Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 13, 2012

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	1	Heat	53%	103	104
	9	Nuggets	47%	102	117

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Heat	108.3	96	104.6
Nuggets	123.2	95	87.7

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+16

-17

DEN

+13

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.09 54.7%

DEN

1.29 64.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
Q4 - 0:00.0	DEN		104 0%	117 100%
Q4 - 0:08.0	MIA	Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)	104 0%	117 100%
Q4 - 0:12.0	DEN	Koufos Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	101 0%	117 100%
Q4 - 0:12.0	DEN	Koufos Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	101 0%	116 100%
Q4 - 0:12.0	MIA	Gladness S.FOUL (P1.PN)	101	115
Q4 - 0:35.0	MIA	Chalmers 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)	101 0.1%	115 99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0	MIA	Chalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	98 0.1%	115 99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0	MIA	MISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot	98 0.1%	115 99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0	DEN	SUB: Stone FOR Lawson	98	115
Q4 - 0:52.0	DEN	SUB: Koufos FOR Nene	98	115
Q4 - 0:52.0	DEN	SUB: Brewer FOR Fernandez	98	115
Q4 - 1:02	DEN	Nene 2' Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)	98 0.1%	115 99.9%
Q4 - 1:25	DEN	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	98 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 1:26	MIA	MISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot	98 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 1:37	MIA	Harris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	98 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 1:38	DEN	MISS Gallinari 21' Jump Shot	98 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 1:59	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)	98 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 2:00	MIA	MISS Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot	98 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 2:12	MIA	SUB: Jones FOR James	98	113
Q4 - 2:12	DEN	Fernandez Traveling Turnover (P1.T19)	98 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 2:33	MIA	SUB: Gladness FOR Battier	98	113
Q4 - 2:33	MIA	SUB: Harris FOR Bosh	98	113
Q4 - 2:33	DEN		98	113
Q4 - 2:33	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)	98	113
Q4 - 2:34	MIA	Cole 1' Layup (10 PTS)	98 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 2:39	DEN	Lawson Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)	96 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 2:58	MIA	Chalmers 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)	96 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 3:05	MIA	Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	94 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 3:06	DEN	MISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot	94 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 3:25	DEN	Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	94 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 3:26	MIA	MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot	94 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 3:36	DEN	Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)	94 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 3:56	MIA	James 26' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS)	94 0.2%	110 99.8%
Q4 - 4:04	MIA	James Violation:Defensive Goaltending	91	110
Q4 - 4:04	DEN	Lawson 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)	91 0.1%	110 99.9%
Q4 - 4:09	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)	91 0.1%	108 99.9%
Q4 - 4:09	MIA	MISS Cole 5' Running Hook Shot	91 0.2%	108 99.8%
Q4 - 4:30	DEN	Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)	91 0.2%	108 99.8%
Q4 - 4:44	MIA	James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)	91 0.4%	105 99.6%
Q4 - 5:00	DEN	Miller 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)	88 0.2%	105 99.8%
Q4 - 5:22	MIA	James Traveling Turnover (P4.T17)	88 0.6%	103 99.4%
Q4 - 5:30	MIA	SUB: Cole FOR Haslem	88	103
Q4 - 5:30	DEN	Nene Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)	88 0.9%	103 99.1%
Q4 - 5:43	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	88 0.6%	103 99.4%
Q4 - 5:44	MIA	MISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot	88 0.7%	103 99.3%
Q4 - 6:08	DEN	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	88 1.5%	103 98.5%
Q4 - 6:08	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	88	102
Q4 - 6:08	DEN	MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2	88 1.6%	102 98.4%
Q4 - 6:08	MIA	Battier S.FOUL (P2.T4)	88	102
Q4 - 6:27	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	88 1.5%	102 98.5%
Q4 - 6:27	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	87 1.4%	102 98.6%
Q4 - 6:27	DEN	Nene S.FOUL (P3.T2)	86	102
Q4 - 6:49	DEN	Lawson 22' Jump Shot (22 PTS)	86 1.1%	102 98.9%
Q4 - 7:14	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	86 2.1%	100 97.9%
Q4 - 7:15	MIA	MISS James 19' Jump Shot	86 2.3%	100 97.7%
Q4 - 7:24	DEN	SUB: Gallinari FOR Harrington	86	100
Q4 - 7:24	MIA	SUB: Chalmers FOR Wade	86	100
Q4 - 7:24	MIA	Heat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)	86	100
Q4 - 7:32	DEN	Harrington Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)	86 2.8%	100 97.2%
Q4 - 7:46	MIA	James 23' Jump Shot (29 PTS)	86 2.1%	100 97.9%
Q4 - 7:58	DEN	Nene 1' Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	84 1.6%	100 98.4%
Q4 - 8:08	DEN	SUB: Lawson FOR Brewer	84	98
Q4 - 8:08	MIA	SUB: Battier FOR Chalmers	84	98
Q4 - 8:08	MIA	Bosh P.FOUL (P2.T3)	84	98
Q4 - 8:20	MIA	Bosh Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)	84 2.9%	98 97.1%
Q4 - 8:36	DEN	Miller Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	82 2.2%	98 97.8%
Q4 - 8:36	MIA	Chalmers S.FOUL (P5.T2)	82	97
Q4 - 8:36	DEN	Miller 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)	82	97
Q4 - 8:50	MIA	James Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)	82 3.7%	95 96.3%
Q4 - 8:50	MIA	Heat Rebound	81	95
Q4 - 8:50	MIA	MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2	81 3.5%	95 96.5%
Q4 - 8:50	DEN	Miller S.FOUL (P2.T1)	81	95
Q4 - 9:09	MIA	SUB: Chalmers FOR Cole	81	95
Q4 - 9:09	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)	81	95
Q4 - 9:09	DEN	Miller 2' Layup (2 PTS)	81 4.6%	95 95.4%
Q4 - 9:10	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	81 5.8%	93 94.2%
Q4 - 9:11	DEN	MISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot	81 6.8%	93 93.2%
Q4 - 9:32	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	81 5.8%	93 94.2%
Q4 - 9:33	MIA	MISS Bosh 4' Running Hook Shot	81 6.2%	93 93.8%
Q4 - 9:51	DEN	Fernandez 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)	81 7.1%	93 92.9%
Q4 - 9:54	MIA	Harrington STEAL (1 STL)	81 8.9%	91 91.1%
Q4 - 9:56	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	81 11.0%	91 89.0%
Q4 - 9:57	MIA	MISS Wade 1' Layup	81 9.5%	91 90.5%
Q4 - 10:07	MIA	SUB: James FOR Battier	81	91
Q4 - 10:07	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)	81	91
Q4 - 10:09	DEN	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	81 12.4%	91 87.6%
Q4 - 10:09	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	81 13.1%	90 86.9%
Q4 - 10:09	MIA	Wade S.FOUL (P4.T1)	81	89
Q4 - 10:16	DEN	Fernandez Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)	81 15.0%	89 85.0%
Q4 - 10:16	MIA	Wade T.FOUL (P3.T0)	81	88
Q4 - 10:25	MIA	Wade Foul Turnover (P3.T15)	81 18.1%	88 81.9%
Q4 - 10:25	MIA	Wade OFF.Foul (P3)	81	88
Q4 - 10:29	DEN	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)	81 21.7%	88 78.3%
Q4 - 10:54	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	81 18.0%	88 82.0%
Q4 - 10:55	MIA	MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot	81 19.1%	88 80.9%
Q4 - 11:16	DEN	Harrington 15' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)	81 22.9%	88 77.1%
Q4 - 11:40	MIA	Cole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)	81 26.9%	86 73.1%
Q4 - 12:00			81	86
Q3 - 0:00.0	MIA		81 31.2%	86 68.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	81 31.2%	86 68.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0	DEN	MISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	81 31.1%	86 68.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	81 28.3%	86 71.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0	DEN	SUB: Lawson FOR Brewer	80	86
Q3 - 0:20.0	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	80 27.4%	86 72.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0	MIA	SUB: Wade FOR James	79	86
Q3 - 0:20.0	DEN	Brewer P.FOUL (P2.PN)	79	86
Q3 - 0:33.0	DEN	Harrington 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	79 24.0%	86 76.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	79 32.5%	83 67.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0	DEN	MISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot	79 35.5%	83 64.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0	MIA	Miller STEAL (1 STL)	79 32.5%	83 67.5%
Q3 - 1:07	DEN	Harrington 1' Layup (10 PTS)	79 37.4%	83 62.6%
Q3 - 1:23	MIA	Cole 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)	79 42.4%	81 57.6%
Q3 - 1:32	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	77 37.4%	81 62.6%
Q3 - 1:33	DEN	MISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot	77 36.1%	81 63.9%
Q3 - 1:56	MIA	Cole Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	77 33.2%	81 66.8%
Q3 - 1:56	MIA	Cole Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	76 32.2%	81 67.8%
Q3 - 1:56	DEN	Fernandez Shooting Block Foul (P2.T3)	75	81
Q3 - 2:00	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	75 28.7%	81 71.3%
Q3 - 2:01	DEN	MISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 2	75 29.3%	81 70.7%
Q3 - 2:01	DEN	SUB: Brewer FOR Afflalo	75	81
Q3 - 2:01	MIA	SUB: Bosh FOR Pittman	75	81
Q3 - 2:01	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	75	81
Q3 - 2:01	DEN	MISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 2	75 26.7%	81 73.3%
Q3 - 2:01	MIA	Cole S.FOUL (P3.PN)	75	81
Q3 - 2:11	MIA	James 21' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)	75 26.0%	81 74.0%
Q3 - 2:31	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	73 22.6%	81 77.4%
Q3 - 2:32	DEN	MISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot	73 21.6%	81 78.4%
Q3 - 2:49	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)	73	81
Q3 - 2:49	MIA	Pittman Foul Turnover (P1.T12)	73 19.4%	81 80.6%
Q3 - 2:49	MIA	Pittman OFF.Foul (P4)	73	81
Q3 - 3:05	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	73 24.0%	81 76.0%
Q3 - 3:06	DEN	MISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 2	73 23.5%	81 76.5%
Q3 - 3:06	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	73 21.7%	81 78.3%
Q3 - 3:06	MIA	Battier P.FOUL (P1.PN)	73	80
Q3 - 3:22	MIA	James Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)	73 23.8%	80 76.2%
Q3 - 3:31	DEN	SUB: Miller FOR Lawson	73	80
Q3 - 3:31	DEN	SUB: Nene FOR Mozgov	73	80
Q3 - 3:31	MIA	Cole Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)	73 27.3%	80 72.7%
Q3 - 3:31	DEN	NUGGETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Harrington )	72	80
Q3 - 3:42	DEN	Lawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)	72 23.9%	80 76.1%
Q3 - 3:42	MIA	SUB: Pittman FOR Bosh	72	79
Q3 - 3:42	MIA	Haslem S.FOUL (P3.PN)	72	79
Q3 - 3:42	DEN	Lawson 2' Layup (19 PTS)	72	79
Q3 - 3:43	DEN	Lawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	72 30.8%	77 69.2%
Q3 - 3:44	DEN	MISS Afflalo Layup	72 33.6%	77 66.4%
Q3 - 3:48	DEN	Mozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	72 30.8%	77 69.2%
Q3 - 3:49	MIA	MISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper	72 32.0%	77 68.0%
Q3 - 4:05	DEN	Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	72 35.7%	77 64.3%
Q3 - 4:05	MIA	SUB: Cole FOR Chalmers	72	76
Q3 - 4:05	DEN	SUB: Fernandez FOR Gallinari	72	76
Q3 - 4:05	DEN	Lawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	72 36.4%	76 63.6%
Q3 - 4:05	MIA	Chalmers S.FOUL (P4.T4)	72	75
Q3 - 4:16	MIA	Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)	72 39.0%	75 61.0%
Q3 - 4:36	MIA	James Violation:Defensive Goaltending	69	75
Q3 - 4:36	DEN	Afflalo 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)	69 31.8%	75 68.2%
Q3 - 4:40	MIA	Gallinari STEAL (3 STL)	69 35.0%	73 65.0%
Q3 - 4:57	DEN	Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)	69 39.8%	73 60.2%
Q3 - 5:11	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	69 47.7%	70 52.3%
Q3 - 5:11	MIA	SUB: Battier FOR Wade	68	70
Q3 - 5:11	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	68 46.9%	70 53.1%
Q3 - 5:11	DEN	Gallinari S.FOUL (P4.T2)	67	70
Q3 - 5:31	DEN	Lawson 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)	67 44.0%	70 56.0%
Q3 - 5:44	MIA	Wade 10' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)	67 47.7%	68 52.3%
Q3 - 5:51	DEN	Lawson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)	65 44.0%	68 56.0%
Q3 - 6:00	MIA	James 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS)	65 39.5%	68 60.5%
Q3 - 6:08	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)	63	68
Q3 - 6:14	DEN	Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)	63 36.7%	68 63.3%
Q3 - 6:29	DEN	Mozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	63 44.1%	65 55.9%
Q3 - 6:30	MIA	MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2	63 44.7%	65 55.3%
Q3 - 6:30	MIA	Heat Rebound	63	65
Q3 - 6:30	MIA	MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2	63 47.3%	65 52.7%
Q3 - 6:30	DEN	Gallinari S.FOUL (P3.T1)	63	65
Q3 - 6:36	DEN	Lawson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)	63 48.4%	65 51.6%
Q3 - 6:46	MIA	Afflalo STEAL (1 STL)	63 44.1%	65 55.9%
Q3 - 7:06	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	63 48.2%	65 51.8%
Q3 - 7:06	DEN	SUB: Harrington FOR Nene	63	64
Q3 - 7:06	MIA	SUB: Haslem FOR Pittman	63	64
Q3 - 7:06	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	63 48.8%	64 51.2%
Q3 - 7:06	MIA	Pittman P.FOUL (P3.T3)	63	63
Q3 - 7:20	MIA	James 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)	63 51.9%	63 48.1%
Q3 - 7:26	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	61 48.3%	63 51.7%
Q3 - 7:27	DEN	MISS Nene 2' Driving Layup	61 47.0%	63 53.0%
Q3 - 7:46	MIA	Wade 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 6 AST)	61 44.2%	63 55.8%
Q3 - 7:55	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	59 40.7%	63 59.3%
Q3 - 7:56	MIA	MISS James 15' Fadeaway Jumper	59 38.0%	63 62.0%
Q3 - 8:22	DEN	Nene 3' Dunk (9 PTS)	59 41.0%	63 59.0%
Q3 - 8:23	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	59 44.5%	61 55.5%
Q3 - 8:24	DEN	MISS Afflalo 1' Layup	59 47.2%	61 52.8%
Q3 - 8:28	DEN	Lawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	59 44.5%	61 55.5%
Q3 - 8:29	MIA	MISS Wade 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	59 45.7%	61 54.3%
Q3 - 8:40	DEN	Mozgov 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)	59 48.5%	61 51.5%
Q3 - 8:59	MIA	Bosh 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 5 AST)	59 52.0%	59 48.0%
Q3 - 9:10	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	57 48.5%	59 51.5%
Q3 - 9:11	DEN	MISS Afflalo 22' Jump Shot	57 47.3%	59 52.7%
Q3 - 9:24	MIA	Chalmers P.FOUL (P3.T2)	57	59
Q3 - 9:34	MIA	James 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)	57 44.7%	59 55.3%
Q3 - 9:45	MIA	Heat Rebound	55	59
Q3 - 9:45	MIA	MISS Chalmers Free Throw Technical	55 41.2%	59 58.8%
Q3 - 9:45	DEN	NUGGETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mozgov )	55	59
Q3 - 10:00	DEN	Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)	55 41.2%	59 58.8%
Q3 - 10:06	DEN	Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	55 48.6%	56 51.4%
Q3 - 10:07	MIA	MISS Wade 22' Jump Shot	55 49.8%	56 50.2%
Q3 - 10:23	DEN	Lawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)	55 52.4%	56 47.6%
Q3 - 10:40	MIA	Chalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T8)	55 48.6%	56 51.4%
Q3 - 10:40	MIA	Chalmers OFF.Foul (P2)	55	56
Q3 - 10:57	DEN	Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	55 52.4%	56 47.6%
Q3 - 10:57	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	55	55
Q3 - 10:57	DEN	MISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 2	55 53.0%	55 47.0%
Q3 - 10:57	MIA	Bosh S.FOUL (P1.T1)	55	55
Q3 - 11:01	DEN	Lawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	55 52.6%	55 47.4%
Q3 - 11:02	MIA	MISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot	55 53.7%	55 46.3%
Q3 - 11:08	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	55 56.2%	55 43.8%
Q3 - 11:09	DEN	MISS Mozgov 2' Layup	55 55.1%	55 44.9%
Q3 - 11:28	MIA	Chalmers 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	55 52.6%	55 47.4%
Q3 - 11:34	DEN	Gallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)	53 49.3%	55 50.7%
Q3 - 12:00			53	55
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA		53 45.7%	55 54.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA	Heat Rebound	53 49.3%	55 50.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA	MISS Bosh 76' 3PT Running Jump Shot	53 46.8%	55 53.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	53 49.1%	55 50.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0	DEN	MISS Mozgov 1' Layup	53 48.4%	55 51.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0	MIA	Gallinari STEAL (2 STL)	53 46.8%	55 53.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	53 49.1%	55 50.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0	DEN	MISS Gallinari 18' Jump Shot	53 48.4%	55 51.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0	MIA	James 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)	53 46.7%	55 53.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)	50 39.4%	55 60.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0	DEN	SUB: Miller FOR Lawson	50	54
Q2 - 0:56.0	MIA	Haslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)	50	54
Q2 - 0:56.0	DEN	Gallinari 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)	50	54
Q2 - 0:59.0	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	50 46.6%	52 53.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0	MIA	Haslem 1' Layup (8 PTS)	50 46.6%	52 53.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0	MIA	MISS Bosh 1' Layup	48 40.9%	52 59.1%
Q2 - 1:12	DEN	Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)	48 42.8%	52 57.2%
Q2 - 1:29	DEN	Mozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	48 50.2%	49 49.8%
Q2 - 1:30	MIA	MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2	48 50.5%	49 49.5%
Q2 - 1:30	DEN	SUB: Brewer FOR Nene	48	49
Q2 - 1:30	MIA	SUB: Bosh FOR Pittman	48	49
Q2 - 1:30	MIA	SUB: Wade FOR Harris	48	49
Q2 - 1:30	MIA	James Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	48 52.7%	49 47.3%
Q2 - 1:30	DEN	Gallinari S.FOUL (P2.T3)	47	49
Q2 - 1:42	DEN	Mozgov 6' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Fernandez 4 AST)	47 49.2%	49 50.8%
Q2 - 1:59	MIA	James 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)	47 53.5%	47 46.5%
Q2 - 2:14	DEN	Mozgov 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)	45 49.9%	47 50.1%
Q2 - 2:35	MIA	James 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)	45 53.0%	45 47.0%
Q2 - 2:46	MIA	Heat Rebound	43	45
Q2 - 2:46	MIA	MISS Chalmers Free Throw Technical	43 49.8%	45 50.2%
Q2 - 2:46	MIA	SUB: Haslem FOR Bosh	43	45
Q2 - 2:46	DEN	SUB: Fernandez FOR Afflalo	43	45
Q2 - 2:46	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)	43	45
Q2 - 2:46	DEN	Afflalo T.FOUL (P3.T2)	43	45
Q2 - 2:46	DEN	Afflalo Foul Turnover (P1.T10)	43 49.8%	45 50.2%
Q2 - 2:46	DEN	Afflalo OFF.Foul (P3)	43	45
Q2 - 2:50	DEN	Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	43 46.7%	45 53.3%
Q2 - 2:51	MIA	Afflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)	43 47.7%	45 52.3%
Q2 - 2:58	DEN	Gallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)	43 49.8%	45 50.2%
Q2 - 3:03	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	43 46.9%	45 53.1%
Q2 - 3:04	MIA	MISS Bosh 2' Layup	43 48.0%	45 52.0%
Q2 - 3:15	DEN	Lawson 4' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)	43 50.4%	45 49.6%
Q2 - 3:32	MIA	Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)	43 53.0%	43 47.0%
Q2 - 3:47	DEN	Lawson 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)	40 47.3%	43 52.7%
Q2 - 3:52	MIA	Lawson STEAL (2 STL)	40 49.9%	41 50.1%
Q2 - 4:08	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	40 53.3%	41 46.7%
Q2 - 4:09	DEN	MISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot	40 52.3%	41 47.7%
Q2 - 4:26	MIA	Chalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	40 50.1%	41 49.9%
Q2 - 4:26	MIA	Chalmers OFF.Foul (P1)	40	41
Q2 - 4:31	DEN	Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	40 53.3%	41 46.7%
Q2 - 4:31	MIA	SUB: Harris FOR Wade	40	40
Q2 - 4:31	DEN	SUB: Nene FOR Miller	40	40
Q2 - 4:31	DEN	Lawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	40 53.8%	40 46.2%
Q2 - 4:31	MIA	Pittman S.FOUL (P2.PN)	40	39
Q2 - 4:48	MIA	James 2' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Pittman 1 AST)	40 56.0%	39 44.0%
Q2 - 5:02	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	38 53.4%	39 46.6%
Q2 - 5:03	DEN	MISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	38 52.6%	39 47.4%
Q2 - 5:27	MIA	Pittman 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)	38 50.6%	39 49.4%
Q2 - 5:36	MIA	SUB: Pittman FOR Cole	36	39
Q2 - 5:36	MIA	SUB: Chalmers FOR Battier	36	39
Q2 - 5:36	MIA	SUB: James FOR Haslem	36	39
Q2 - 5:36	DEN	SUB: Mozgov FOR Nene	36	39
Q2 - 5:36			36	39
Q2 - 5:36	DEN	Lawson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)	36 47.6%	39 52.4%
Q2 - 5:36	DEN	Lawson OFF.Foul (P2)	36	39
Q2 - 5:39	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	36 44.8%	39 55.2%
Q2 - 5:40	MIA	MISS Cole 2' Layup	36 45.6%	39 54.4%
Q2 - 5:47	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	36 47.5%	39 52.5%
Q2 - 5:48	MIA	MISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot	36 45.6%	39 54.4%
Q2 - 6:06	DEN	Lawson 1' Layup (6 PTS)	36 48.0%	39 52.0%
Q2 - 6:30	MIA	Cole 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)	36 50.4%	37 49.6%
Q2 - 6:32	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	34 48.0%	37 52.0%
Q2 - 6:34	MIA	MISS Cole Tip Shot	34 45.7%	37 54.3%
Q2 - 6:36	MIA	Cole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	34 48.0%	37 52.0%
Q2 - 6:37	MIA	MISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot	34 45.7%	37 54.3%
Q2 - 6:42	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	34 48.0%	37 52.0%
Q2 - 6:42	DEN	MISS Gallinari 8' Running Jump Shot	34 47.0%	37 53.0%
Q2 - 6:49	DEN	Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	34 44.8%	37 55.2%
Q2 - 6:50	MIA	MISS Bosh 1' Driving Reverse Layup	34 45.7%	37 54.3%
Q2 - 7:02	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	34 48.2%	37 51.8%
Q2 - 7:03	DEN	MISS Nene 16' Jump Shot	34 47.3%	37 52.7%
Q2 - 7:23	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	34 45.2%	37 54.8%
Q2 - 7:24	MIA	MISS Wade 21' Jump Shot	34 46.1%	37 53.9%
Q2 - 7:42	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	34 48.2%	37 51.8%
Q2 - 7:43	DEN	MISS Nene 19' Jump Shot	34 47.3%	37 52.7%
Q2 - 8:07	DEN	SUB: Afflalo FOR Brewer	34	37
Q2 - 8:07	DEN	SUB: Gallinari FOR Fernandez	34	37
Q2 - 8:07	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)	34	37
Q2 - 8:07	MIA	Bosh 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)	34 45.7%	37 54.3%
Q2 - 8:20	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	32 43.1%	37 56.9%
Q2 - 8:20	DEN	MISS Fernandez 3PT Jump Shot	32 42.3%	37 57.7%
Q2 - 8:33	MIA	Bosh 1' Putback Layup (9 PTS)	32 40.5%	37 59.5%
Q2 - 8:34	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	30 38.0%	37 62.0%
Q2 - 8:35	MIA	Nene BLOCK (1 BLK)	30 36.3%	37 63.7%
Q2 - 8:38	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 38.0%	37 62.0%
Q2 - 8:40	DEN	MISS Brewer 6' Running Hook Shot	30 37.2%	37 62.8%
Q2 - 8:43	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	30 35.5%	37 64.5%
Q2 - 8:48	MIA	MISS Battier 6' Jump Hook Shot	30 36.2%	37 63.8%
Q2 - 9:01	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	30 38.4%	37 61.6%
Q2 - 9:01	DEN	MISS Miller 1' Driving Reverse Layup	30 37.7%	37 62.3%
Q2 - 9:15	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	30 35.9%	37 64.1%
Q2 - 9:15	DEN	Nene Shooting Block Foul (P2.T2)	29	37
Q2 - 9:15	MIA	Bosh 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)	29	37
Q2 - 9:27	DEN	Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)	27 31.4%	37 68.6%
Q2 - 9:37	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	27 35.9%	34 64.1%
Q2 - 9:38	DEN	MISS Fernandez 26' 3PT Jump Shot	27 37.6%	34 62.4%
Q2 - 9:48	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	27 35.9%	34 64.1%
Q2 - 9:49	DEN	MISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 2	27 38.1%	34 61.9%
Q2 - 9:49	DEN	SUB: Lawson FOR Harrington	27	34
Q2 - 9:49	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	27 36.6%	34 63.4%
Q2 - 9:49	MIA	Wade S.FOUL (P2.T4)	27	33
Q2 - 10:11	MIA	Wade 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)	27 38.3%	33 61.7%
Q2 - 10:17	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 36.2%	33 63.8%
Q2 - 10:17	DEN	MISS Nene 1' Layup	25 35.4%	33 64.6%
Q2 - 10:32	MIA	Bosh 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)	25 33.7%	33 66.3%
Q2 - 10:57	DEN	Fernandez Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)	23 31.7%	33 68.3%
Q2 - 10:57	MIA	Haslem S.FOUL (P1.T3)	23	32
Q2 - 10:57	DEN	Fernandez 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	23	32
Q2 - 11:01	MIA	Wade L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)	23	30
Q2 - 11:01	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	23 36.3%	30 63.7%
Q2 - 11:03	DEN	MISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot	23 37.9%	30 62.1%
Q2 - 11:22	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	23 36.2%	30 63.8%
Q2 - 11:22	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	22 35.8%	30 64.2%
Q2 - 11:22	DEN	Brewer S.FOUL (P1.T1)	21	30
Q2 - 11:37	DEN	Harrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	21 34.1%	30 65.9%
Q2 - 11:46	MIA	Cole P.FOUL (P2.T1)	21	30
Q2 - 12:00			21	30
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN		21 31.8%	30 68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	21 31.8%	30 68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN	MISS Miller 74' 3PT Running Jump Shot	21 33.4%	30 66.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA	Cole Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	21 31.8%	30 68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA	Heat Rebound	20	30
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA	MISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 2	20 31.3%	30 68.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN	Lawson S.FOUL (P1.PN)	20	30
Q1 - 0:04.0	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	20 32.2%	30 67.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0	DEN	MISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot	20 31.7%	30 68.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	20 30.5%	30 69.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0	DEN	SUB: Lawson FOR Gallinari	19	30
Q1 - 0:26.0	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	19 30.1%	30 69.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0	DEN	Harrington S.FOUL (P1.PN)	18	30
Q1 - 0:36.0	DEN	Gallinari Foul Turnover (P2.T6)	18 28.1%	30 71.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0	DEN	Gallinari OFF.Foul (P1)	18	30
Q1 - 0:44.0	DEN	Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 26.6%	30 73.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0	MIA	MISS James 18' Jump Shot	18 27.0%	30 73.0%
Q1 - 1:05	DEN	Nene 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	18 28.9%	30 71.1%
Q1 - 1:17	MIA	Cole P.FOUL (P1.T3)	18	28
Q1 - 1:32	MIA	Haslem 1' Layup (4 PTS)	18 31.3%	28 68.7%
Q1 - 1:57	DEN	SUB: Nene FOR Mozgov	16	28
Q1 - 1:57	DEN	NUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)	16 28.8%	28 71.2%
Q1 - 1:57	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	16 27.4%	28 72.6%
Q1 - 1:58	DEN	MISS Fernandez 20' Fadeaway Jumper	16 28.4%	28 71.6%
Q1 - 2:21	MIA	James Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	16 27.9%	28 72.1%
Q1 - 2:21	MIA	James Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	15 27.5%	28 72.5%
Q1 - 2:21	MIA	SUB: Cole FOR Chalmers	14	28
Q1 - 2:21	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	14	28
Q1 - 2:21	DEN	Miller S.FOUL (P1.PN)	14	28
Q1 - 2:23	DEN	Harrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	14 25.9%	28 74.1%
Q1 - 2:27	DEN	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 24.3%	28 75.7%
Q1 - 2:27	MIA	Mozgov BLOCK (3 BLK)	14 24.8%	28 75.2%
Q1 - 2:36	DEN	Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fernandez 3 AST)	14 25.9%	28 74.1%
Q1 - 2:48	MIA	Haslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)	14 29.7%	25 70.3%
Q1 - 2:58	DEN	Harrington 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Fernandez 2 AST)	12 27.7%	25 72.3%
Q1 - 3:09	MIA	Pittman P.FOUL (P1.T2)	12	23
Q1 - 3:13	DEN	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 30.0%	23 70.0%
Q1 - 3:14	MIA	MISS Battier 1' Tip Shot	12 30.6%	23 69.4%
Q1 - 3:15	MIA	Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	12 32.1%	23 67.9%
Q1 - 3:16	MIA	MISS Pittman 8' Jump Hook Shot	12 30.6%	23 69.4%
Q1 - 3:32	DEN	SUB: Miller FOR Lawson	12	23
Q1 - 3:32	DEN	Fernandez P.FOUL (P1.T4)	12	23
Q1 - 3:40	DEN	Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)	12 32.0%	23 68.0%
Q1 - 3:57	DEN	Mozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	12 36.0%	20 64.0%
Q1 - 3:57	MIA	MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot	12 36.6%	20 63.4%
Q1 - 4:09	MIA	SUB: Battier FOR Anthony	12	20
Q1 - 4:09	MIA	SUB: Pittman FOR Bosh	12	20
Q1 - 4:09	MIA	Heat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)	12	20
Q1 - 4:11	DEN	SUB: Mozgov FOR Nene	12	20
Q1 - 4:11	MIA	Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	12 39.5%	20 60.5%
Q1 - 4:11	DEN	MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 1	12 39.2%	20 60.8%
Q1 - 4:11	DEN	SUB: Harrington FOR Mozgov	12	20
Q1 - 4:11	MIA	SUB: Haslem FOR Wade	12	20
Q1 - 4:11	MIA	Anthony S.FOUL (P1.T1)	12	20
Q1 - 4:11	DEN	Nene 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)	12	20
Q1 - 4:26	DEN	Mozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	12 41.3%	18 58.7%
Q1 - 4:26	MIA	MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot	12 42.0%	18 58.0%
Q1 - 4:32	DEN	Lawson 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)	12 43.5%	18 56.5%
Q1 - 4:42	DEN	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 45.4%	16 54.6%
Q1 - 4:42	MIA	MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot	12 46.0%	16 54.0%
Q1 - 5:00	DEN	Lawson Dunk (2 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST)	12 47.6%	16 52.4%
Q1 - 5:04	MIA	Fernandez STEAL (1 STL)	12 49.3%	14 50.7%
Q1 - 5:08	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	12 51.5%	14 48.5%
Q1 - 5:09	DEN	MISS Mozgov 2' Reverse Layup	12 50.8%	14 49.2%
Q1 - 5:26	MIA	Wade Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)	12 49.4%	14 50.6%
Q1 - 5:37	MIA	Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	10 47.8%	14 52.2%
Q1 - 5:38	MIA	Mozgov BLOCK (2 BLK)	10 46.3%	14 53.7%
Q1 - 5:47	DEN	Nene 2' Layup (2 PTS)	10 47.8%	14 52.2%
Q1 - 5:53	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	10 49.5%	12 50.5%
Q1 - 5:54	DEN	MISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot	10 50.9%	12 49.1%
Q1 - 6:05	DEN	Mozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	10 49.6%	12 50.4%
Q1 - 6:06	MIA	MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2	10 49.9%	12 50.1%
Q1 - 6:06	MIA	James Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	10 51.0%	12 49.0%
Q1 - 6:06	DEN	Nene IN.FOUL (P1.T3)	9	12
Q1 - 6:07	MIA	Heat Rebound	9 49.7%	12 50.3%
Q1 - 6:08	MIA	Mozgov BLOCK (1 BLK)	9 48.4%	12 51.6%
Q1 - 6:10	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	9 49.8%	12 50.2%
Q1 - 6:11	MIA	MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot	9 48.5%	12 51.5%
Q1 - 6:26	DEN	Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)	9 49.8%	12 50.2%
Q1 - 6:31	MIA	Gallinari STEAL (1 STL)	9 53.1%	9 46.9%
Q1 - 6:34	DEN	Nene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)	9 54.9%	9 45.1%
Q1 - 6:52	MIA	James Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	9 53.1%	9 46.9%
Q1 - 6:52	DEN	SUB: Fernandez FOR Afflalo	8	9
Q1 - 6:52	DEN	Afflalo S.FOUL (P2.T2)	8	9
Q1 - 6:52	MIA	James Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)	8	9
Q1 - 6:56	DEN	Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)	6 49.9%	9 50.1%
Q1 - 7:04	DEN	Mozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	6 53.1%	6 46.9%
Q1 - 7:05	MIA	MISS Bosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot	6 53.7%	6 46.3%
Q1 - 7:14	DEN	Mozgov 1' Layup (6 PTS)	6 54.9%	6 45.1%
Q1 - 7:16	DEN	MISS Afflalo 2' Layup	6 57.4%	4 42.6%
Q1 - 7:16	DEN	Mozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6 56.2%	4 43.8%
Q1 - 7:29	MIA	Mozgov STEAL (1 STL)	6 56.2%	4 43.8%
Q1 - 7:41	DEN	Nene Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	6	4
Q1 - 7:41	DEN	Jump Ball Nene vs. Anthony: Tip to Bosh	6 57.7%	4 42.3%
Q1 - 7:48	DEN	Afflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	6 56.0%	4 44.0%
Q1 - 7:49	DEN	MISS Gallinari 1' Layup	6 57.2%	4 42.8%
Q1 - 7:54	MIA	Lawson STEAL (1 STL)	6 56.0%	4 44.0%
Q1 - 7:56	MIA	Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	6 57.6%	4 42.4%
Q1 - 7:56	MIA	MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot	6 56.5%	4 43.5%
Q1 - 8:12	DEN	Mozgov 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)	6 57.4%	4 42.6%
Q1 - 8:33	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 58.5%	2 41.5%
Q1 - 8:34	MIA	MISS Wade 22' Jump Shot	6 58.8%	2 41.2%
Q1 - 8:53	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	6	2
Q1 - 8:55	MIA	Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 59.3%	2 40.7%
Q1 - 8:57	DEN	MISS Mozgov 2' Dunk	6 58.9%	2 41.1%
Q1 - 9:11	DEN	Afflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 57.9%	2 42.1%
Q1 - 9:11	MIA	MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot	6 58.2%	2 41.8%
Q1 - 9:20	DEN	Afflalo P.FOUL (P1.T1)	6	2
Q1 - 9:27	DEN	Mozgov 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)	6 58.6%	2 41.4%
Q1 - 9:48	MIA	Wade 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)	6 58.9%	0 41.1%
Q1 - 9:59	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	4 57.7%	0 42.3%
Q1 - 9:59	DEN	MISS Nene 3' Layup	4 57.5%	0 42.5%
Q1 - 10:18	MIA	Wade 12' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)	4 56.2%	0 43.8%
Q1 - 10:39	DEN	Gallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	2 55.1%	0 44.9%
Q1 - 10:39	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	2 54.4%	0 45.6%
Q1 - 10:42	DEN	MISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot	2 54.8%	0 45.2%
Q1 - 11:02	MIA	James 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	2 53.9%	0 46.1%
Q1 - 11:28	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 53.1%	0 46.9%
Q1 - 11:29	MIA	MISS Anthony 2' Dunk	0 53.0%	0 47.0%
Q1 - 11:41	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 53.0%	0 47.0%
Q1 - 11:42	MIA	MISS Bosh 7' Jump Hook Shot	0 52.8%	0 47.2%
Q1 - 12:00	DEN	Jump Ball Mozgov vs. Anthony: Tip to James	0 52.7%	0 47.3%
Q1 - 12:00			0	0
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
			Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.09 54.7%

DEN

1.29 64.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

52%

DEN

64%

Midrange

MIA

44%

DEN

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

10.5

44%

66%

DEN

18.0

48%

72%

Free Throws

MIA

72%

DEN

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	35	70%	17.5 / 25
C. Bosh	17	50%	8.5 / 17
N. Cole	13	54%	6.5 / 12
D. Wade	12	43%	6.0 / 14
U. Haslem	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Chalmers	10	71%	5.0 / 7
S. Battier	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Pittman	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Anthony	0	-	0.0 / 2
T. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	24	86%	12.0 / 14
Nene	17	57%	8.5 / 15
R. Fernandez	15	83%	7.5 / 9
A. Harrington	15	83%	7.5 / 9
D. Gallinari	14	54%	7.0 / 13
T. Mozgov	12	60%	6.0 / 10
A. Afflalo	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Miller	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Brewer	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Koufos	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+16

-17

DEN

+13

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.09 54.7%

DEN

1.29 64.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	106.6 109.3	MIA 108.3 DEN 123.2 +14.8
Pace	91.3 94.1	MIA 104.6 +16.9 DEN 87.7
Avg. Poss. Time	15.8 14.6	MIA 13.8 −2.7 DEN 16.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.5% 51.6%	MIA 51.2% DEN 62.8% +11.6%
TO %	15.9% 15.7%	MIA 15.3% −2.2% DEN 17.5%
ORB %	26.6% 27.7%	MIA 32.6% +9.1% DEN 23.5%
FTrt	30.7 32.6	MIA 35.8 +2.5 DEN 33.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	53.8% 61.5%	MIA 50.0% DEN 60.5% +10.5%
STL %	9.6% 8.6%	MIA 11.5% +1.0% DEN 10.5%
BLK %	9.0% 8.1%	MIA 7.5% DEN 7.7% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.5% 54.2%	MIA 54.7% DEN 64.3% +9.6%
Rim FG%	61.1% 59.7%	MIA 51.6% DEN 63.6% +12.0%
Mid FG%	40.0% 39.3%	MIA 44.1% DEN 50.0% +5.9%
3P %	35.9% 33.2%	MIA 43.8% DEN 48.0% +4.2%
FT %	77.5% 73.6%	MIA 72.4% DEN 73.1% +0.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	36.7% 48.0%	MIA 38.3% DEN 42.3% +4.0%
Mid Att. %	43.6% 27.7%	MIA 42.0% DEN 25.6% −16.3%
3P Att. %	19.8% 24.3%	MIA 19.8% DEN 32.1% +12.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	MIA	DEN
Possessions	96	95
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	104	117
Rebounds	40	37
Assists	19	26
Steals	11	10
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (0)	29 (1)
Field Goals	38-81	43-78
At-the-Rim FG	16-31	21-33
Midrange FG	15-34	10-20
2-Point FG	31-65	31-53
3-Point FG	7-16	12-25
Free Throws	21-29	19-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

1 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 28	38.4	17	50%	8	2	1	3	1	2	2	6	5-5	100%	6-14	43%	0-1	0%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 27	37.2	35	70%	5	6	2	1	4	0	1	4	6-11	55%	10-15	67%	3-5	60%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 26	31.6	10	71%	2	2	2	0	3	5	2	0	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 30	28.6	12	43%	7	6	2	0	3	4	4	3	0-0	-	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 29	7.8	0	0%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 32	26.9	12	75%	11	1	0	0	1	3	2	9	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 33	23.2	3	50%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 23	21.2	13	54%	1	0	1	0	1	3	1	0	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Dexter Pittman C · 6'11" 285 · 24	14.8	2	25%	0	1	1	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Terrel Harris G · 6'4" 190 · 24	5.6	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Mickell Gladness C · 6'11" 220 · 25	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 39
Eddy Curry #34 · C · 7'0" 295 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mike Miller #13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	40	19	11	4	17	0	14	26	21-29	72%	31-65	48%	7-16	44%

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1 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 28	38.4	17	50%	8	2	1	3	1	2	2	6	5-5	100%	6-14	43%	0-1	0%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 27	37.2	35	70%	5	6	2	1	4	0	1	4	6-11	55%	10-15	67%	3-5	60%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 26	31.6	10	71%	2	2	2	0	3	5	2	0	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 30	28.6	12	43%	7	6	2	0	3	4	4	3	0-0	-	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 29	7.8	0	0%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 32	26.9	12	75%	11	1	0	0	1	3	2	9	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 33	23.2	3	50%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 23	21.2	13	54%	1	0	1	0	1	3	1	0	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Dexter Pittman C · 6'11" 285 · 24	14.8	2	25%	0	1	1	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Terrel Harris G · 6'4" 190 · 24	5.6	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Mickell Gladness C · 6'11" 220 · 25	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 39
Eddy Curry #34 · C · 7'0" 295 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mike Miller #13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	40	19	11	4	17	0	14	26	21-29	72%	31-65	48%	7-16	44%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	38.7	17	57%	12	4	0	1	3	3	3	9	5-9	56%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	35.0	14	54%	5	1	3	0	4	4	0	5	3-3	100%	1-6	17%	3-6	50%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	33.9	24	86%	3	9	2	0	5	2	1	2	6-7	86%	9-9	100%	0-2	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 25	24.1	12	60%	8	0	1	3	0	0	1	7	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	20.5	8	50%	2	3	1	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-3	67%

Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	28.7	15	83%	2	4	1	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	27.5	7	58%	3	3	1	0	1	2	2	1	1-3	33%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	18.1	15	83%	2	1	1	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	11.8	3	50%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	0.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22
Jordan Hamilton #1 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
DeMarre Carroll #0 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	64%	37	26	10	5	18	0	8	29	19-26	73%	31-53	58%	12-25	48%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE