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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 15, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Warriors43%9799
27Pistons57%10091
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
36.6
36.4
22
58%
2
7
0
2
0
5
1
1
8-11
73%
7-12
7-14
58%
48%
0-2
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.1
36.4
21.8
11
37%
11
2
3
1
0
2
3
8
4-4
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
47%
1-6
17%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.7
33.6
36.0
24
85%
6
3
0
1
2
2
1
5
4-5
80%
10-12
7-13
83%
52%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.9
28.9
15.1
6
50%
4
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
20.7
15.2
4
52%
7
0
1
0
1
2
0
7
0-2
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
56%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
26.6
13.8
10
60%
6
0
3
0
4
3
3
3
2-3
67%
4-7
1-3
57%
44%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.5
20.6
27.2
12
75%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
2-4
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.6
19.8
28.9
10
63%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-4
2-5
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.9
10.9
17.9
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
5.2
13.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.3
0.4
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.6
0.4
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 30.4
7.2
0
1-2
39%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.9
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.9
40.1
30.6
20
63%
7
1
0
1
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
48%
2-2
100%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.1
40.0
33.5
8
50%
1
5
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.6
39.3
32.6
25
69%
8
1
1
1
1
3
3
5
13-14
93%
6-12
6-11
50%
56%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.8
35.2
29.7
15
60%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
3-5
60%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.9
24.7
27.6
6
43%
7
0
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.7
26.6
16.7
14
50%
0
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
6-7
86%
4-10
2-5
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
13.1
14.6
0
0%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.6
12.1
7.2
3
26%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.9
8.9
16.6
0
0%
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.0
17.2
1
2-3
50%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.0
11.2
0
2-4
47%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.3
3.5
0
0-1
49%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.4
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.