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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors
105
23Cavaliers
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.7
35
35
29
9
3
0
1
0
2
4
5
3-4
75%
13-19
7-13
68%
52%
0-1
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
32
36
10
4
3
3
2
0
4
0
4
6-8
75%
2-10
7-14
20%
48%
0-2
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.1
23
27
10
2
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
23
17
2
11
0
2
1
1
0
2
9
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.9
12
20
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.6
35
25
17
2
10
2
1
0
3
1
1
2-3
67%
3-10
2-4
30%
48%
3-5
60%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.5
25
25
14
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
2-3
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
19
10
3
4
3
0
0
2
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-7
1-2
14%
43%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
18
18
2
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.9
17
15
14
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
4-4
100%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 30.4
5
0
1-2
39%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.3
2
0
0-0
47%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.6
1
0
0-0
47%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 19.8
36
30
18
8
5
1
1
1
6
1
7
4-6
67%
7-10
6-12
70%
46%
0-3
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.9
36
25
6
4
3
3
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
2-5
40%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.6
31
31
19
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
3-3
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
48%
2-3
67%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.3
31
32
10
13
2
1
1
1
4
4
9
2-4
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
53%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.6
25
22
11
6
1
1
1
2
2
1
5
4-6
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
25
21
8
4
4
0
1
0
3
3
1
2-2
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
23
24
4
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 20.8
18
18
5
9
0
0
0
1
1
4
5
1-3
33%
2-9
3-7
22%
49%
0-0
-
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
16
12
14
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
6-8
1-2
75%
51%
0-0
-
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.0
5
0
1-1
47%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
3
0
0-1
54%
Mychel Thompson
F · 6'6" 211 · 23.6
1
0
0-0
45%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.0
1
0
0-0
48%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 36.6
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.