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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Warriors39%99100
23Nets61%103107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
37.2
34.6
30
65%
1
5
6
2
1
3
0
1
6-7
86%
9-16
6-13
56%
48%
2-4
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.1
35.7
25.4
17
88%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
4-6
67%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
3-5
60%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.7
33.0
34.6
12
41%
11
4
1
1
0
2
3
8
4-8
50%
4-11
7-13
36%
53%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
20.7
19.6
6
100%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.9
11.2
16.7
2
25%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.6
26.1
28.4
9
51%
2
7
1
1
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-3
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.9
23.0
15.9
12
67%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
20.3
17.9
3
31%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.5
19.8
24.7
7
88%
2
0
1
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
13.0
13.7
2
33%
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 30.4
3.6
0
0-1
39%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.3
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.6
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.9
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.0
40.8
33.6
22
66%
8
6
0
1
0
1
3
5
4-4
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
48%
2-4
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
40.5
30.3
18
59%
15
2
2
1
4
2
8
7
2-3
67%
8-14
4-9
57%
51%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
38.6
24.8
13
54%
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
3-7
43%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
37.6
34.8
24
73%
8
10
0
1
0
4
2
6
8-8
100%
2-4
5-9
50%
50%
4-9
44%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.8
13.3
15.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-3
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
26.9
26.2
13
55%
3
0
0
1
0
3
2
1
4-4
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
1-5
20%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
20.3
23.2
5
83%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
16.5
19.6
10
75%
5
0
0
1
0
3
1
4
4-6
67%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.8
5.5
6.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.0
12.2
0
2-4
48%
Larry Owens
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.0
9.6
0
1-1
46%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.9
8.0
0
0-1
46%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.3
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.3
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.