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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Bobcats12%8989
2Magic88%10496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.2
40.7
35.6
13
52%
4
5
4
1
0
8
1
3
0-1
0%
5-8
4-8
63%
44%
1-4
25%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
38.5
34.1
22
76%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
8-10
80%
7-10
5-11
70%
45%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.7
38.0
29.6
15
58%
4
6
2
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
4-10
50%
39%
3-7
43%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
27.5
21.3
7
30%
2
1
2
1
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-10
3-6
20%
44%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.9
22.9
29.8
8
40%
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
5-12
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.8
24.3
21.8
9
56%
6
3
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
1-4
25%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.4
21.3
7.6
11
94%
10
1
0
0
4
1
1
9
1-2
50%
5-5
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.4
14.2
16.6
4
40%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.6
10.3
10.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
2.2
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
23.2
0
4-7
49%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
7.5
0
1-2
46%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.0
4.9
0
0-1
42%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.3
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
39.0
37.4
25
58%
17
4
1
1
4
4
4
13
3-8
38%
11-18
7-12
61%
61%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.9
30.7
30.9
17
77%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
6-7
86%
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
1-3
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
30.3
32.5
5
28%
4
2
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-8
3-6
13%
51%
1-1
100%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
27.2
31.0
13
44%
3
0
3
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
2-9
22%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.8
26.0
30.9
15
77%
5
3
2
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
3-3
3-5
100%
48%
2-5
40%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.0
29.8
20.2
6
32%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.5
24.1
12.5
13
73%
3
1
1
0
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
17.3
16.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.8
15.7
13.0
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
5.5
0
1-2
47%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
2.3
0
0-0
40%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
1.0
0
0-0
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.