Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Nuggets	61%	102	105	105.0	100	104.0
	19	Bucks	39%	98	95	95.0	100	96.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	36.2	11	50%	2	2	0	2	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-7	14%	3-4	75%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	33.0	11	42%	5	9	0	0	2	1	0	5	5-7	71%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	27.1	14	54%	5	3	2	0	1	4	1	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	26.0	14	64%	9	1	1	1	2	1	1	8	8-10	80%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	18.5	4	33%	5	0	0	1	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	34.3	22	69%	4	0	2	1	2	2	2	2	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	3-6	50%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	23.0	8	50%	2	11	1	0	5	1	0	2	6-6	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	22.0	5	50%	5	0	2	0	0	2	2	3	3-6	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	19.8	16	80%	5	1	1	0	1	0	0	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-6	67%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rudy Fernandez #5 · · 6'6" 185 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
DeMarre Carroll #0 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	42	27	9	5	17	0	9	33	29-37	78%	20-50	40%	12-25	48%

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8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	36.2	11	50%	2	2	0	2	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-7	14%	3-4	75%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	33.0	11	42%	5	9	0	0	2	1	0	5	5-7	71%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	27.1	14	54%	5	3	2	0	1	4	1	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	26.0	14	64%	9	1	1	1	2	1	1	8	8-10	80%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	18.5	4	33%	5	0	0	1	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	34.3	22	69%	4	0	2	1	2	2	2	2	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	3-6	50%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	23.0	8	50%	2	11	1	0	5	1	0	2	6-6	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	22.0	5	50%	5	0	2	0	0	2	2	3	3-6	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	19.8	16	80%	5	1	1	0	1	0	0	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-6	67%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rudy Fernandez #5 · · 6'6" 185 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
DeMarre Carroll #0 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	42	27	9	5	17	0	9	33	29-37	78%	20-50	40%	12-25	48%

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19 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 22	37.8	30	68%	3	6	3	1	3	4	0	3	1-2	50%	10-16	63%	3-6	50%
Carlos Delfino G · 6'6" 230 · 29	29.3	10	38%	5	2	3	1	1	2	0	5	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	3-9	33%
Andrew Bogut C · 7'0" 260 · 27	19.1	2	20%	5	2	2	3	4	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jon Leuer F · 6'10" 228 · 23	18.2	11	79%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Stephen Jackson F · 6'8" 220 · 34	16.7	2	14%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	0-2	0%

Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 20	27.4	14	58%	8	3	1	0	2	4	5	3	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 25	22.1	9	38%	11	1	1	2	1	1	6	5	0-0	-	3-9	33%	1-3	33%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 30	19.9	2	25%	5	3	0	0	4	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 26	19.6	8	67%	1	1	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 30	11.6	5	36%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Larry Sanders F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23	9.6	2	100%	1	0	0	2	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jon Brockman F · 6'7" 255 · 25	8.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Dunleavy #17 · G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Darington Hobson #11 · G · 6'7" 210 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	48%	43	21	10	10	18	0	14	29	12-14	86%	31-68	46%	7-23	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.11 55.3%

MIL

0.95 47.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

16

35

46%

MIL

22

47

47%

Midrange

DEN

4

15

27%

MIL

9

21

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

12

18.0

25

48%

72%

MIL

7

10.5

23

30%

46%

Free Throws

DEN

29

37

78%

MIL

12

14

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Brewer	22	69%	11.0 / 16
A. Harrington	16	80%	8.0 / 10
D. Gallinari	14	54%	7.0 / 13
Nene	14	64%	7.0 / 11
A. Afflalo	11	50%	5.5 / 11
T. Lawson	11	42%	5.5 / 13
A. Miller	8	50%	4.0 / 8
C. Andersen	5	50%	2.5 / 5
T. Mozgov	4	33%	2.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Jennings	30	68%	15.0 / 22
T. Harris	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Leuer	11	79%	5.5 / 7
C. Delfino	10	38%	5.0 / 13
E. Ilyasova	9	38%	4.5 / 12
S. Livingston	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Gooden	5	36%	2.5 / 7
A. Bogut	2	20%	1.0 / 5
S. Jackson	2	14%	1.0 / 7
B. Udrih	2	25%	1.0 / 4
L. Sanders	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Brockman	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 109.3 11 105.7	DEN 105.0 +10.0 MIL 95.0
Pace	2 94.1 3 93.7	DEN 104.0 +7.8 MIL 96.3
Avg. Poss. Time	30 14.6 27 15.2	DEN 13.8 −1.1 MIL 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 51.6% 17 48.1%	DEN 50.7% +5.1% MIL 45.6%
TO %	20 15.7% 9 14.6%	DEN 15.7% −0.7% MIL 16.4%
ORB %	13 27.7% 12 27.8%	DEN 23.7% MIL 29.8% +6.1%
FTrt	2 32.6 26 25.0	DEN 49.3 +33.9 MIL 15.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 61.5% 2 62.0%	DEN 84.4% +29.1% MIL 55.3%
STL %	15 8.6% 8 8.8%	DEN 9.0% MIL 10.0% +1.0%
BLK %	16 8.1% 18 8.0%	DEN 7.4% MIL 20.0% +12.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.2% 18 51.0%	DEN 55.3% +7.8% MIL 47.5%
Rim FG%	8 59.7% 22 56.2%	DEN 45.7% MIL 46.8% +1.1%
Mid FG%	14 39.3% 18 38.6%	DEN 26.7% MIL 42.9% +16.2%
3P %	24 33.2% 16 34.5%	DEN 48.0% +17.6% MIL 30.4%
FT %	24 73.6% 7 77.5%	DEN 78.4% MIL 85.7% +7.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 48.0% 9 37.5%	DEN 46.7% MIL 51.6% +5.0%
Mid Att. %	1 27.7% 11 40.1%	DEN 20.0% −3.1% MIL 23.1%
3P Att. %	12 24.3% 17 22.4%	DEN 33.3% +8.1% MIL 25.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	DEN	MIL
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	105	95
Rebounds	42	43
Assists	27	21
Steals	9	10
Blocks	5	10
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	29 (4)
Field Goals	32-75	38-91
At-the-Rim FG	16-35	22-47
Midrange FG	4-15	9-21
2-Point FG	20-50	31-68
3-Point FG	12-25	7-23
Free Throws	29-37	12-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg