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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nets39%96110
18Suns61%100103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
40.9
35.3
35
81%
2
14
0
1
0
2
0
2
7-8
88%
5-9
5-10
56%
48%
6-9
67%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
40.1
13.6
11
42%
7
1
2
0
1
4
1
6
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
47%
1-7
14%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
38.0
31.4
16
73%
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
4-7
57%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.0
35.7
28.0
20
61%
5
1
3
1
1
2
1
4
2-3
67%
6-11
4-8
55%
44%
2-4
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
28.4
30.8
15
77%
6
0
1
1
0
0
3
3
3-4
75%
6-8
4-9
75%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
19.3
19.2
10
63%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
2-3
67%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
17.8
21.0
2
25%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.8
11.6
10.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.9
5.8
21.5
1
17%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.0
2.4
14.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.7
10.6
1
1-3
46%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.3
3.8
0
0-1
45%
Dennis Horner
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
1.1
0
0-0
45%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.8
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
37.4
31.9
18
77%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
2-3
67%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.1
35.1
22.2
13
46%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
32.4
31.1
20
69%
10
1
0
1
0
0
3
7
0-1
0%
10-14
6-10
71%
57%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.6
31.8
13.3
18
73%
4
8
2
1
0
4
2
2
3-3
100%
6-8
1-2
75%
42%
1-3
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
30.4
26.0
15
69%
6
7
0
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
2-5
40%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.4
17.6
21.9
3
39%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.6
16.3
3.5
6
38%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.8
15.5
11.6
4
114%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
12.9
17.1
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.5
10.6
14.6
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.6
3.6
0
0-1
58%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.9
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.