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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nets19%9691
4Clippers81%108101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.0
41.9
29.7
19
60%
8
3
1
1
1
1
0
8
3-4
75%
5-9
4-8
56%
44%
2-5
40%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
35.9
35.0
14
44%
0
6
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-4
50%
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
32.3
29.6
14
60%
7
1
0
1
0
0
2
5
4-4
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
25.8
24.9
15
68%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
3-6
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.8
20.4
13.0
3
38%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
37%
1-3
33%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
29.3
20.0
6
25%
7
7
2
1
0
3
3
4
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
43%
0-4
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
22.3
18.5
8
50%
8
1
2
1
1
0
2
6
4-7
57%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
16.7
32.1
2
30%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
0-1
3-6
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.0
15.5
10.2
10
63%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
5-7
1-3
71%
44%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.9
10.9
0
1-1
43%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.7
9.3
0
1-2
44%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.3
4.6
0
0-1
45%
Dennis Horner
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
0.8
0
0-0
44%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.3
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.3
40.8
16.6
13
38%
3
10
1
0
2
5
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
1-3
45%
45%
1-6
17%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 22.8
39.7
39.4
23
56%
14
3
1
1
1
4
6
8
5-13
38%
9-15
9-17
60%
53%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 31.8
38.4
32.8
20
53%
6
5
3
1
0
2
0
6
1-4
25%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
3-8
38%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.5
34.5
30.0
12
77%
9
1
1
1
4
0
2
7
2-4
50%
5-6
3-4
83%
66%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.3
34.3
30.9
20
52%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
7-7
100%
2-11
2-5
18%
46%
3-5
60%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.4
23.3
12.5
5
87%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.7
12.5
16.9
6
71%
4
1
1
1
0
2
4
0
2-5
40%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.6
8.8
7.0
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.6
7.7
2.4
2
20%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.7
36.1
2
5-10
52%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.1
13.1
0
1-3
48%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.5
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 21.8
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.1
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.