Final Win Prob. pScore
1226%95
98
174%103
120
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
111.48885.9
MIA logo Heat
134.88991.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
120
Q4 - 0:10.0SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Joseph 4 AST)98
120
Q4 - 0:28.0SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
120
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Cole 9' Floating Jump Shot95
120
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAGladness REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
120
Q4 - 0:43.0SASMISS Thomas 6' Turnaround Hook Shot95
120
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T12)95
120
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAHarris OFF.Foul (P3)95
120
Q4 - 1:01SASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)95
120
Q4 - 1:01SASSpurs Rebound94
120
Q4 - 1:01SASMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 294
120
Q4 - 1:01MIAGladness P.FOUL (P2.PN)94
120
Q4 - 1:06MIAGladness P.FOUL (P1.T4)94
120
Q4 - 1:16SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
120
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot94
120
Q4 - 1:38SASJoseph 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)94
120
Q4 - 1:52MIACole 12' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)92
120
Q4 - 1:59MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)92
118
Q4 - 2:00MIAMISS Cole 19' Fadeaway Jumper92
118
Q4 - 2:20MIAGladness REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
118
Q4 - 2:21SASMISS Neal 2' Driving Layup92
118
Q4 - 2:32MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)92
118
Q4 - 2:52SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)92
115
Q4 - 2:52SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)91
115
Q4 - 2:52SASSUB: Neal FOR Blair90
115
Q4 - 2:52SASSUB: Bonner FOR Jefferson90
115
Q4 - 2:52MIASUB: Jones FOR Miller90
115
Q4 - 2:52MIASUB: Howard FOR Haslem90
115
Q4 - 2:52MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)90
115
Q4 - 2:52MIAHarris S.FOUL (P2.T3)90
115
Q4 - 3:06SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
115
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot90
115
Q4 - 3:17MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
115
Q4 - 3:18SASMISS Joseph 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
115
Q4 - 3:27SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
115
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS Haslem 2' Driving Layup90
115
Q4 - 3:44SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)90
115
Q4 - 3:44MIASUB: Gladness FOR Bosh89
115
Q4 - 3:44MIASUB: Harris FOR James89
115
Q4 - 3:44SASSpurs Rebound89
115
Q4 - 3:44SASMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 289
115
Q4 - 3:44MIAMiller S.FOUL (P1.T2)89
115
Q4 - 3:53MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)89
115
Q4 - 4:09SASBlair Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)89
112
Q4 - 4:26MIABosh 13' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (James 10 AST)89
112
Q4 - 4:46SASBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)89
110
Q4 - 4:49MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)89
110
Q4 - 5:03SASJoseph 10' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)89
110
Q4 - 5:23SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
110
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
110
Q4 - 5:39SASSUB: Blair FOR Green87
110
Q4 - 5:39SASSUB: Jefferson FOR Splitter87
110
Q4 - 5:3987
110
Q4 - 5:39SASJoseph Foul Turnover (P2.T15)87
110
Q4 - 5:39SASJoseph OFF.Foul (P2)87
110
Q4 - 6:02MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 9 AST)87
110
Q4 - 6:08SASBosh STEAL (4 STL)87
107
Q4 - 6:28MIAHaslem 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 8 AST)87
107
Q4 - 6:44MIASUB: James FOR Battier87
105
Q4 - 6:44SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P3.T13)87
105
Q4 - 6:44SASSplitter OFF.Foul (P4)87
105
Q4 - 6:54MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)87
105
Q4 - 7:18SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)87
102
Q4 - 7:29MIACole L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)84
102
Q4 - 7:29SASSpurs Rebound84
102
Q4 - 7:30SASMISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot84
102
Q4 - 7:47MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)84
102
Q4 - 8:04SASGreen 20' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
100
Q4 - 8:23SASSUB: Thomas FOR Neal82
100
Q4 - 8:23SASSUB: Anderson FOR Bonner82
100
Q4 - 8:23SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)82
100
Q4 - 8:23MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)82
100
Q4 - 8:38SASBosh STEAL (3 STL)82
97
Q4 - 8:54MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (28 PTS)82
97
Q4 - 9:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
95
Q4 - 9:01SASMISS Bonner 9' Running Hook Shot82
95
Q4 - 9:08SASSpurs Rebound82
95
Q4 - 9:09SASMISS Neal 18' Jump Shot82
95
Q4 - 9:20MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)82
95
Q4 - 9:36SASNeal 7' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)82
93
Q4 - 9:58MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)80
93
Q4 - 10:15SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)80
90
Q4 - 10:33MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)77
90
Q4 - 10:39MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
88
Q4 - 10:40MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot77
88
Q4 - 10:58SASGreen Foul Turnover (P3.T11)77
88
Q4 - 10:58SASGreen OFF.Foul (P2)77
88
Q4 - 11:01SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
88
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot77
88
Q4 - 11:29SASSplitter 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)77
88
Q4 - 11:48SASSpurs Rebound75
88
Q4 - 11:48MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Splitter: Tip to Green75
88
Q4 - 11:50SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
88
Q4 - 12:0075
88
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
88
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
88
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Fadeaway Jumper75
88
Q3 - 0:15.0SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)75
88
Q3 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Anthony74
88
Q3 - 0:15.0SASSUB: Neal FOR Leonard74
88
Q3 - 0:15.0SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
88
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T4)73
88
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)73
88
Q3 - 0:46.0SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST)73
85
Q3 - 0:58.0MIASUB: Miller FOR James70
85
Q3 - 0:58.0SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)70
85
Q3 - 0:58.0MIABattier 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)70
85
Q3 - 1:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
83
Q3 - 1:12SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
83
Q3 - 1:29MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 7 AST)70
83
Q3 - 1:37SASChalmers STEAL (1 STL)70
80
Q3 - 2:01MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (33 PTS)70
80
Q3 - 2:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
78
Q3 - 2:12SASMISS Joseph 3PT Jump Shot70
78
Q3 - 2:36SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
78
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
78
Q3 - 2:52SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan70
78
Q3 - 2:52MIASUB: Haslem FOR Jones70
78
Q3 - 2:52MIASUB: Battier FOR Bosh70
78
Q3 - 2:52MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)70
78
Q3 - 2:52SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)70
78
Q3 - 2:59SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
78
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
78
Q3 - 3:06SASLeonard 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
78
Q3 - 3:28MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS)68
78
Q3 - 3:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
75
Q3 - 3:35SASMISS Green 9' Floating Jump Shot68
75
Q3 - 3:52MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 6 AST)68
75
Q3 - 4:03SASSUB: Joseph FOR Parker68
72
Q3 - 4:06SASJones STEAL (2 STL)68
72
Q3 - 4:26MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)68
72
Q3 - 4:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
72
Q3 - 4:32SASAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)68
72
Q3 - 4:56SASSUB: Bonner FOR Blair68
72
Q3 - 4:56SASSUB: Green FOR Neal68
72
Q3 - 4:56SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 2)68
72
Q3 - 4:56MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)68
72
Q3 - 5:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
69
Q3 - 5:04SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot68
69
Q3 - 5:17MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)68
69
Q3 - 5:34SASBlair L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)68
66
Q3 - 5:34MIAHEAT Rebound68
66
Q3 - 5:35SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
66
Q3 - 5:41MIAJump Ball Chalmers vs. Parker: Tip to Leonard68
66
Q3 - 5:48MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T3)68
66
Q3 - 6:12MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)68
66
Q3 - 6:26SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)68
64
Q3 - 6:27SASSpurs Rebound68
64
Q3 - 6:28SASMISS Neal 8' Jump Shot68
64
Q3 - 6:29SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)68
64
Q3 - 6:30SASMISS Blair 13' Hook Shot68
64
Q3 - 6:53MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)68
64
Q3 - 6:53MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)68
63
Q3 - 6:53MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)68
62
Q3 - 6:53SASLeonard S.FOUL (P2.T2)68
61
Q3 - 7:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
61
Q3 - 7:01SASMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
61
Q3 - 7:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
61
Q3 - 7:17SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
61
Q3 - 7:25MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P1.T2)68
61
Q3 - 7:36SASSUB: Neal FOR Jefferson68
61
Q3 - 7:36MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)68
61
Q3 - 7:52SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)68
61
Q3 - 7:52SASSpurs Rebound67
61
Q3 - 7:52SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 267
61
Q3 - 7:52MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T1)67
61
Q3 - 8:06MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)67
61
Q3 - 8:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
59
Q3 - 8:19SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
59
Q3 - 8:40SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)67
59
Q3 - 8:40MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)67
59
Q3 - 8:54SASBlair L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)67
57
Q3 - 8:55MIAHEAT Rebound67
57
Q3 - 8:56SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot67
57
Q3 - 9:15MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)67
57
Q3 - 9:26MIAHEAT Rebound67
55
Q3 - 9:27SASMISS Leonard 1' Dunk67
55
Q3 - 9:30SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)67
55
Q3 - 9:31SASMISS Blair 1' Layup67
55
Q3 - 9:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
55
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup67
55
Q3 - 9:44SASDuncan 16' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)67
55
Q3 - 10:08MIABosh 5' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)65
55
Q3 - 10:19MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)65
53
Q3 - 10:20SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot65
53
Q3 - 10:39MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)65
53
Q3 - 10:48SASParker 10' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)65
53
Q3 - 11:14MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS)63
53
Q3 - 11:24SASBosh STEAL (2 STL)63
51
Q3 - 11:43MIAAnthony 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)63
51
Q3 - 11:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)63
49
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS James 8' Turnaround Jump Shot63
49
Q3 - 12:0063
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA63
49
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS63
49
Q2 - 0:00.0SASGreen 40' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
49
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
49
Q2 - 0:25.0SASNeal 10' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)60
46
Q2 - 0:40.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
46
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
46
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
46
Q2 - 0:50.0SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
46
Q2 - 1:02MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)58
46
Q2 - 1:02SASGreen S.FOUL (P1.T3)58
45
Q2 - 1:02MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)58
45
Q2 - 1:15SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
43
Q2 - 1:15SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
43
Q2 - 1:15MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.PN)56
43
Q2 - 1:26MIABosh 1' Layup (18 PTS)56
43
Q2 - 1:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
41
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot56
41
Q2 - 1:40SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
41
Q2 - 1:40SASSUB: Green FOR Leonard55
41
Q2 - 1:40SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
41
Q2 - 1:40SASSUB: Blair FOR Duncan54
41
Q2 - 1:40MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.PN)54
41
Q2 - 1:56MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (16 PTS)54
41
Q2 - 2:04SASJefferson P.FOUL (P1.T2)54
39
Q2 - 2:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
39
Q2 - 2:08SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup54
39
Q2 - 2:25MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)54
39
Q2 - 2:38SASNeal 7' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)54
37
Q2 - 2:59MIABosh 1' Running Dunk (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)52
37
Q2 - 3:12SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)52
35
Q2 - 3:12MIAHarris S.FOUL (P1.PN)51
35
Q2 - 3:12SASNeal 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 5 AST)51
35
Q2 - 3:13SASSUB: Jefferson FOR Bonner49
35
Q2 - 3:13SASSpurs Rebound49
35
Q2 - 3:13SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
35
Q2 - 3:34MIAJames 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
35
Q2 - 3:56SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)49
33
Q2 - 4:04SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
33
Q2 - 4:05SASMISS Leonard 1' Tip Shot46
33
Q2 - 4:06SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)46
33
Q2 - 4:08SASMISS Neal 3PT Jump Shot46
33
Q2 - 4:11SASSUB: Parker FOR Joseph46
33
Q2 - 4:11MIASUB: Harris FOR Haslem46
33
Q2 - 4:11SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)46
33
Q2 - 4:16SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
33
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot46
33
Q2 - 4:35SASJones STEAL (1 STL)46
33
Q2 - 4:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
33
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot46
33
Q2 - 5:04SASDuncan 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)46
33
Q2 - 5:06SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
33
Q2 - 5:07SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
33
Q2 - 5:18SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
33
Q2 - 5:19MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
33
Q2 - 5:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
33
Q2 - 5:32SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot44
33
Q2 - 5:54MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)44
33
Q2 - 6:16SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)44
31
Q2 - 6:26MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole41
31
Q2 - 6:26SASSUB: Joseph FOR Parker41
31
Q2 - 6:26MIACole P.FOUL (P2.T4)41
31
Q2 - 6:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
31
Q2 - 6:37SASMISS Parker 1' Driving Layup41
31
Q2 - 6:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
31
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot41
31
Q2 - 6:55SASNeal P.FOUL (P1.T1)41
31
Q2 - 7:00SASSUB: Neal FOR Green41
31
Q2 - 7:00MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)41
31
Q2 - 7:04SASParker 12' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
31
Q2 - 7:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
31
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot39
31
Q2 - 7:34SASDuncan 7' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)39
31
Q2 - 7:55MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)37
31
Q2 - 8:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
31
Q2 - 8:09SASMISS Green 2' Driving Layup37
31
Q2 - 8:14MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)37
31
Q2 - 8:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
31
Q2 - 8:25SASMISS Duncan 7' Running Hook Shot37
31
Q2 - 8:36SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
31
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot37
31
Q2 - 8:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
31
Q2 - 8:51SASMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 237
31
Q2 - 8:51SASSUB: Leonard FOR Anderson37
31
Q2 - 8:51MIASUB: James FOR Battier37
31
Q2 - 8:51SASSpurs Rebound37
31
Q2 - 8:51SASMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 237
31
Q2 - 8:51MIABattier S.FOUL (P3.T3)37
31
Q2 - 8:58SASSUB: Anderson FOR Jefferson37
31
Q2 - 8:58MIASUB: Jones FOR Miller37
31
Q2 - 8:5837
31
Q2 - 8:58MIABattier Foul Turnover (P1.T5)37
31
Q2 - 8:58MIABattier OFF.Foul (P2)37
31
Q2 - 9:08SASJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
31
Q2 - 9:22MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)37
31
Q2 - 9:33MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
29
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot37
29
Q2 - 9:52SASParker 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)37
29
Q2 - 10:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
29
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot35
29
Q2 - 10:14SASBosh STEAL (1 STL)35
29
Q2 - 10:23MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T2)35
29
Q2 - 10:27MIABattier P.FOUL (P1.T1)35
29
Q2 - 10:39SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
29
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot35
29
Q2 - 11:00MIACole Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)35
29
Q2 - 11:00SASDuncan T.FOUL (P2.T0)35
28
Q2 - 11:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
28
Q2 - 11:01SASMISS Duncan 2' Reverse Layup35
28
Q2 - 11:15SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
28
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup35
28
Q2 - 11:20MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
28
Q2 - 11:21SASMISS Duncan 1' Driving Layup35
28
Q2 - 11:46MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS)35
28
Q2 - 12:0035
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA35
26
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS35
26
Q1 - 0:00.0SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)35
26
Q1 - 0:01.0MIACole P.FOUL (P1.T1)32
26
Q1 - 0:15.0SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)32
26
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
26
Q1 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Haslem32
25
Q1 - 0:15.0SASSUB: Parker FOR Joseph32
25
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
25
Q1 - 0:15.0SASLeonard S.FOUL (P1.PN)32
24
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
24
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
24
Q1 - 0:52.0MIACole 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)32
24
Q1 - 1:05SASBlair 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)32
22
Q1 - 1:25MIAJames 2' Layup (4 PTS)30
22
Q1 - 1:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
20
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
20
Q1 - 1:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
20
Q1 - 1:42SASMISS Leonard 7' Jump Shot30
20
Q1 - 1:44SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
20
Q1 - 1:45SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot30
20
Q1 - 2:08SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
20
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 230
20
Q1 - 2:09SASSUB: Jefferson FOR Bonner30
20
Q1 - 2:09MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers30
20
Q1 - 2:09MIASUB: Miller FOR Jones30
20
Q1 - 2:09MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)30
20
Q1 - 2:09SASBlair S.FOUL (P2.PN)30
19
Q1 - 2:24SASLeonard 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
19
Q1 - 2:25SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
19
Q1 - 2:26SASMISS Blair 9' Jump Shot28
19
Q1 - 2:45MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)28
19
Q1 - 2:55MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
16
Q1 - 2:56SASMISS Green 13' Jump Shot28
16
Q1 - 3:13SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)28
16
Q1 - 3:13SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
16
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 228
16
Q1 - 3:15MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
16
Q1 - 3:15SASJoseph S.FOUL (P1.PN)28
15
Q1 - 3:26SASSUB: Bonner FOR Splitter28
15
Q1 - 3:26MIASUB: Battier FOR Anthony28
15
Q1 - 3:26SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P1.T2)28
15
Q1 - 3:26SASSplitter OFF.Foul (P3)28
15
Q1 - 3:37SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
15
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup28
15
Q1 - 3:56SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)28
15
Q1 - 4:11MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
15
Q1 - 4:11MIAHEAT Rebound25
14
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 225
14
Q1 - 4:11SASSplitter S.FOUL (P2.PN)25
14
Q1 - 4:17MIAHEAT Rebound25
14
Q1 - 4:18MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 225
14
Q1 - 4:18MIAHEAT Rebound25
14
Q1 - 4:18MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 225
14
Q1 - 4:18SASSplitter S.FOUL (P1.T4)25
14
Q1 - 4:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
14
Q1 - 4:20MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
14
Q1 - 4:39SASSUB: Green FOR Jefferson25
14
Q1 - 4:39MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh25
14
Q1 - 4:39SASSUB: Joseph FOR Parker25
14
Q1 - 4:39SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan25
14
Q1 - 4:39MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)25
14
Q1 - 4:45SASBlair 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)25
14
Q1 - 4:51SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
14
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS James 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup23
14
Q1 - 5:09SASParker 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
14
Q1 - 5:24SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
14
Q1 - 5:25SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
14
Q1 - 5:42MIABosh 14' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)21
14
Q1 - 5:58SASDuncan 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)21
12
Q1 - 6:18MIAAnthony 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)19
12
Q1 - 6:30SASBlair 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)19
10
Q1 - 6:44MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
10
Q1 - 6:44MIAHEAT Rebound17
9
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 217
9
Q1 - 6:44SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T3)17
9
Q1 - 6:54SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)17
9
Q1 - 7:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
9
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 217
9
Q1 - 7:04MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
9
Q1 - 7:04SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T2)17
8
Q1 - 7:19SASBlair 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)17
8
Q1 - 7:34MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
8
Q1 - 7:47SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)15
5
Q1 - 8:01SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
5
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot12
5
Q1 - 8:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
5
Q1 - 8:24SASParker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)12
5
Q1 - 8:31MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)10
5
Q1 - 8:46SASParker 10' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
5
Q1 - 8:53MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)8
5
Q1 - 9:01MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
5
Q1 - 9:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
5
Q1 - 9:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
5
Q1 - 9:11SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
5
Q1 - 9:11SASMISS Blair 1' Tip Shot8
5
Q1 - 9:12SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot8
5
Q1 - 9:33MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)8
5
Q1 - 9:33MIAHEAT Rebound8
5
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
5
Q1 - 9:59SASLeonard 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
5
Q1 - 10:17MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
5
Q1 - 10:21SASBlair P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
3
Q1 - 10:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
3
Q1 - 10:26MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot6
3
Q1 - 10:48SASParker 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)6
3
Q1 - 11:05MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
3
Q1 - 11:23SASBlair 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)4
0
Q1 - 11:32MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:42SASBlair 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.10 55.1%
MIA
1.30 65.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
9
20
45%
MIA
14
19
74%
Midrange
SAS
19
35
54%
MIA
16
34
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
MIA
16
24.0
26
62%
92%
Free Throws
SAS
12
17
71%
MIA
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Green2083%10.0 / 12
T. Parker1864%9.0 / 14
D. Blair1359%6.5 / 11
K. Leonard1250%6.0 / 12
G. Neal1250%6.0 / 12
T. Duncan840%4.0 / 10
C. Joseph450%2.0 / 4
T. Splitter4100%2.0 / 2
M. Bonner350%1.5 / 3
J. Anderson350%1.5 / 3
M. Thomas125%0.5 / 2
R. Jefferson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3366%16.5 / 25
C. Bosh3063%15.0 / 24
M. Miller18150%9.0 / 6
M. Chalmers1372%6.5 / 9
N. Cole850%4.0 / 8
J. Anthony6100%3.0 / 3
S. Battier583%2.5 / 3
U. Haslem450%2.0 / 4
J. Jones338%1.5 / 4
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
72
+16
-16
88
MIA
78
+12
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.10 55.1%
MIA
1.30 65.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.9
106.6
SAS 111.4
MIA 134.8 +23.5
Pace
93.0
91.3
SAS 85.9
MIA 91.2 +5.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.8
SAS 16.8
MIA 15.8 −1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
50.5%
SAS 53.8%
MIA 68.4% +14.6%
TO %
14.1%
15.9%
SAS 16.3%
MIA 12.1% −4.2%
ORB %
25.1%
26.6%
SAS 31.4% +4.9%
MIA 26.5%
FTrt
26.1
30.7
SAS 21.3
MIA 24.1 +2.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
53.8%
SAS 55.3% +3.1%
MIA 52.2%
STL %
8.0%
9.6%
SAS 8.0% +0.1%
MIA 7.9%
BLK %
6.7%
9.0%
SAS 1.9% +0.1%
MIA 1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
53.5%
SAS 55.1%
MIA 65.2% +10.1%
Rim FG%
60.6%
61.1%
SAS 45.0%
MIA 73.7% +28.7%
Mid FG%
41.4%
40.0%
SAS 54.3% +7.2%
MIA 47.1%
3P %
39.3%
35.9%
SAS 40.0%
MIA 61.5% +21.5%
FT %
74.8%
77.5%
SAS 70.6% +7.4%
MIA 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
36.7%
SAS 25.0% +0.9%
MIA 24.1%
Mid Att. %
38.2%
43.6%
SAS 43.8%
MIA 43.0% −0.7%
3P Att. %
25.7%
19.8%
SAS 31.3%
MIA 32.9% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points98120
Rebounds3633
Assists2124
Steals77
Blocks11
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (0)24 (3)
Field Goals38-8046-79
At-the-Rim FG9-2014-19
Midrange FG19-3516-34
2-Point FG28-5530-53
3-Point FG10-2516-26
Free Throws12-1712-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 225 · 21
30.9
12
50%
6
1
1
0
0
2
5
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-5
40%
F · 6'11" 250 · 36
26.8
8
40%
7
3
1
0
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 30
25.3
18
64%
2
3
3
0
2
0
0
2
4-4
100%
7-11
64%
0-1
0%
C · 6'7" 270 · 23
23.5
13
59%
6
0
1
0
2
4
2
4
1-2
50%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 233 · 32
22.9
0
0%
2
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 20
22.7
4
50%
4
4
0
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25
22.6
20
83%
2
0
0
0
3
2
0
2
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
6-7
86%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32
21.5
3
50%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 27
16.4
12
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
1-5
20%
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27
10.4
4
100%
0
1
0
0
4
4
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23
8.5
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
8.4
1
25%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#11 · G · 6'0" 165 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
55%
36
21
7
1
16
0
11
25
12-17
71%
28-55
51%
10-25
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.