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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Grizzlies63%9493
26Hornets37%9087
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
41.6
36.2
18
76%
2
10
2
2
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
4-10
50%
46%
4-7
57%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
39.6
36.4
12
49%
5
1
1
1
1
4
2
3
2-3
67%
5-9
7-14
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.0
37.8
38.6
22
72%
12
7
1
1
1
4
3
9
2-3
67%
10-14
5-10
71%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.0
23.0
22.1
12
69%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
22.8
24.4
4
29%
8
1
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
48%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
25.6
20.8
16
62%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
46%
2-2
100%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
15.8
16.1
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
13.8
15.9
5
56%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
13.6
9.2
0
0%
3
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.8
6.4
9.6
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
5.4
0
1-2
48%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.8
4.1
0
0-1
42%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.7
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
39.9
11.2
18
58%
5
7
4
1
1
5
1
4
4-6
67%
7-11
1-3
64%
46%
0-2
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
39.5
25.5
10
54%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
35.4
38.4
27
87%
3
8
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
7-11
5-11
64%
46%
4-4
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.9
29.3
14.5
14
55%
6
0
0
0
2
1
3
3
4-4
100%
5-11
2-5
45%
45%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
23.1
27.0
4
100%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
20.7
21.6
4
33%
4
4
0
0
3
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.0
16.8
20.6
4
29%
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.8
13.4
14.7
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.3
9.2
17.4
2
20%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
5.2
24.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.4
4.7
3.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
2.9
22.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.0
5.4
0
0-1
38%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.