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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Suns34%9891
16Knicks66%10488
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.3
38.4
20.8
14
44%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-15
3-6
40%
46%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
38.3
31.3
11
40%
12
2
2
1
2
5
0
12
1-2
50%
5-13
6-11
38%
56%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.9
37.6
31.2
26
89%
5
11
0
1
0
3
0
5
6-6
100%
7-9
4-8
78%
51%
2-3
67%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.6
14.8
17.2
0
0%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-1
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.4
5.6
24.8
3
52%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.1
26.5
24.3
14
58%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
44%
2-3
67%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
25.6
21.4
9
75%
4
1
0
0
4
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
3-4
75%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
17.0
30.8
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.5
16.1
10.7
7
51%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.6
10.4
4.4
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
41%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.8
9.8
14.7
5
43%
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
13.7
0
2-3
45%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.6
3.0
0
0-1
55%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.6
39.6
30.6
20
67%
4
2
4
1
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
46%
3-6
50%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
38.4
32.7
12
25%
11
4
2
1
1
1
6
5
1-4
25%
4-20
7-14
20%
49%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.3
38.4
31.1
9
78%
17
2
2
1
0
1
5
12
3-4
75%
3-4
3-4
75%
62%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.2
38.2
26.7
23
44%
7
4
0
1
1
6
3
4
9-10
90%
7-22
6-11
32%
52%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
36.2
29.7
17
53%
6
4
2
1
0
3
0
6
5-9
56%
6-8
3-5
75%
54%
0-4
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
18.1
22.5
2
33%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.8
17.1
19.4
3
23%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 22.9
8.1
18.2
2
33%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.7
5.8
12.9
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.3
15.8
1
1-2
55%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
6.3
0
1-1
54%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
4.3
0
0-0
50%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.3
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.