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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Pistons27%9580
13Rockets73%10497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.8
40.1
31.3
18
55%
2
2
3
1
2
2
0
2
3-3
100%
6-12
3-8
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.6
37.0
34.4
4
22%
11
6
1
1
1
4
6
5
0-0
-
2-9
6-12
22%
55%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.9
36.2
33.6
20
45%
3
0
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
10-20
5-10
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.1
35.7
35.2
15
47%
3
4
3
1
0
6
0
3
0-0
-
6-14
3-7
43%
43%
1-2
50%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.4
18.7
14.1
0
0%
4
0
0
1
3
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.9
28.9
26.3
7
36%
6
1
1
1
1
2
3
3
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.7
20.6
20.5
16
67%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
43%
2-4
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.0
11.8
12.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.9
9.8
14.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.3
1.2
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.6
9.3
0
1-2
42%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.0
8.2
0
1-3
45%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.4
3.1
0
0-1
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.7
33.6
26.0
14
58%
12
0
0
1
0
2
6
6
0-0
-
7-12
3-6
58%
52%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
31.1
25.8
7
50%
7
4
2
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
53%
1-1
100%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.8
29.7
35.2
13
59%
5
5
3
1
0
5
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.0
28.3
39.2
11
43%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
48%
1-4
25%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.7
27.4
30.1
14
48%
5
0
1
1
0
5
3
2
4-6
67%
5-11
7-13
45%
51%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.8
24.1
20.6
12
76%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.7
20.9
21.5
7
58%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
18.3
18.1
11
61%
0
5
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
49%
1-2
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
15.7
19.8
6
61%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
8.2
14.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 25.9
2.6
2.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
5.0
0
1-1
44%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.9
4.2
0
0-1
43%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.9
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.