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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder77%102102
30Wizards23%92105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
39.0
35.6
33
59%
8
2
3
1
2
7
0
8
9-9
100%
9-14
7-13
64%
51%
2-10
20%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
38.3
34.0
36
60%
5
7
1
2
0
3
1
4
8-9
89%
14-24
7-15
58%
46%
0-2
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
32.3
22.9
6
60%
10
0
1
0
2
3
1
9
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
53%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.2
28.3
26.2
0
0%
5
1
0
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
20.2
25.6
2
33%
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
53%
0-1
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.4
28.5
27.4
13
52%
3
0
1
1
0
4
1
2
6-10
60%
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.2
21.1
20.1
6
60%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
58%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
11.7
11.4
3
52%
1
0
2
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
10.8
14.7
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
1-2
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.8
9.7
11.8
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.2
3.4
0
0-0
51%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
3.2
0
0-1
44%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.1
2.8
0
0-0
41%
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.4
44.6
36.6
25
54%
7
8
0
2
0
3
1
6
13-14
93%
6-17
5-13
35%
42%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
34.1
30.5
24
56%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
7-10
70%
1-7
4-10
14%
45%
5-10
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.4
34.0
20.9
12
47%
10
4
2
1
1
4
3
7
1-2
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
45%
1-1
100%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
26.5
29.4
7
36%
11
0
2
1
1
2
6
5
1-6
17%
3-7
5-10
43%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.2
13.2
20.3
2
25%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
25.3
15.5
7
44%
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.2
24.0
23.5
18
61%
6
2
1
1
0
4
2
4
9-11
82%
3-5
3-8
60%
43%
1-5
20%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.7
19.0
15.3
6
50%
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
0
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
15.8
19.4
4
67%
4
0
2
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.7
3.3
9.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
0.3
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.1
7.0
0
1-2
44%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.2
4.3
0
0-1
47%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 25.0
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.