Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Suns	38%	97	91	91.9	99	109.7
	13	Spurs	62%	101	102	106.3	96	87.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jared Dudley G · 6'7" 240 · 27	36.0	12	60%	8	0	2	0	1	3	2	6	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-2	100%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 28	35.7	24	55%	15	0	0	1	2	3	4	11	2-4	50%	11-20	55%	0-0	-
Steve Nash G · 6'3" 178 · 38	34.8	20	50%	1	10	1	0	4	0	0	1	2-2	100%	9-18	50%	0-1	0%
Grant Hill F · 6'8" 225 · 39	23.3	4	40%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 29	18.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-3	0%

Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 22	25.1	14	70%	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-6	33%
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 26	23.8	10	50%	3	2	1	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 29	13.2	3	75%	2	7	2	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Michael Redd G · 6'6" 215 · 32	12.9	2	20%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Robin Lopez C · 7'0" 277 · 24	11.2	1	13%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 30	5.9	1	17%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Sebastian Telfair G · 6'0" 170 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Childress F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	45%	41	20	6	1	12	0	10	31	10-14	71%	33-76	43%	5-15	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jared Dudley G · 6'7" 240 · 27	36.0	12	60%	8	0	2	0	1	3	2	6	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-2	100%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 28	35.7	24	55%	15	0	0	1	2	3	4	11	2-4	50%	11-20	55%	0-0	-
Steve Nash G · 6'3" 178 · 38	34.8	20	50%	1	10	1	0	4	0	0	1	2-2	100%	9-18	50%	0-1	0%
Grant Hill F · 6'8" 225 · 39	23.3	4	40%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 29	18.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-3	0%

Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 22	25.1	14	70%	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-6	33%
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 26	23.8	10	50%	3	2	1	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 29	13.2	3	75%	2	7	2	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Michael Redd G · 6'6" 215 · 32	12.9	2	20%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Robin Lopez C · 7'0" 277 · 24	11.2	1	13%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 30	5.9	1	17%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Sebastian Telfair G · 6'0" 170 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Childress F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	45%	41	20	6	1	12	0	10	31	10-14	71%	33-76	43%	5-15	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

13 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 30	35.1	17	40%	4	9	1	1	2	3	2	2	1-3	33%	8-19	42%	0-1	0%
Kawhi Leonard G · 6'6" 225 · 21	32.6	12	67%	8	1	1	1	2	0	0	8	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
DeJuan Blair C · 6'7" 270 · 23	31.8	14	58%	6	2	1	1	2	1	2	4	0-0	-	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 32	31.0	8	57%	4	5	1	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 36	30.7	24	71%	11	4	1	2	2	3	0	11	4-6	67%	10-13	77%	0-1	0%

Danny Green G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25	23.6	7	58%	3	1	0	1	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32	16.9	8	67%	5	3	0	0	0	1	1	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Tiago Splitter C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27	16.7	9	75%	5	0	0	0	2	3	1	4	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 20	12.9	1	25%	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 27	8.8	2	17%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
James Anderson G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Malcolm Thomas F · 6'9" 225 · 23	\| NWT - gastroenteritis
T.J. Ford #11 · G · 6'0" 165 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	54%	48	27	7	6	13	0	8	40	17-23	74%	35-62	56%	5-19	26%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	SAS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

PHX

0.90 45.0%

SAS

1.09 54.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHX

14

24

58%

SAS

11

17

65%

Midrange

PHX

19

52

37%

SAS

24

45

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHX

5

7.5

15

33%

50%

SAS

5

7.5

19

26%

39%

Free Throws

PHX

10

14

71%

SAS

17

23

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Gortat	24	55%	12.0 / 22
S. Nash	20	50%	10.0 / 20
M. Morris	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Dudley	12	60%	6.0 / 10
S. Brown	10	50%	5.0 / 10
G. Hill	4	40%	2.0 / 5
R. Price	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Redd	2	20%	1.0 / 5
R. Lopez	1	13%	0.5 / 4
H. Warrick	1	17%	0.5 / 3
C. Frye	0	-	0.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	24	71%	12.0 / 17
T. Parker	17	40%	8.5 / 21
D. Blair	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Leonard	12	67%	6.0 / 9
T. Splitter	9	75%	4.5 / 6
R. Jefferson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Bonner	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Green	7	58%	3.5 / 6
G. Neal	2	17%	1.0 / 6
C. Joseph	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 106.4 1 110.9	PHX 91.9 SAS 106.3 +14.3
Pace	10 92.5 7 93.0	PHX 109.7 +22.2 SAS 87.5
Avg. Poss. Time	21 15.4 20 15.5	PHX 13.1 −3.3 SAS 16.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 49.9% 1 52.8%	PHX 44.5% SAS 52.5% +8.0%
TO %	11 14.6% 3 14.1%	PHX 11.0% −2.3% SAS 13.3%
ORB %	23 25.8% 24 25.1%	PHX 20.0% SAS 20.5% +0.5%
FTrt	23 25.7 20 26.1	PHX 15.4 SAS 28.4 +13.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 59.6% 13 58.5%	PHX 52.6% SAS 67.5% +14.9%
STL %	27 7.0% 21 8.0%	PHX 6.1% SAS 7.3% +1.2%
BLK %	12 8.4% 27 6.7%	PHX 1.6% SAS 7.9% +6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 52.3% 2 54.9%	PHX 45.0% SAS 54.3% +9.3%
Rim FG%	2 60.9% 5 60.6%	PHX 58.3% SAS 64.7% +6.4%
Mid FG%	4 41.2% 2 41.4%	PHX 36.5% SAS 53.3% +16.8%
3P %	17 34.3% 1 39.3%	PHX 33.3% +7.0% SAS 26.3%
FT %	14 75.8% 19 74.8%	PHX 71.4% SAS 73.9% +2.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 31.7% 18 36.1%	PHX 26.4% +5.4% SAS 21.0%
Mid Att. %	23 44.5% 9 38.2%	PHX 57.1% SAS 55.6% −1.6%
3P Att. %	14 23.8% 7 25.7%	PHX 16.5% SAS 23.5% +7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	PHX	SAS
Possessions	99	96
Possession Minutes	21.7	26.3
Points	91	102
Rebounds	41	48
Assists	20	27
Steals	6	7
Blocks	1	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	8 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (4)	40 (3)
Field Goals	38-91	40-81
At-the-Rim FG	14-24	11-17
Midrange FG	19-52	24-45
2-Point FG	33-76	35-62
3-Point FG	5-15	5-19
Free Throws	10-14	17-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg