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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Spurs31%9285
5Magic69%9983
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.7
43.9
30.5
25
53%
7
9
1
1
0
5
0
7
1-1
100%
12-23
6-13
52%
49%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.6
37.8
27.2
11
45%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-5
40%
3-7
1-3
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.7
35.6
27.4
17
51%
10
2
0
1
1
2
1
9
5-8
63%
6-13
5-10
46%
48%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.6
24.1
30.2
2
25%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.7
16.9
25.1
8
57%
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
38.0
21.9
2
15%
6
2
1
1
1
0
0
6
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-5
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.3
22.1
16.6
3
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.8
19.6
17.9
4
40%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.0
18.0
15.4
10
71%
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
51%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
9.2
13.5
3
39%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-1
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.8
7.9
0
1-1
44%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.2
5.0
0
0-1
44%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.5
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
40.9
37.8
24
62%
25
1
1
1
3
2
9
16
6-10
60%
9-14
7-12
64%
59%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
39.4
29.3
17
49%
11
1
1
1
0
0
4
7
10-10
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
49%
1-6
17%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.9
38.1
30.7
4
13%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-12
3-6
17%
48%
0-4
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
31.7
31.4
13
48%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.8
21.9
13.9
2
25%
3
0
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
29.9
2.2
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
39%
0-1
0%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.5
22.4
16.9
15
66%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.0
17.2
23.9
4
25%
7
0
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
14.8
16.9
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
8.6
3.9
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.5
3.7
0
0-1
48%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
3.2
0
0-1
44%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
0.9
0
0-0
45%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.