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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Kings30%9686
20Timberwolves70%10399
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
39.3
34.9
9
35%
8
10
1
1
0
5
1
7
3-4
75%
3-9
6-12
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
37.4
20.3
12
47%
4
3
3
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
2-5
40%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.1
33.4
27.7
11
43%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
0-3
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.4
27.4
24.9
9
38%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
46%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.4
24.8
26.4
10
63%
3
1
1
1
2
4
1
2
0-0
-
5-8
5-11
63%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.5
26.3
17.0
12
58%
4
2
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-3
0%
6-9
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.0
21.9
20.7
12
82%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
2-3
67%
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.9
15.4
22.1
6
43%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
40%
0-3
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.9
14.2
19.9
5
51%
6
0
2
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 22.9
17.1
1
1-4
38%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.3
6.6
0
1-2
41%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.6
6.4
0
1-1
49%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.6
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.4
41.3
38.8
33
64%
11
3
2
1
0
3
2
9
9-11
82%
9-14
6-13
64%
50%
2-7
29%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.2
38.4
34.5
9
41%
8
8
2
2
0
4
1
7
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.9
38.0
34.7
25
84%
3
9
1
1
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
6-10
3-7
60%
51%
4-4
100%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
33.7
23.0
6
27%
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-4
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.6
15.2
16.6
0
0%
1
0
2
0
3
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
26.3
21.9
15
75%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
3-5
60%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.0
16.4
7.2
5
43%
3
0
2
0
0
1
3
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
13.5
20.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.6
9.1
16.1
2
26%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.5
8.2
14.1
4
50%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
9.5
0
2-4
48%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
7.3
0
1-2
48%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.7
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.8
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.