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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Thunder43%9297
9Celtics57%9488
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
41.0
32.2
28
60%
7
4
1
1
1
1
0
7
8-8
100%
7-13
6-12
54%
50%
2-7
29%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
39.6
30.5
26
63%
7
4
3
1
0
4
2
5
5-6
83%
6-14
6-13
43%
45%
3-4
75%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
34.4
19.7
19
92%
5
1
4
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
51%
2-2
100%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.2
27.9
25.5
7
64%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
22.9
23.0
6
50%
4
0
1
0
4
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.4
27.3
27.6
5
30%
3
1
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
52%
0-4
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.2
19.7
20.1
6
43%
6
0
0
1
0
2
4
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
57%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
11.1
17.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.8
8.4
14.2
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
7.7
14.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.2
4.8
0
0-1
50%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
4.5
0
0-1
42%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.1
4.1
0
0-1
39%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.9
40.4
36.6
12
43%
9
9
1
2
0
4
4
5
0-0
-
6-13
5-10
46%
50%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.3
39.0
33.3
24
68%
5
1
1
1
1
3
1
4
6-6
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
49%
2-4
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.5
38.8
34.8
6
40%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
50%
1-2
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.7
31.1
31.1
12
30%
12
5
0
1
1
5
5
7
2-2
100%
5-19
5-11
26%
51%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
25.7
23.0
12
49%
11
0
2
0
1
0
4
7
2-3
67%
5-11
3-5
45%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
22.4
26.8
4
34%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
5-9
20%
51%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.9
21.3
15.5
14
71%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
3-6
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.0
12.2
3.7
4
67%
6
0
0
0
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 22.9
8.4
8.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
1.0
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.1
9.0
0
1-3
43%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
5.3
0
0-1
42%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 22.9
2.0
0
0-1
48%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.7
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.