Q2 - 1:49GSWLee 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (16 PTS)46
37.3%
54
62.7%
Q2 - 1:58GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
41.4%
52
58.6%
Q2 - 1:59GSWMISS Robinson 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
42.8%
52
57.2%
Q2 - 2:17ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)46
41.5%
52
58.5%
Q2 - 2:17ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)45
40.4%
52
59.6%
Q2 - 2:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)44
38.5%
52
61.5%
Q2 - 2:20GSWMISS Lee 1' Driving Slam Dunk44
37.6%
52
62.4%
Q2 - 2:38ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)44
35.6%
52
64.4%
Q2 - 2:38ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)43
34.5%
52
65.5%
Q2 - 2:41GSWRush 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)42
32.7%
52
67.3%
Q2 - 2:52GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
35.6%
50
64.4%
Q2 - 2:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)42
38.5%
50
61.5%
Q2 - 2:53ORLMISS Howard 1' Tip Shot42
36.4%
50
63.6%
Q2 - 2:54ORLMISS Redick 18' Jump Shot42
36.4%
50
63.6%
Q2 - 3:02ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
39.7%
50
60.3%
Q2 - 3:03GSWMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot42
38.7%
50
61.3%
Q2 - 3:17ORLDavis 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)42
36.3%
50
63.7%
Q2 - 3:25ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
34.0%
50
66.0%
Q2 - 3:26GSWMISS Lee 6' Running Hook Shot40
33.0%
50
67.0%
Q2 - 3:39ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
30.8%
50
69.2%
Q2 - 3:39ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 239
29.9%
50
70.1%
Q2 - 3:40GSWRush Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)39
31.2%
50
68.8%
Q2 - 4:00ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
28.2%
50
71.8%
Q2 - 4:00ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)38
27.7%
50
72.3%
Q2 - 4:08GSWEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)37
26.9%
50
73.1%
Q2 - 4:16ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T5)37
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q2 - 4:33GSWMcGuire Foul Turnover (P1.T4)37
26.9%
50
73.1%
Q2 - 4:33GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
24.4%
50
75.6%
Q2 - 4:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)37
26.9%
50
73.1%
Q2 - 4:35ORLMISS Howard 1' Layup37
25.2%
50
74.8%
Q2 - 4:38ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot37
25.2%
50
74.8%
Q2 - 4:49GSWLee 11' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (McGuire 1 AST)37
26.9%
50
73.1%
Q2 - 4:56GSWWARRIORS Rebound37
29.1%
48
70.9%
Q2 - 4:56GSWMISS Lee 5' Running Hook Shot37
31.0%
48
69.0%
Q2 - 5:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
30.4%
48
69.6%
Q2 - 5:10ORLHoward 1' Putback Slam Dunk (10 PTS)37
30.4%
48
69.6%
Q2 - 5:12ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot35
26.3%
48
73.7%
Q2 - 5:33GSWMcGuire 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)35
27.8%
48
72.2%
Q2 - 5:55ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
30.2%
46
69.8%
Q2 - 5:55ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 234
29.4%
46
70.6%
Q2 - 6:10GSWLee Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)34
31.4%
46
68.6%
Q2 - 6:22GSWWARRIORS Rebound34
28.6%
46
71.4%
Q2 - 6:22ORLMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot34
29.4%
46
70.6%
Q2 - 6:37GSWLee 6' Driving Bank Hook Shot (12 PTS)34
31.3%
46
68.7%
Q2 - 6:56ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)34
33.4%
44
66.6%
Q2 - 7:16GSWRobinson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)31
29.9%
44
70.1%
Q2 - 7:26GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
32.0%
42
68.0%
Q2 - 7:27ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot31
32.8%
42
67.2%
Q2 - 7:50GSWEllis 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)31
34.6%
42
65.4%
Q2 - 7:59ORLNelson 3' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)31
36.9%
40
63.1%
Q2 - 8:24GSWRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
35.6%
40
64.4%
Q2 - 8:24GSWRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
35.9%
39
64.1%
Q2 - 8:31ORLRichardson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)29
37.9%
38
62.1%
Q2 - 8:48GSWRush 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)27
35.5%
38
64.5%
Q2 - 9:01GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
41.0%
35
59.0%
Q2 - 9:02ORLMISS Davis 5' Jump Shot27
41.8%
35
58.2%
Q2 - 9:15GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
43.7%
35
56.3%
Q2 - 9:15GSWEllis 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)27
43.7%
35
56.3%
Q2 - 9:17GSWMISS Ellis 3' Layup27
47.9%
33
52.1%
Q2 - 9:28GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
46.1%
33
53.9%
Q2 - 9:29ORLMISS Wafer 15' Pullup Jump Shot27
46.9%
33
53.1%
Q2 - 9:40ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
48.7%
33
51.3%
Q2 - 9:42GSWMISS Robinson 18' Pullup Jump Shot27
47.9%
33
52.1%
Q2 - 10:03ORLRichardson 3' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wafer 1 AST)27
46.0%
33
54.0%
Q2 - 10:21GSWRobinson 3' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 10:36GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
46.0%
31
54.0%
Q2 - 10:37ORLMISS Richardson 28' 3PT Jump Shot25
46.9%
31
53.1%
Q2 - 10:43ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
48.8%
31
51.2%
Q2 - 10:45GSWMISS Udoh 2' Layup25
48.0%
31
52.0%
Q2 - 10:48GSWUdoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
46.0%
31
54.0%
Q2 - 10:49GSWMISS Ellis 4' Driving Reverse Layup25
48.0%
31
52.0%
Q2 - 10:56GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
46.0%
31
54.0%
Q2 - 10:57ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
46.9%
31
53.1%
Q2 - 11:11GSWRobinson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
48.9%
31
51.1%
Q2 - 11:28ORLRedick Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)25
51.2%
29
48.8%
Q2 - 11:28ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)24
50.9%
29
49.1%
Q2 - 11:28ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)23
50.6%
29
49.4%
Q2 - 11:43ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
46.4%
29
53.6%
Q2 - 11:44GSWMISS Udoh 8' Turnaround Hook Shot22
45.6%
29
54.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL22
43.8%
29
56.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
46.5%
29
53.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
44.6%
29
55.4%
Q1 - 0:08.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 221
43.8%
29
56.2%
Q1 - 0:11.0GSWThompson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)21
44.1%
29
55.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
49.4%
26
50.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)20
49.1%
26
50.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
46.5%
26
53.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0GSWMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
45.9%
26
54.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0ORLAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)19
44.6%
26
55.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0ORLRedick Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)16
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)15
37.1%
26
62.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0GSWMISS Robinson 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q1 - 1:02GSWUdoh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
36.5%
26
63.5%
Q1 - 1:04ORLMISS Richardson 4' Jump Shot15
36.9%
26
63.1%
Q1 - 1:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
38.0%
26
62.0%
Q1 - 1:19GSWMISS Thompson 18' Jump Shot15
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q1 - 1:43GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
36.4%
26
63.6%
Q1 - 1:44ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 215
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q1 - 1:44ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 215
37.7%
26
62.3%
Q1 - 1:55ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
37.9%
26
62.1%
Q1 - 1:57GSWMISS Udoh Free Throw 2 of 215
37.7%
26
62.3%
Q1 - 1:57GSWRobinson Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)15
36.4%
26
63.6%
Q1 - 1:57GSWUdoh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
38.6%
25
61.4%
Q1 - 2:18GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
41.2%
24
58.8%
Q1 - 2:20ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 215
41.5%
24
58.5%
Q1 - 2:20ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
42.6%
24
57.4%
Q1 - 2:39GSWEllis 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
41.0%
24
59.0%
Q1 - 2:49ORLHoward 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)14
43.4%
22
56.6%
Q1 - 3:07GSWLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)12
41.7%
22
58.3%
Q1 - 3:07GSWLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)12
42.1%
21
57.9%
Q1 - 3:19GSWRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
43.8%
20
56.2%
Q1 - 3:21ORLMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot12
44.5%
20
55.5%
Q1 - 3:43GSWBiedrins 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)12
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 3:58ORLTurkoglu Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)12
48.2%
18
51.8%
Q1 - 4:19GSWLee 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)12
50.9%
18
49.1%
Q1 - 4:35ORLDavis 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)12
52.9%
16
47.1%
Q1 - 4:59GSWLee 3' Running Bank Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)10
50.9%
16
49.1%
Q1 - 5:18ORLTurkoglu 18' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)10
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 5:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 5:35GSWMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 28
50.8%
14
49.2%
Q1 - 5:35GSWRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
49.3%
14
50.7%
Q1 - 5:50GSWWARRIORS Rebound8
50.9%
13
49.1%
Q1 - 5:50ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot8
51.6%
13
48.4%
Q1 - 5:58GSWLee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
53.2%
13
46.8%
Q1 - 6:17ORLHoward 1' Running Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)8
51.3%
13
48.7%
Q1 - 6:27ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
49.4%
13
50.6%
Q1 - 6:28GSWMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot6
48.7%
13
51.3%
Q1 - 6:49ORLNelson 22' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
47.2%
13
52.8%
Q1 - 7:10GSWJenkins 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)4
46.2%
13
53.8%
Q1 - 7:26ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
47.9%
11
52.1%
Q1 - 7:26ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 23
47.2%
11
52.8%
Q1 - 7:33ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
48.1%
11
51.9%
Q1 - 7:35GSWMISS Rush 3PT Jump Shot3
47.5%
11
52.5%
Q1 - 7:44GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
45.9%
11
54.1%
Q1 - 7:45ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot3
46.6%
11
53.4%
Q1 - 8:08ORLMagic Rebound3
48.6%
11
51.4%
Q1 - 8:11GSWMISS Jenkins 21' Jump Shot3
48.1%
11
51.9%
Q1 - 8:17ORLLee STEAL (1 STL)3
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 8:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)3
48.6%
11
51.4%
Q1 - 8:24GSWMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot3
48.0%
11
52.0%
Q1 - 8:42GSWJenkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
46.7%
11
53.3%
Q1 - 8:43ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
47.3%
11
52.7%
Q1 - 8:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)3
48.6%
11
51.4%
Q1 - 8:49ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot3
47.3%
11
52.7%
Q1 - 9:01GSWLee 1' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Jenkins 3 AST)3
49.6%
11
50.4%
Q1 - 9:19ORLTurkoglu 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)3
51.4%
9
48.6%
Q1 - 9:45GSWEllis Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)0
47.6%
9
52.4%
Q1 - 9:50ORLEllis STEAL (1 STL)0
49.5%
7
50.5%
Q1 - 10:06GSWRush 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jenkins 2 AST)0
52.1%
7
47.9%
Q1 - 10:21GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.4%
4
44.6%
Q1 - 10:23ORLBiedrins BLOCK (1 BLK)0
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 10:41GSWJenkins 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)0
57.4%
4
42.6%
Q1 - 10:55ORLJenkins STEAL (1 STL)0
58.9%
2
41.1%
Q1 - 10:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
60.8%
2
39.2%
Q1 - 10:58ORLMISS Turkoglu 28' 3PT Jump Shot0
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 11:19GSWLee 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jenkins 1 AST)0
60.8%
2
39.2%
Q1 - 11:39GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.5%
0
37.5%
Q1 - 11:40ORLMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot0
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Biedrins vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
63.9%
0
36.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.22 60.9%
GSW
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
22
68%
GSW
11
19
58%
Midrange
ORL
9
23
39%
GSW
22
40
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
GSW
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
ORL
36
55
65%
GSW
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard4558%22.5 / 39
H. Turkoglu2063%10.0 / 16
J. Redick1372%6.5 / 9
R. Anderson11110%5.5 / 5
J. Nelson956%4.5 / 8
V. Wafer880%4.0 / 5
J. Richardson750%3.5 / 7
G. Davis450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis3063%15.0 / 24
D. Lee2665%13.0 / 20
N. Robinson1447%7.0 / 15
K. Thompson1488%7.0 / 8
B. Rush1267%6.0 / 9
C. Jenkins857%4.0 / 7
A. Biedrins2100%1.0 / 1
D. McGuire250%1.0 / 2
E. Udoh113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
84
+9
-10
93
GSW
82
+9
-14
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.22 60.9%
GSW
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
105.0
ORL 124.5 +10.9
GSW 113.5
Pace
88.9
92.7
ORL 91.6
GSW 98.6 +7.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.4
ORL 15.7
GSW 14.6 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.5%
ORL 59.6% +1.1%
GSW 58.5%
TO %
15.7%
14.4%
ORL 9.8% +3.6%
GSW 13.4%
ORB %
26.5%
23.0%
ORL 22.0% +7.0%
GSW 15.0%
FTrt
29.2
22.7
ORL 80.9 +57.7
GSW 23.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
59.1%
ORL 77.1% +14.3%
GSW 62.8%
STL %
7.6%
8.6%
ORL 9.6% +2.3%
GSW 7.3%
BLK %
6.7%
8.7%
ORL 6.8% +2.4%
GSW 4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.6%
52.7%
ORL 60.9% +1.0%
GSW 59.9%
Rim FG%
57.7%
57.2%
ORL 68.2% +10.3%
GSW 57.9%
Mid FG%
34.8%
40.6%
ORL 39.1%
GSW 55.0% +15.9%
3P %
37.5%
38.8%
ORL 47.8% +4.3%
GSW 43.5%
FT %
66.0%
77.0%
ORL 65.5%
GSW 68.4% +2.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
33.5%
ORL 32.4% +9.2%
GSW 23.2%
Mid Att. %
29.0%
41.7%
ORL 33.8% +15.0%
GSW 48.8%
3P Att. %
34.6%
24.8%
ORL 33.8% +5.8%
GSW 28.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3 and 3.
Game TotalsORLGSW
Possessions9496
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points117109
Rebounds4338
Assists2727
Steals97
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (0)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals35-6843-82
At-the-Rim FG15-2211-19
Midrange FG9-2322-40
2-Point FG24-4533-59
3-Point FG11-2310-23
Free Throws36-5513-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 26
43.6
45
58%
23
3
4
2
3
2
7
16
21-39
54%
12-21
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 33
37.0
20
63%
4
9
0
0
1
3
0
4
7-8
88%
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
G · 6'0" 190 · 30
33.4
9
56%
2
6
3
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 240 · 24
23.1
11
110%
5
1
0
0
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
G · 6'6" 225 · 31
20.3
7
50%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28
34.5
13
72%
3
3
0
0
0
4
0
3
6-6
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 209 · 26
18.0
8
80%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26
14.7
4
50%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 29
14.6
0
0%
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 234 · 24
0.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 209 · 24
G · 6'5" 185 · 33
F · 6'10" 225 · 22
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F · 6'6" 228 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
61%
43
27
9
4
10
0
9
34
36-55
65%
24-45
53%
11-23
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.