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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Mavericks40%9370
3Lakers60%9773
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.8
33.9
22.6
3
15%
7
2
2
1
0
3
0
7
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-8
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.7
33.5
23.4
7
32%
9
2
1
1
1
2
6
3
1-2
50%
3-9
4-7
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.6
32.6
25.6
21
53%
7
1
0
0
0
3
1
6
5-6
83%
8-16
5-10
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.1
21.4
18.4
1
13%
7
0
0
0
2
2
1
6
1-2
50%
0-3
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.5
18.4
23.2
6
50%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.3
34.4
26.3
7
35%
1
7
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.2
24.4
20.5
10
42%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
51%
2-5
40%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.2
23.8
18.7
9
57%
10
0
1
1
0
0
3
7
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
55%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.0
17.7
22.4
6
44%
3
0
2
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
16.6
1
2-4
48%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.7
11.0
0
0-0
41%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
8.3
0
1-3
51%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.2
7.9
0
1-2
40%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.3
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.4
37.8
39.5
14
31%
3
7
3
1
1
4
0
3
0-1
0%
7-19
10-20
37%
48%
0-3
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.2
36.0
34.7
17
61%
15
2
1
1
1
2
3
12
1-2
50%
8-13
6-11
62%
54%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.5
35.0
37.4
8
34%
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-11
6-12
27%
52%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.4
30.4
25.8
13
66%
3
2
3
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
41%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.9
26.1
26.2
9
53%
5
3
0
1
1
1
0
5
7-8
88%
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.9
24.9
14.9
7
60%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
17.6
15.8
1
27%
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.2
17.0
14.1
2
14%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.0
15.2
6.2
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.7
10.7
0
1-2
49%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
7.9
0
1-2
45%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
7.0
0
0-1
42%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
3.4
0
0-1
41%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.7
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.