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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Magic59%99117
22Warriors41%96109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
43.6
34.8
45
59%
23
3
4
1
2
3
7
16
21-39
54%
12-21
6-11
57%
58%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.8
37.0
32.7
20
64%
4
9
0
1
0
1
0
4
7-8
88%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
3-7
43%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.9
33.4
30.6
9
56%
2
6
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
1-4
25%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
23.1
29.2
11
113%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
3-3
100%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
20.3
31.7
7
50%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
1-4
25%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
34.5
24.9
13
67%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
6-6
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.5
18.0
6.3
8
80%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
2-2
100%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.0
14.7
24.6
4
50%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
14.6
17.0
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
0.9
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
6.2
0
1-1
44%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
2.6
0
0-1
38%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.4
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
42.6
38.0
30
61%
2
11
1
2
0
4
1
1
3-4
75%
9-15
7-14
60%
48%
3-8
38%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.7
41.7
38.6
26
66%
12
4
2
1
0
5
2
10
4-6
67%
11-17
7-14
65%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.5
39.6
21.8
12
68%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
3-6
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
20.7
9.0
2
100%
8
0
1
0
2
0
1
7
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.9
12.7
8.8
8
57%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
42%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.6
35.3
27.0
14
46%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
4-5
80%
5-9
2-4
56%
47%
0-4
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.9
23.4
16.6
14
88%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
4-5
80%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
14.5
16.7
1
13%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
8.2
9.9
2
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.6
1.2
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.1
28.1
1
2-4
47%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.5
2.9
0
0-1
41%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.3
2.4
0
0-1
45%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.8
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.