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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Timberwolves26%9291
12Hawks74%10093
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.4
40.0
39.0
30
52%
13
2
2
1
1
2
4
9
6-6
100%
12-22
5-11
55%
46%
0-4
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.9
38.1
33.9
7
41%
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.2
35.3
35.1
18
57%
4
12
5
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
42%
2-3
67%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
23.1
23.5
4
25%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
41%
0-3
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.6
14.5
18.0
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
30.6
17.5
13
72%
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-5
1-3
100%
40%
1-4
25%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
18.5
22.1
5
63%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.0
17.0
1.0
7
79%
3
1
0
0
0
3
3
0
1-1
100%
3-4
0-0
75%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.5
14.8
13.9
5
43%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.6
8.0
20.5
2
25%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
10.6
0
2-4
44%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
9.1
0
1-3
44%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.6
3.5
0
0-1
39%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.6
41.9
32.6
20
57%
3
10
3
2
1
6
0
3
5-6
83%
6-12
4-8
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
38.1
35.3
25
54%
5
3
0
1
0
0
1
4
6-7
86%
5-14
5-10
36%
49%
3-6
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.1
35.1
34.5
8
28%
8
3
1
1
4
5
1
7
0-3
0%
4-12
7-13
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.9
19.9
23.7
6
100%
5
0
1
1
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.6
18.9
14.9
8
58%
8
1
0
0
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.8
25.8
13.8
10
66%
11
0
2
0
0
0
4
7
8-8
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.2
22.0
27.8
4
31%
7
3
1
1
1
0
3
4
1-1
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
18.4
18.7
10
83%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
49%
2-3
67%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.1
13.8
5.2
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.2
4.9
11.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-2
0%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
1.2
3.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.6
7.5
0
1-2
46%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.2
4.1
0
0-1
43%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.0
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.