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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Celtics53%9183
17Pacers47%9097
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.9
35.8
37.8
6
33%
3
9
0
2
0
4
3
0
0-0
-
3-9
5-11
33%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.3
35.5
32.8
21
64%
3
3
0
1
1
6
1
2
9-10
90%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
2-4
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.5
33.6
36.5
7
39%
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.7
28.9
33.1
21
53%
5
0
0
1
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
10-19
5-11
53%
49%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
25.5
22.0
3
19%
12
1
0
0
3
0
3
9
3-4
75%
0-6
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
22.8
30.0
10
42%
8
2
0
0
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
5-12
5-10
42%
49%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 22.9
20.2
2.3
7
50%
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
40%
1-3
33%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.9
18.9
14.5
4
29%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
8.8
3.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.1
7.3
10.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 22.9
2.6
1.7
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
5.0
0
1-2
51%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.0
4.6
0
1-1
46%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.7
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.7
37.0
22.7
21
51%
5
0
3
1
1
0
2
3
4-4
100%
7-13
3-7
54%
45%
1-6
17%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
31.9
32.9
17
67%
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
1-3
33%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.1
27.0
29.0
11
35%
9
3
0
0
2
3
4
5
1-2
50%
5-15
5-10
33%
49%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
26.0
29.7
17
62%
8
1
2
1
0
2
1
7
6-6
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
49%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.4
20.7
27.3
8
50%
8
2
1
1
2
0
3
5
0-0
-
4-8
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.7
25.4
24.1
8
68%
3
2
3
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.2
22.6
23.0
6
31%
6
0
0
1
2
2
4
2
4-4
100%
1-8
4-8
13%
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.0
16.8
9.3
3
23%
4
0
3
0
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
1-6
1-1
17%
51%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
12.5
19.6
2
50%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.4
12.3
10.4
2
33%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.1
2.6
7.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.3
2.6
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.7
2.6
2.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
51%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.