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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Trail Blazers53%10183
13Spurs47%10099
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
40.4
33.4
12
45%
12
5
4
1
1
4
2
10
3-5
60%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
1-4
25%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.5
36.4
31.7
13
38%
1
7
5
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-13
3-7
38%
45%
1-4
25%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
34.0
33.9
12
51%
3
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
49%
1-3
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
33.0
35.3
29
63%
7
2
2
1
1
1
2
5
5-5
100%
12-21
8-17
57%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
13.2
22.1
0
0%
3
0
2
1
2
4
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.8
23.6
23.3
5
23%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
44%
1-4
25%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
22.4
25.3
7
70%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.3
16.2
14.3
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.2
9.2
8.2
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.5
4.7
2.4
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
2.3
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
2.3
3.0
1
27%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.6
2.3
2.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.0
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.5
34.9
27.9
11
58%
5
1
2
1
0
2
2
3
0-1
0%
4-8
4-7
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.7
33.9
34.0
20
56%
4
9
2
1
0
4
0
4
4-4
100%
8-15
7-14
53%
50%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.6
30.2
30.4
3
21%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
1-5
20%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.7
27.8
20.6
13
67%
11
3
1
1
1
1
2
9
3-4
75%
5-8
4-7
63%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.7
20.9
29.7
7
44%
9
1
1
1
1
5
2
7
1-2
50%
3-7
6-12
43%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
29.9
16.1
13
67%
6
2
1
1
3
1
2
4
5-6
83%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.3
22.1
21.0
7
47%
3
2
0
0
0
4
0
3
0-1
0%
2-4
3-5
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.0
20.0
18.9
14
87%
4
2
0
1
2
3
0
4
4-7
57%
5-5
2-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.8
9.7
9.5
6
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.8
6.2
18.0
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-1
100%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.2
2.3
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
2.3
2.9
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.8
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.