FinalWin Prob.pScore
2020%97
106
580%109
96
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
109.39787.8
DEN logo DEN
101.195106.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA106
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2106
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENNUGGETS Rebound106
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0UTAMISS Millsap 9' Turnaround Jump Shot106
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)106
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0UTAHayward 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Harris 7 AST)106
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)104
99.7%
95
0.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENNUGGETS Rebound104
99.3%
95
0.7%
Q4 - 1:00DENMISS Gallinari 2' Layup104
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 1:09UTAHayward Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T15)104
99.1%
95
0.9%
Q4 - 1:14UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)104
99.4%
95
0.6%
Q4 - 1:15DENMISS Brewer 3' Finger Roll Layup104
99.2%
95
0.8%
Q4 - 1:20UTAHayward 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)104
98.7%
95
1.3%
Q4 - 1:29DENLawson Foul Turnover (P3.T15)102
97.4%
95
2.6%
Q4 - 1:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)102
94.8%
95
5.2%
Q4 - 1:33UTAMISS Hayward 19' Jump Shot102
95.5%
95
4.5%
Q4 - 1:50DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)102
95.8%
95
4.2%
Q4 - 1:50DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)102
96.1%
94
3.9%
Q4 - 1:56UTAHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T14)102
97.5%
93
2.5%
Q4 - 2:13DENNene 1' Dunk (17 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)102
98.7%
93
1.3%
Q4 - 2:25UTAMillsap 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Hayward 3 AST)102
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 2:51DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)100
97.6%
91
2.4%
Q4 - 3:00UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)100
98.4%
89
1.6%
Q4 - 3:00UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)99
98.2%
89
1.8%
Q4 - 3:02UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)98
97.7%
89
2.3%
Q4 - 3:03DENMISS Afflalo 3' Layup98
97.3%
89
2.7%
Q4 - 3:07DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
96.2%
89
3.8%
Q4 - 3:09DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 2 of 298
97.6%
89
2.4%
Q4 - 3:09DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)98
96.7%
89
3.3%
Q4 - 3:14DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
97.6%
88
2.4%
Q4 - 3:15UTAMISS Jefferson 1' Layup98
97.9%
88
2.1%
Q4 - 3:32DENAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)98
96.1%
88
3.9%
Q4 - 3:52UTAHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)98
98.2%
85
1.8%
Q4 - 4:12UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)95
96.6%
85
3.4%
Q4 - 4:16DENMISS Lawson 4' Reverse Layup95
96.2%
85
3.8%
Q4 - 4:17DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)95
95.0%
85
5.0%
Q4 - 4:19DENMISS Lawson Layup95
96.3%
85
3.7%
Q4 - 4:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)95
95.1%
85
4.9%
Q4 - 4:24UTAMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup95
95.6%
85
4.4%
Q4 - 4:50DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
96.8%
85
3.2%
Q4 - 4:50DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
96.9%
84
3.1%
Q4 - 5:06UTAMillsap 17' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)95
95.6%
83
4.4%
Q4 - 5:27UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
94.3%
83
5.7%
Q4 - 5:28DENMISS Lawson 17' Jump Shot93
93.7%
83
6.3%
Q4 - 5:41UTAMillsap 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)93
92.1%
83
7.9%
Q4 - 6:04UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
85.2%
83
14.8%
Q4 - 6:05DENMISS Lawson 6' Running Jump Shot91
83.9%
83
16.1%
Q4 - 6:16DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
80.9%
83
19.1%
Q4 - 6:17UTAMISS Hayward Free Throw 2 of 291
81.5%
83
18.5%
Q4 - 6:17UTAMISS Hayward Free Throw 1 of 291
84.2%
83
15.8%
Q4 - 6:26DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
85.4%
83
14.6%
Q4 - 6:26DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)91
86.0%
82
14.0%
Q4 - 6:45UTAMillsap 1' Layup (20 PTS)91
88.7%
81
11.3%
Q4 - 6:46UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)89
85.5%
81
14.5%
Q4 - 6:47UTAGallinari BLOCK (1 BLK)89
82.6%
81
17.4%
Q4 - 6:51DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)89
85.6%
81
14.4%
Q4 - 7:03DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
76.7%
81
23.3%
Q4 - 7:04UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 189
77.4%
81
22.6%
Q4 - 7:20UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)87
72.0%
81
28.0%
Q4 - 7:21DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot87
70.1%
81
29.9%
Q4 - 7:41DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
65.8%
81
34.2%
Q4 - 7:42UTAMISS Millsap 17' Jump Shot87
67.8%
81
32.2%
Q4 - 7:59DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)87
72.2%
81
27.8%
Q4 - 7:59DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)87
73.0%
80
27.0%
Q4 - 8:01DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
73.3%
79
26.7%
Q4 - 8:01UTAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Hook Shot87
74.8%
79
25.2%
Q4 - 8:25DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)87
78.1%
79
21.9%
Q4 - 8:25DENNUGGETS Rebound87
73.5%
79
26.5%
Q4 - 8:25DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper87
76.8%
79
23.2%
Q4 - 8:26DENNUGGETS Rebound87
73.5%
79
26.5%
Q4 - 8:27DENMISS Nene 2' Layup87
76.8%
79
23.2%
Q4 - 8:50UTAMillsap 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Miles 3 AST)87
73.7%
79
26.3%
Q4 - 9:06UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
64.9%
79
35.1%
Q4 - 9:07DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot85
63.3%
79
36.7%
Q4 - 9:18UTAMillsap 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)85
59.5%
79
40.5%
Q4 - 9:32UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
53.6%
79
46.4%
Q4 - 9:33DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot83
51.8%
79
48.2%
Q4 - 9:48UTAMillsap 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)83
47.8%
79
52.2%
Q4 - 10:03UTAJazz Rebound81
40.2%
79
59.8%
Q4 - 10:04DENMISS Nene 1' Layup81
38.6%
79
61.4%
Q4 - 10:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
35.0%
79
65.0%
Q4 - 10:15UTAMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
36.6%
79
63.4%
Q4 - 10:37DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)81
40.3%
79
59.7%
Q4 - 11:02UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)81
49.7%
76
50.3%
Q4 - 11:02UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)80
48.4%
76
51.6%
Q4 - 11:15UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
44.3%
76
55.7%
Q4 - 11:16DENMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 279
43.6%
76
56.4%
Q4 - 11:16DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
39.9%
76
60.1%
Q4 - 11:32UTAMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
44.5%
75
55.5%
Q4 - 11:32UTAMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
43.5%
75
56.5%
Q4 - 11:51UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
39.2%
75
60.8%
Q4 - 11:52DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 177
38.5%
75
61.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN77
44.5%
73
55.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
44.5%
73
55.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Burks Free Throw 2 of 277
45.2%
73
54.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTABurks Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
48.5%
73
51.5%
Q3 - 0:09.0DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
42.7%
73
57.3%
Q3 - 0:09.0DENBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
44.0%
72
56.0%
Q3 - 0:09.0UTABurks Foul Turnover (P1.T13)76
48.1%
71
51.9%
Q3 - 0:12.0UTABurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
52.8%
71
47.2%
Q3 - 0:13.0DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot76
51.4%
71
48.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0UTABurks 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Watson 7 AST)76
48.2%
71
51.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)74
42.8%
71
57.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 274
43.6%
70
56.4%
Q3 - 1:11UTAEvans 2' Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)74
41.6%
70
58.4%
Q3 - 1:12UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
36.7%
70
63.3%
Q3 - 1:13UTAMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Hook Shot72
33.8%
70
66.2%
Q3 - 1:33DENMiller 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)72
36.8%
70
63.2%
Q3 - 1:53UTAWatson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)72
41.7%
68
58.3%
Q3 - 2:13DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P3.T12)70
35.2%
68
64.8%
Q3 - 2:15UTAAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)70
31.1%
68
68.9%
Q3 - 2:31UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
35.3%
68
64.7%
Q3 - 2:33DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 170
34.7%
68
65.3%
Q3 - 2:34DENMISS Harrington Tip Shot70
42.8%
66
57.2%
Q3 - 2:34DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
39.7%
66
60.3%
Q3 - 2:35DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
39.7%
66
60.3%
Q3 - 2:36DENMISS Afflalo 1' Layup70
42.8%
66
57.2%
Q3 - 2:40UTAHarrington STEAL (4 STL)70
39.7%
66
60.3%
Q3 - 2:42UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
44.3%
66
55.7%
Q3 - 2:43UTAAndersen BLOCK (4 BLK)70
41.1%
66
58.9%
Q3 - 3:05DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)70
42.4%
66
57.6%
Q3 - 3:13DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
37.9%
66
62.1%
Q3 - 3:14UTAMISS Millsap 17' Turnaround Jump Shot70
39.3%
66
60.7%
Q3 - 3:41DENLawson 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)70
42.5%
66
57.5%
Q3 - 3:57UTABell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Watson 6 AST)70
46.8%
64
53.2%
Q3 - 4:15DENMiller 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)67
37.5%
64
62.5%
Q3 - 4:31UTAHayward Dunk (13 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)67
40.9%
62
59.1%
Q3 - 4:36DENHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)65
37.5%
62
62.5%
Q3 - 4:51UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
32.9%
62
67.1%
Q3 - 4:51UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
32.0%
62
68.0%
Q3 - 5:02DENHarrington 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)63
28.8%
62
71.2%
Q3 - 5:13DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
32.1%
60
67.9%
Q3 - 5:14UTAMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot63
33.3%
60
66.7%
Q3 - 5:34UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
36.3%
60
63.7%
Q3 - 5:36DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 163
35.7%
60
64.3%
Q3 - 5:48UTAHayward 2' Dunk (9 PTS)63
39.8%
58
60.2%
Q3 - 5:52DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)61
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q3 - 6:03UTABell Layup (4 PTS) (Harris 6 AST)61
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q3 - 6:08UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
28.0%
58
72.0%
Q3 - 6:10DENMISS Lawson 3' Layup59
26.9%
58
73.1%
Q3 - 6:15DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
24.6%
58
75.4%
Q3 - 6:16UTAMISS Bell 2' Reverse Layup59
25.6%
58
74.4%
Q3 - 6:22UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
28.0%
58
72.0%
Q3 - 6:23DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
26.9%
58
73.1%
Q3 - 6:48UTAJefferson 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)59
24.7%
58
75.3%
Q3 - 7:07DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)57
21.5%
58
78.5%
Q3 - 7:09DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
18.9%
58
81.1%
Q3 - 7:10UTAMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot57
19.7%
58
80.3%
Q3 - 7:30DENLawson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)57
21.5%
58
78.5%
Q3 - 7:42DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
24.1%
56
75.9%
Q3 - 7:43UTAMISS Harris 14' Jump Shot57
25.0%
56
75.0%
Q3 - 8:06DENNene 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)57
26.7%
56
73.3%
Q3 - 8:23DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
29.6%
54
70.4%
Q3 - 8:24UTAMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup57
30.6%
54
69.4%
Q3 - 8:39UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
33.1%
54
66.9%
Q3 - 8:40UTAMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
30.6%
54
69.4%
Q3 - 9:02DENMozgov Dunk (6 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)57
31.9%
54
68.1%
Q3 - 9:20DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
35.2%
52
64.8%
Q3 - 9:21UTAMISS Jefferson 18' Fadeaway Jumper57
36.2%
52
63.8%
Q3 - 9:41DENMozgov 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gallinari 4 AST)57
38.8%
52
61.2%
Q3 - 10:00UTAJefferson 1' Putback Slam Dunk (14 PTS)57
42.2%
50
57.8%
Q3 - 10:01UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
37.3%
50
62.7%
Q3 - 10:02UTAMISS Millsap 7' Running Jump Shot55
34.8%
50
65.2%
Q3 - 10:21DENMozgov 2' Dunk (2 PTS)55
37.3%
50
62.7%
Q3 - 10:24DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)55
40.5%
48
59.5%
Q3 - 10:27DENMISS Mozgov Tip Shot55
43.1%
48
56.9%
Q3 - 10:27DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
40.5%
48
59.5%
Q3 - 10:28DENMISS Afflalo 1' Layup55
43.1%
48
56.9%
Q3 - 10:45UTAHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hayward 2 AST)55
40.6%
48
59.4%
Q3 - 11:00DENNene Foul Turnover (P4.T7)52
34.1%
48
65.9%
Q3 - 11:09UTAMillsap 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
30.0%
48
70.0%
Q3 - 11:27UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)50
27.4%
48
72.6%
Q3 - 11:28DENMISS Nene 10' Jump Shot50
26.5%
48
73.5%
Q3 - 11:44UTAMillsap 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)50
24.6%
48
75.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA48
22.3%
48
77.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
21.7%
48
78.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot48
21.2%
48
78.8%
Q2 - 0:16.0UTAHayward 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)48
20.1%
48
79.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENAfflalo 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)46
17.5%
48
82.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0UTALawson STEAL (2 STL)46
20.1%
46
79.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0DENNene Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)46
21.7%
46
78.3%
Q2 - 1:00UTAJefferson 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)46
20.1%
46
79.9%
Q2 - 1:09UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
17.3%
46
82.7%
Q2 - 1:10UTAMISS Hayward 12' Fadeaway Jumper44
16.5%
46
83.5%
Q2 - 1:23UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
17.3%
46
82.7%
Q2 - 1:26DENMISS Afflalo 2' Layup44
17.0%
46
83.0%
Q2 - 1:27DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
16.1%
46
83.9%
Q2 - 1:28DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup44
17.0%
46
83.0%
Q2 - 1:32DENJump Ball Nene vs. Jefferson: Tip to Lawson44
16.1%
46
83.9%
Q2 - 1:42DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 1:42DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
17.6%
45
82.4%
Q2 - 1:49UTAJefferson 2' Putback Layup (10 PTS)44
20.0%
44
80.0%
Q2 - 1:50UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
17.4%
44
82.6%
Q2 - 1:51UTAMISS Millsap 1' Driving Layup42
16.5%
44
83.5%
Q2 - 2:13DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)42
17.4%
44
82.6%
Q2 - 2:24UTAHarris 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)42
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 2:39UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
14.1%
44
85.9%
Q2 - 2:40DENMISS Gallinari 4' Running Jump Shot40
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 2:56DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
12.7%
44
87.3%
Q2 - 2:58DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 2 of 240
13.9%
44
86.1%
Q2 - 2:58DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
12.9%
44
87.1%
Q2 - 3:01DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
13.8%
43
86.2%
Q2 - 3:02UTAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup40
14.3%
43
85.7%
Q2 - 3:22DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)40
15.6%
43
84.4%
Q2 - 3:38DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 3:39UTAMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot40
19.5%
40
80.5%
Q2 - 3:58DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 3:58DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 240
21.6%
39
78.4%
Q2 - 4:18DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
20.4%
39
79.6%
Q2 - 4:19UTAMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
21.0%
39
79.0%
Q2 - 4:41DENAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)40
22.6%
39
77.4%
Q2 - 5:05DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
26.6%
36
73.4%
Q2 - 5:06UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 240
26.9%
36
73.1%
Q2 - 5:06UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
28.3%
36
71.7%
Q2 - 5:15DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)39
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 5:27UTAHayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)39
24.4%
36
75.6%
Q2 - 5:49DENNene 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)36
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q2 - 6:09UTAJefferson 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)36
21.8%
34
78.2%
Q2 - 6:22UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 6:24DENMISS Brewer 9' Jump Shot34
19.6%
34
80.4%
Q2 - 6:35UTAFernandez STEAL (1 STL)34
18.2%
34
81.8%
Q2 - 6:39DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)34
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 6:53UTAJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)34
18.2%
34
81.8%
Q2 - 7:06UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
19.8%
34
80.2%
Q2 - 7:07DENMISS Fernandez 5' Running Jump Shot34
19.2%
34
80.8%
Q2 - 7:19UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)34
18.0%
34
82.0%
Q2 - 7:19UTAJazz Rebound34
19.8%
34
80.2%
Q2 - 7:20UTAAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)34
18.5%
34
81.5%
Q2 - 7:42UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
19.8%
34
80.2%
Q2 - 7:43DENMISS Brewer 8' Turnaround Jump Shot34
19.3%
34
80.7%
Q2 - 7:57DENNUGGETS Rebound34
18.0%
34
82.0%
Q2 - 7:58UTAAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)34
18.5%
34
81.5%
Q2 - 8:11UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
19.6%
34
80.4%
Q2 - 8:12DENMISS Andersen 2' Driving Layup34
19.0%
34
81.0%
Q2 - 8:30UTAKanter Foul Turnover (P1.T5)34
17.9%
34
82.1%
Q2 - 8:45DENHarrington 1' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)34
19.6%
34
80.4%
Q2 - 8:50UTAHarrington STEAL (3 STL)34
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 9:05UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 9:06DENMISS Brewer 3' Reverse Layup34
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q2 - 9:09UTAKanter 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)34
20.8%
32
79.2%
Q2 - 9:10UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
19.2%
32
80.8%
Q2 - 9:11UTAMISS Hayward 20' Jump Shot32
18.1%
32
81.9%
Q2 - 9:25DENBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Fernandez 2 AST)32
19.2%
32
80.8%
Q2 - 9:40UTABurks Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)32
22.6%
29
77.4%
Q2 - 9:51UTAJazz Rebound29
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q2 - 9:53DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
18.7%
29
81.3%
Q2 - 10:05UTABurks 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)29
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q2 - 10:23DENBrewer 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST)27
16.4%
29
83.6%
Q2 - 10:41UTAKanter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q2 - 10:41UTAKanter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q2 - 10:42UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q2 - 10:43UTAMISS Favors 15' Turnaround Jump Shot25
15.3%
27
84.7%
Q2 - 11:04DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q2 - 11:04DENMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 225
16.7%
26
83.3%
Q2 - 11:23UTAHarrington STEAL (2 STL)25
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q2 - 11:27DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)25
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q2 - 11:41UTAHarrington STEAL (1 STL)25
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA25
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound25
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Burks 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
16.7%
26
83.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0UTAJazz Rebound25
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0UTAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)25
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q1 - 0:15.0UTAJazz Rebound25
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q1 - 0:16.0DENMISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0UTAMiles 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)25
16.3%
26
83.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0UTAMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q1 - 1:11DENHarrington 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)23
17.2%
24
82.8%
Q1 - 1:24UTAFavors 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
19.0%
22
81.0%
Q1 - 1:26UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q1 - 1:28UTAFernandez BLOCK (1 BLK)21
16.5%
22
83.5%
Q1 - 1:55DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q1 - 1:55DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 1:59UTABurks 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)21
19.0%
20
81.0%
Q1 - 2:05UTAJazz Rebound19
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q1 - 2:06UTAMozgov BLOCK (1 BLK)19
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q1 - 2:08UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q1 - 2:09DENMISS Fernandez 18' Jump Shot19
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 2:12DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 2:14DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup19
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 2:25UTAWatson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)19
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 2:45UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
14.8%
20
85.2%
Q1 - 2:46DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
14.5%
20
85.5%
Q1 - 3:08UTAMillsap 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS)17
13.5%
20
86.5%
Q1 - 3:32DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
12.6%
20
87.4%
Q1 - 3:32DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
12.7%
19
87.3%
Q1 - 3:45UTAMillsap 2' Alley Oop Layup (3 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)15
13.6%
18
86.4%
Q1 - 4:04DENNene 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)13
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 4:17DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
13.3%
16
86.7%
Q1 - 4:18UTAMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
13.6%
16
86.4%
Q1 - 4:33DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
14.5%
16
85.5%
Q1 - 4:33DENNene 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)13
14.5%
16
85.5%
Q1 - 4:35DENMISS Nene 1' Layup13
16.4%
14
83.6%
Q1 - 4:38DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 4:39DENMISS Lawson 3' Layup13
16.4%
14
83.6%
Q1 - 4:53DENNUGGETS Rebound13
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 4:54UTAMISS Hayward 22' Fadeaway Jumper13
15.9%
14
84.1%
Q1 - 5:20DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
16.8%
14
83.2%
Q1 - 5:20DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 213
17.0%
13
83.0%
Q1 - 5:24DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 5:24UTAMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Hook Shot13
17.1%
13
82.9%
Q1 - 5:44UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
18.0%
13
82.0%
Q1 - 5:45DENMISS Lawson 8' Running Jump Shot13
17.6%
13
82.4%
Q1 - 5:55DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 5:56UTAMISS Millsap 20' Jump Shot13
17.1%
13
82.9%
Q1 - 6:08UTAJazz Rebound13
17.6%
13
82.4%
Q1 - 6:08UTAMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
16.8%
13
83.2%
Q1 - 6:34DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
17.7%
13
82.3%
Q1 - 6:45UTAHarris 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
18.8%
11
81.2%
Q1 - 6:53UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
17.7%
11
82.3%
Q1 - 6:54DENMISS Nene 2' Driving Layup11
17.3%
11
82.7%
Q1 - 7:08DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
16.1%
11
83.9%
Q1 - 7:10UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 211
16.3%
11
83.7%
Q1 - 7:10UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
16.9%
11
83.1%
Q1 - 7:22DENNene 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)10
16.3%
11
83.7%
Q1 - 7:38DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
17.2%
9
82.8%
Q1 - 7:39UTAMISS Millsap 17' Fadeaway Jumper10
17.6%
9
82.4%
Q1 - 8:06DENNene 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)10
18.1%
9
81.9%
Q1 - 8:14UTABell 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)10
19.3%
7
80.7%
Q1 - 8:30DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)8
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 8:30DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 8:33DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
19.3%
5
80.7%
Q1 - 8:34UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
19.7%
5
80.3%
Q1 - 8:51UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
20.5%
5
79.5%
Q1 - 8:52DENMISS Mozgov 5' Jump Hook Shot8
20.1%
5
79.9%
Q1 - 9:01UTAJefferson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)8
19.0%
5
81.0%
Q1 - 9:23DENGallinari 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)6
17.9%
5
82.1%
Q1 - 9:34UTAJefferson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)6
20.2%
2
79.8%
Q1 - 9:47UTAJazz Rebound4
19.1%
2
80.9%
Q1 - 9:49DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 24
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 9:49DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 24
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 10:05UTAJefferson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayward 1 AST)4
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 10:26UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 10:27DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 10:34UTALawson STEAL (1 STL)2
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 10:36DENAfflalo 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 10:45DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 10:46UTAMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Hook Shot2
18.1%
0
81.9%
Q1 - 11:06UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:07DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot2
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 11:25UTAHayward 6' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
17.4%
0
82.6%
Q1 - 11:45DENNene Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Jefferson: Tip to Lawson0
15.5%
0
84.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.08 54.1%
DEN
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
23
37
62%
DEN
20
43
47%
Midrange
UTA
17
36
47%
DEN
6
16
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
DEN
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
UTA
14
20
70%
DEN
26
39
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap2662%13.0 / 21
G. Hayward1959%9.5 / 16
A. Jefferson1850%9.0 / 18
D. Harris1056%5.0 / 9
A. Burks1063%5.0 / 8
R. Bell750%3.5 / 7
E. Watson4100%2.0 / 2
C. Miles433%2.0 / 6
E. Kanter467%2.0 / 3
D. Favors233%1.0 / 3
J. Evans2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Nene1850%9.0 / 18
D. Gallinari1875%9.0 / 12
A. Afflalo1653%8.0 / 15
T. Lawson1341%6.5 / 16
A. Harrington1045%5.0 / 11
C. Brewer850%4.0 / 8
T. Mozgov660%3.0 / 5
A. Miller583%2.5 / 3
C. Andersen250%1.0 / 2
R. Fernandez0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
83
+15
-14
98
DEN
80
+14
-15
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.08 54.1%
DEN
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
109.3
UTA 109.3 +8.2
DEN 101.1
Pace
91.9
94.1
UTA 87.8
DEN 106.0 +18.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
14.6
UTA 16.4
DEN 13.6 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.1%
51.6%
UTA 54.1% +7.4%
DEN 46.7%
TO %
14.5%
15.7%
UTA 13.8% +1.0%
DEN 14.8%
ORB %
30.3%
27.7%
UTA 26.3% +0.7%
DEN 25.6%
FTrt
30.2
32.6
UTA 23.5
DEN 52.0 +28.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.0%
61.5%
UTA 61.4%
DEN 65.6% +4.2%
STL %
8.8%
8.6%
UTA 7.2%
DEN 9.5% +2.3%
BLK %
9.5%
8.1%
UTA 10.2% +0.6%
DEN 9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
54.2%
UTA 54.1% +3.6%
DEN 50.5%
Rim FG%
60.3%
59.7%
UTA 62.2% +15.7%
DEN 46.5%
Mid FG%
36.9%
39.3%
UTA 47.2% +9.7%
DEN 37.5%
3P %
32.3%
33.2%
UTA 33.3%
DEN 37.5% +4.2%
FT %
75.5%
73.6%
UTA 70.0% +3.3%
DEN 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
48.0%
UTA 43.5%
DEN 57.3% +13.8%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
27.7%
UTA 42.4%
DEN 21.3% +21.0%
3P Att. %
15.3%
24.3%
UTA 14.1%
DEN 21.3% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsUTADEN
Possessions9795
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points10696
Rebounds4239
Assists2721
Steals79
Blocks67
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)28 (3)
Field Goals44-8532-75
At-the-Rim FG23-3720-43
Midrange FG17-366-16
2-Point FG40-7326-59
3-Point FG4-126-16
Free Throws14-2026-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 280 · 27
37.8
18
50%
12
1
0
2
4
3
3
9
2-2
100%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 246 · 27
35.1
26
62%
12
3
1
1
1
4
3
9
2-5
40%
12-19
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 226 · 22
32.6
19
59%
4
3
1
2
2
4
0
4
4-6
67%
6-11
55%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 35
29.5
7
50%
2
3
0
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 185 · 29
25.1
10
56%
0
7
2
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 199 · 33
22.9
4
100%
2
7
1
0
4
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 214 · 20
18.5
10
63%
1
0
1
0
1
4
0
1
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
15.4
4
33%
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 245 · 20
11.2
4
67%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21
7.6
2
33%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 200 · 24
4.3
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 32
G · 6'3" 188 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
54%
42
27
7
6
14
0
10
32
14-20
70%
40-73
55%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.