Final Win Prob. pScore
1767%99
88
2833%93
92
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo Pacers
98.99090.8
SAC logo Kings
104.58888.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

KingsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDSAC
Q4 - 0:00.0SAC88
92
Q4 - 0:03.0INDGarcia STEAL (2 STL)88
92
Q4 - 0:04.0SACGarcia Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)88
92
Q4 - 0:04.0INDSUB: West FOR George88
91
Q4 - 0:04.0SACSUB: Greene FOR Cousins88
91
Q4 - 0:04.0SACGarcia Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)88
91
Q4 - 0:04.0INDGranger Personal Take Foul (P5.PN)88
90
Q4 - 0:05.0INDSUB: Collison FOR West88
90
Q4 - 0:05.0SACSUB: Thomas FOR Thompson88
90
Q4 - 0:05.0SACKINGS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)88
90
Q4 - 0:05.0SACKINGS Rebound88
90
Q4 - 0:05.0INDFree Throw 2 of 288
90
Q4 - 0:05.0INDSUB: West FOR Collison88
90
Q4 - 0:05.0SACSUB: Thompson FOR Thomas88
90
Q4 - 0:05.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
90
Q4 - 0:05.0SACThornton Personal Take Foul (P5.PN)87
90
Q4 - 0:07.0INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)87
90
Q4 - 0:07.0SACEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)87
90
Q4 - 0:07.0SACKINGS Rebound87
89
Q4 - 0:07.0SACMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 287
89
Q4 - 0:07.0INDHill P.FOUL (P2.PN)87
89
Q4 - 0:09.0SACThornton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)87
89
Q4 - 0:12.0SACMISS Garcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
89
Q4 - 0:36.0SACCousins REBOUND (Off:12 Def:7)87
89
Q4 - 0:36.0INDMISS Collison 6' Jump Shot87
89
Q4 - 0:54.0INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)87
89
Q4 - 0:54.0SACGarcia Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)87
89
Q4 - 0:54.0SACKINGS Rebound87
88
Q4 - 0:54.0SACMISS Garcia Free Throw 1 of 287
88
Q4 - 0:54.0INDGeorge P.FOUL (P3.PN)87
88
Q4 - 0:55.0INDGarcia STEAL (1 STL)87
88
Q4 - 0:55.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)87
88
Q4 - 0:56.0SACMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
88
Q4 - 1:04SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
88
Q4 - 1:04INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
88
Q4 - 1:26SACCousins P.FOUL (P5.T4)87
88
Q4 - 1:26INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)87
88
Q4 - 1:27SACMISS Evans 19' Jump Shot87
88
Q4 - 1:43INDCollison Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)87
88
Q4 - 1:44INDCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
88
Q4 - 1:47SACMISS Evans 5' Running Jump Shot87
88
Q4 - 2:01SACEvans REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)87
88
Q4 - 2:02INDMISS Collison 9' Jump Shot87
88
Q4 - 2:20SACGarcia Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)87
88
Q4 - 2:20INDSUB: Hibbert FOR West87
87
Q4 - 2:20SACGarcia Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)87
87
Q4 - 2:20INDGranger L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)87
86
Q4 - 2:20SACKINGS Rebound87
86
Q4 - 2:20INDMISS Collison 5' Layup87
86
Q4 - 2:21INDCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
86
Q4 - 2:22INDMISS George 12' Jump Shot87
86
Q4 - 2:47INDGranger REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
86
Q4 - 2:48SACMISS Thornton 3PT Jump Shot87
86
Q4 - 3:04SACKINGS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)87
86
Q4 - 3:04INDGranger Foul Turnover (P2.T16)87
86
Q4 - 3:04INDGranger Offensive Charge Foul (P3.PN)87
86
Q4 - 3:24SACThomas 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Thornton 3 AST)87
86
Q4 - 3:28INDThornton STEAL (2 STL)87
84
Q4 - 3:34INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)87
84
Q4 - 3:40SACThornton 3' Layup (17 PTS)87
84
Q4 - 3:41SACThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
82
Q4 - 3:42SACMISS Thomas 2' Dunk87
82
Q4 - 3:47INDThomas STEAL (2 STL)87
82
Q4 - 3:58INDCollison Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)87
82
Q4 - 3:58SACKINGS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Cousins )86
82
Q4 - 4:10INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)86
82
Q4 - 4:11SACMISS Thornton 16' Jump Shot86
82
Q4 - 4:33SACCousins REBOUND (Off:12 Def:6)86
82
Q4 - 4:34INDMISS West Free Throw 1 of 186
82
Q4 - 4:34SACGarcia S.FOUL (P2.T3)86
82
Q4 - 4:34INDWest 3' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (George 1 AST)86
82
Q4 - 4:41INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
82
Q4 - 4:42SACMISS Garcia 3PT Jump Shot84
82
Q4 - 5:04SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
82
Q4 - 5:04INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
82
Q4 - 5:11INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
82
Q4 - 5:12INDMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot84
82
Q4 - 5:22SACCousins P.FOUL (P4.T2)84
82
Q4 - 5:30SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
82
Q4 - 5:30INDSUB: Hill FOR Hibbert84
81
Q4 - 5:30SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
81
Q4 - 5:30INDHibbert S.FOUL (P5.PN)84
80
Q4 - 5:41INDHibbert Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)84
80
Q4 - 5:59SACGarcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Evans 6 AST)84
80
Q4 - 6:07SACCousins REBOUND (Off:12 Def:5)84
77
Q4 - 6:08INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
77
Q4 - 6:13INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)84
77
Q4 - 6:14INDCousins BLOCK (1 BLK)84
77
Q4 - 6:29SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
77
Q4 - 6:29SACSUB: Thornton FOR Outlaw84
76
Q4 - 6:29SACKINGS Rebound84
76
Q4 - 6:29SACMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 284
76
Q4 - 6:29INDGeorge S.FOUL (P2.T4)84
76
Q4 - 6:31SACCousins REBOUND (Off:12 Def:4)84
76
Q4 - 6:31SACMISS Outlaw 12' Jump Shot84
76
Q4 - 6:39SACSUB: Cousins FOR Thompson84
76
Q4 - 6:39SACKINGS Rebound84
76
Q4 - 6:40SACMISS Evans 5' Jump Shot84
76
Q4 - 6:41SACEvans REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)84
76
Q4 - 6:43SACMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
76
Q4 - 7:02INDGranger 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)84
76
Q4 - 7:05INDGranger REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
76
Q4 - 7:08INDMISS Hibbert 6' Jump Hook Shot82
76
Q4 - 7:19INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
76
Q4 - 7:21SACMISS Garcia 3PT Jump Shot82
76
Q4 - 7:26SACKINGS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)82
76
Q4 - 7:26SACKINGS Rebound82
76
Q4 - 7:27SACMISS Evans 6' Jump Shot82
76
Q4 - 7:31SACOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
76
Q4 - 7:32SACMISS Evans 5' Jump Shot82
76
Q4 - 7:47SACThompson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)82
76
Q4 - 7:49SACMISS Outlaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
76
Q4 - 8:04INDSUB: Hibbert FOR Hansbrough82
76
Q4 - 8:04INDWest L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)82
76
Q4 - 8:04SACKINGS Rebound82
76
Q4 - 8:04INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
76
Q4 - 8:27INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
76
Q4 - 8:28SACMISS Outlaw 19' Jump Shot82
76
Q4 - 8:43INDSUB: Collison FOR Hill82
76
Q4 - 8:43INDHansbrough Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)82
76
Q4 - 8:59INDPacers Rebound82
76
Q4 - 8:59SACMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
76
Q4 - 9:12SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
76
Q4 - 9:13SACMISS Garcia 18' Jump Shot82
76
Q4 - 9:30INDOutlaw STEAL (1 STL)82
76
Q4 - 9:47INDSUB: Granger FOR Jones82
76
Q4 - 9:47INDSUB: West FOR Amundson82
76
Q4 - 9:47INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)82
76
Q4 - 9:50SACEvans Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)82
76
Q4 - 9:50INDAmundson S.FOUL (P2.T2)82
75
Q4 - 9:50SACEvans 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)82
75
Q4 - 9:54SACEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)82
73
Q4 - 9:54SACMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
73
Q4 - 10:08SACKINGS Rebound82
73
Q4 - 10:08INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
73
Q4 - 10:21SACOutlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
73
Q4 - 10:21SACOutlaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
72
Q4 - 10:21INDHansbrough S.FOUL (P4.T1)82
71
Q4 - 10:41INDGeorge 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)82
71
Q4 - 11:01SACOutlaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Evans 5 AST)80
71
Q4 - 11:22SACKINGS Rebound80
68
Q4 - 11:23INDMISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
68
Q4 - 11:38SACThomas P.FOUL (P1.T1)80
68
Q4 - 11:47SACGarcia 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)80
68
Q4 - 12:0080
66
Q3 - 0:00.0IND80
66
Q3 - 0:04.0SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)80
66
Q3 - 0:04.0SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)80
65
Q3 - 0:04.0INDAmundson S.FOUL (P1.PN)80
64
Q3 - 0:28.0INDHansbrough 2' Dunk (7 PTS)80
64
Q3 - 0:28.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
64
Q3 - 0:30.0INDMISS Hansbrough 17' Jump Shot78
64
Q3 - 0:52.0INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
64
Q3 - 0:52.0SACMISS Outlaw 18' Jump Shot78
64
Q3 - 1:12SACSUB: Outlaw FOR Greene78
64
Q3 - 1:12INDHill Foul Turnover (P2.T10)78
64
Q3 - 1:12INDHill OFF.Foul (P1)78
64
Q3 - 1:15INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
64
Q3 - 1:16SACMISS Greene 3PT Jump Shot78
64
Q3 - 1:32INDCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
64
Q3 - 1:32SACSUB: Thompson FOR Cousins77
64
Q3 - 1:32INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)77
64
Q3 - 1:32SACGreene S.FOUL (P3.PN)76
64
Q3 - 1:47INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
64
Q3 - 1:48SACMISS Cousins 3' Layup76
64
Q3 - 2:05INDAmundson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)76
64
Q3 - 2:05INDPacers Rebound75
64
Q3 - 2:05INDMISS Amundson Free Throw 1 of 275
64
Q3 - 2:05SACCousins S.FOUL (P3.PN)75
64
Q3 - 2:12INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
64
Q3 - 2:13SACMISS Greene 3PT Jump Shot75
64
Q3 - 2:29INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
64
Q3 - 2:29INDAmundson 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)75
64
Q3 - 2:32INDMISS Collison 20' Jump Shot73
64
Q3 - 2:47SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)73
64
Q3 - 2:47SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
63
Q3 - 2:47INDSUB: Jones FOR Granger73
62
Q3 - 2:47SACSUB: Evans FOR Thornton73
62
Q3 - 2:47INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)73
62
Q3 - 2:47INDCollison P.FOUL (P2.PN)73
62
Q3 - 2:55INDCollison 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)73
62
Q3 - 3:11SACThornton Foul Turnover (P4.T12)71
62
Q3 - 3:11SACThornton Offensive Charge Foul (P4.T4)71
62
Q3 - 3:14INDThornton STEAL (1 STL)71
62
Q3 - 3:35SACGarcia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
62
Q3 - 3:35SACGarcia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
61
Q3 - 3:35SACThornton Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)71
60
Q3 - 3:35INDGranger T.FOUL (P2.PN)71
59
Q3 - 3:35INDGranger P.FOUL (P2.PN)71
59
Q3 - 3:48INDCollison 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)71
59
Q3 - 4:04SACThornton Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)69
59
Q3 - 4:04INDCollison S.FOUL (P1.PN)69
58
Q3 - 4:04SACThornton 8' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)69
58
Q3 - 4:19INDCollison 11' Pullup Bank Shot (9 PTS)69
56
Q3 - 4:40SACGarcia Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)67
56
Q3 - 4:42SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
56
Q3 - 4:42SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 267
56
Q3 - 4:42INDSUB: Amundson FOR Hibbert67
56
Q3 - 4:42SACKINGS Rebound67
56
Q3 - 4:42SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 1 of 267
56
Q3 - 4:42INDHibbert S.FOUL (P4.PN)67
56
Q3 - 4:59INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)67
56
Q3 - 4:59INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)66
56
Q3 - 4:59SACGreene S.FOUL (P2.T3)65
56
Q3 - 5:07INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
56
Q3 - 5:08SACMISS Garcia 3PT Jump Shot65
56
Q3 - 5:19INDHansbrough L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)65
56
Q3 - 5:19SACCousins REBOUND (Off:11 Def:4)65
56
Q3 - 5:20SACMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 265
56
Q3 - 5:20INDSUB: Hansbrough FOR George65
56
Q3 - 5:20INDSUB: Hill FOR West65
56
Q3 - 5:20SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
56
Q3 - 5:20INDGranger S.FOUL (P1.T3)65
55
Q3 - 5:23INDThomas STEAL (1 STL)65
55
Q3 - 5:33SACThornton P.FOUL (P3.T2)65
55
Q3 - 5:36INDPacers Rebound65
55
Q3 - 5:36INDMISS Granger Free Throw Technical65
55
Q3 - 5:3665
55
Q3 - 5:37INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
55
Q3 - 5:38SACMISS Greene 4' Jump Shot65
55
Q3 - 5:53INDGranger 5' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)65
55
Q3 - 5:56INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
55
Q3 - 5:57INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
55
Q3 - 6:09SACThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)63
55
Q3 - 6:16SACCousins REBOUND (Off:10 Def:4)63
55
Q3 - 6:17INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
55
Q3 - 6:32SACCousins P.FOUL (P2.T1)63
55
Q3 - 6:46SACThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
55
Q3 - 6:46SACThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
54
Q3 - 6:46INDHibbert S.FOUL (P3.T2)63
53
Q3 - 6:47SACThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
53
Q3 - 6:49SACMISS Thornton 7' Jump Shot63
53
Q3 - 7:05INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)63
53
Q3 - 7:05INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
53
Q3 - 7:05INDMISS West 19' Jump Shot63
53
Q3 - 7:30SACThornton Foul Turnover (P3.T9)63
53
Q3 - 7:30SACThornton OFF.Foul (P2)63
53
Q3 - 7:35SACCousins REBOUND (Off:10 Def:3)63
53
Q3 - 7:37INDGarcia BLOCK (1 BLK)63
53
Q3 - 8:01SACGarcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)63
53
Q3 - 8:13SACSUB: Greene FOR Evans63
50
Q3 - 8:13SACSUB: Thomas FOR Thompson63
50
Q3 - 8:13SACSUB: Garcia FOR Salmons63
50
Q3 - 8:13SACKINGS Rebound63
50
Q3 - 8:13SACMISS Thornton 4' Jump Shot63
50
Q3 - 8:32INDGeorge 5' Driving Layup (8 PTS)63
50
Q3 - 8:40INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
50
Q3 - 8:41SACMISS Salmons 20' Jump Shot61
50
Q3 - 8:48INDWest P.FOUL (P2.T1)61
50
Q3 - 9:00SACKINGS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)61
50
Q3 - 9:12INDGranger 17' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
50
Q3 - 9:18INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
50
Q3 - 9:18SACMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
50
Q3 - 9:29INDGeorge 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Hibbert 4 AST)59
50
Q3 - 9:52SACSalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cousins 2 AST)57
50
Q3 - 10:12INDHibbert 7' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS)57
47
Q3 - 10:30SACCousins 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Evans 4 AST)55
47
Q3 - 10:44INDThompson STEAL (2 STL)55
45
Q3 - 10:51SACThompson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)55
45
Q3 - 11:12INDCollison 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)55
45
Q3 - 11:17SACSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)53
45
Q3 - 11:31INDCollison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hibbert 3 AST)53
45
Q3 - 11:35INDMISS Granger 11' Jump Shot50
45
Q3 - 11:35INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
45
Q3 - 12:0050
45
Q2 - 0:00.0IND50
45
Q2 - 0:01.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
45
Q2 - 0:02.0SACMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
45
Q2 - 0:23.0INDHansbrough 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)50
45
Q2 - 0:37.0SACThornton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)48
45
Q2 - 0:44.0INDGranger 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (9 PTS)48
45
Q2 - 0:58.0INDGranger Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)46
45
Q2 - 0:58.0SACCousins T.FOUL (P1.PN)45
45
Q2 - 0:58.0SACHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
45
Q2 - 0:58.0SACHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
44
Q2 - 0:58.0INDHansbrough S.FOUL (P2.PN)45
43
Q2 - 1:02SACEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
43
Q2 - 1:04INDMISS West 7' Jump Shot45
43
Q2 - 1:28SACThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
43
Q2 - 1:48INDWest 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
40
Q2 - 2:05SACCousins 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)43
40
Q2 - 2:28INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)43
38
Q2 - 2:28SACSUB: Hickson FOR Thompson42
38
Q2 - 2:28INDPacers Rebound42
38
Q2 - 2:28INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 242
38
Q2 - 2:28SACThompson L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)42
38
Q2 - 2:28INDPacers Rebound42
38
Q2 - 2:28SACThompson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)42
38
Q2 - 2:28SACMISS Thompson 3' Tip Shot42
38
Q2 - 2:28SACMISS Thornton 10' Jump Shot42
38
Q2 - 2:38INDSUB: Hansbrough FOR Hibbert42
38
Q2 - 2:43INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)42
38
Q2 - 2:43SACKINGS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)42
38
Q2 - 2:47INDGeorge 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)42
38
Q2 - 2:49INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
38
Q2 - 2:51SACMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
38
Q2 - 2:56SACMISS Cousins 13' Fadeaway Jumper40
38
Q2 - 2:56SACEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
38
Q2 - 3:16INDWest 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)40
38
Q2 - 3:41SACSUB: Salmons FOR Garcia38
38
Q2 - 3:41SACCousins Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T5)38
38
Q2 - 3:44SACCousins REBOUND (Off:10 Def:2)38
38
Q2 - 3:45SACMISS Evans 13' Turnaround Jump Shot38
38
Q2 - 3:56SACKINGS Rebound38
38
Q2 - 3:57SACMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
38
Q2 - 4:01SACThompson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)38
38
Q2 - 4:03SACMISS Thompson 5' Jump Shot38
38
Q2 - 4:19SACCousins REBOUND (Off:9 Def:2)38
38
Q2 - 4:20INDMISS Collison 22' Jump Shot38
38
Q2 - 4:28INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
38
Q2 - 4:29SACMISS Thompson Free Throw 2 of 238
38
Q2 - 4:29SACKINGS Rebound38
38
Q2 - 4:29SACMISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 238
38
Q2 - 4:29INDWest S.FOUL (P1.PN)38
38
Q2 - 4:40INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
38
Q2 - 4:40INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
38
Q2 - 4:40SACThompson P.FOUL (P1.PN)36
38
Q2 - 4:55INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
38
Q2 - 4:57SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 236
38
Q2 - 4:57SACSUB: Evans FOR Fredette36
38
Q2 - 4:57SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
38
Q2 - 4:57INDHibbert S.FOUL (P2.PN)36
37
Q2 - 4:58SACCousins REBOUND (Off:9 Def:1)36
37
Q2 - 4:58SACMISS Fredette 8' Jump Shot36
37
Q2 - 5:13INDHibbert 8' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)36
37
Q2 - 5:23SACFredette P.FOUL (P1.T4)34
37
Q2 - 5:38SACThompson 6' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Cousins 1 AST)34
37
Q2 - 5:46INDSUB: Granger FOR Jones34
35
Q2 - 5:46SACKINGS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
35
Q2 - 5:46INDJones L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)34
35
Q2 - 5:46SACKINGS Rebound34
35
Q2 - 5:47SACMISS Fredette 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
35
Q2 - 6:03INDWest 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
35
Q2 - 6:17SACCousins 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)32
35
Q2 - 6:27SACThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)32
33
Q2 - 6:28INDMISS George 19' Jump Shot32
33
Q2 - 6:45INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
33
Q2 - 6:46SACCousins REBOUND (Off:8 Def:1)32
33
Q2 - 6:46SACMISS Cousins 2' Tip Shot32
33
Q2 - 6:48SACMISS Garcia Free Throw 2 of 232
33
Q2 - 6:48SACGarcia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
33
Q2 - 6:48INDJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)32
32
Q2 - 6:51SACThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
32
Q2 - 6:52INDMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot32
32
Q2 - 7:02INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
32
Q2 - 7:03SACMISS Thompson Free Throw 2 of 232
32
Q2 - 7:03INDSUB: Hibbert FOR Hansbrough32
32
Q2 - 7:03INDSUB: Collison FOR Hill32
32
Q2 - 7:03SACThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
32
Q2 - 7:03INDGeorge S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
31
Q2 - 7:03SACThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
31
Q2 - 7:04SACMISS Fredette 13' Jump Shot32
31
Q2 - 7:17SACSUB: Thompson FOR Greene32
31
Q2 - 7:17SACKINGS Rebound32
31
Q2 - 7:18INDGreene BLOCK (1 BLK)32
31
Q2 - 7:33SACCousins 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
31
Q2 - 7:36SACCousins REBOUND (Off:7 Def:1)32
29
Q2 - 7:37SACCousins REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)32
29
Q2 - 7:37SACMISS Cousins 1' Tip Shot32
29
Q2 - 7:39SACMISS Fredette 19' Jump Shot32
29
Q2 - 7:46SACGreene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
29
Q2 - 7:46INDMISS Hansbrough 14' Jump Shot32
29
Q2 - 8:06SACCousins 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Greene 1 AST)32
29
Q2 - 8:13SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
27
Q2 - 8:14INDMISS West 17' Jump Shot32
27
Q2 - 8:35INDJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
27
Q2 - 8:35INDMISS West Free Throw 2 of 232
27
Q2 - 8:35SACSUB: Thornton FOR Evans32
27
Q2 - 8:35INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
27
Q2 - 8:35SACGreene S.FOUL (P1.T3)31
27
Q2 - 8:44INDSUB: West FOR Amundson31
27
Q2 - 8:4431
27
Q2 - 8:56INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
27
Q2 - 8:57INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
27
Q2 - 9:03INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
27
Q2 - 9:04SACMISS Greene 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
27
Q2 - 9:13SACSUB: Cousins FOR Hickson31
27
Q2 - 9:13INDSUB: George FOR Stephenson31
27
Q2 - 9:13INDHansbrough P.FOUL (P1.T1)31
27
Q2 - 9:19INDHill 3' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)31
27
Q2 - 9:30INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
27
Q2 - 9:31SACMISS Hickson 5' Running Jump Shot29
27
Q2 - 9:47INDJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)29
27
Q2 - 9:52SACFredette Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
27
Q2 - 10:09INDHill 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
27
Q2 - 10:16SACGarcia P.FOUL (P1.T2)27
27
Q2 - 10:32SACHickson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Evans 3 AST)27
27
Q2 - 10:36SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
25
Q2 - 10:37INDMISS Stephenson 5' Jump Shot27
25
Q2 - 10:42SACHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
25
Q2 - 10:42SACHickson 4' Tip Shot (2 PTS)27
25
Q2 - 10:45SACMISS Evans 5' Tip Shot27
23
Q2 - 10:45SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
23
Q2 - 10:47SACMISS Evans 6' Jump Shot27
23
Q2 - 11:06INDHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
23
Q2 - 11:06SACSUB: Fredette FOR Thornton26
23
Q2 - 11:06INDHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
23
Q2 - 11:06SACThornton S.FOUL (P1.T1)25
23
Q2 - 11:12SACGreene 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (4 PTS)25
23
Q2 - 11:22INDJones 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
21
Q2 - 11:33SACGreene 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)23
21
Q2 - 11:36SACEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
19
Q2 - 11:40INDMISS Stephenson 20' Jump Shot23
19
Q2 - 12:0023
19
Q1 - 0:00.0IND23
19
Q1 - 0:00.0SACHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
19
Q1 - 0:01.0INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
19
Q1 - 0:01.0INDMISS Amundson 6' Tip Shot23
19
Q1 - 0:01.0INDMISS Stephenson 9' Jump Shot23
19
Q1 - 0:20.0INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
19
Q1 - 0:21.0SACMISS Thornton 11' Jump Shot23
19
Q1 - 0:44.0SACEvans Violation:Defensive Goaltending23
19
Q1 - 0:44.0INDHill 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)23
19
Q1 - 0:47.0INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
19
Q1 - 0:48.0SACMISS Garcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 0:58.0SACHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
19
Q1 - 0:58.0INDMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 1:01SACSUB: Garcia FOR Salmons21
19
Q1 - 1:01INDPacers Rebound21
19
Q1 - 1:01INDMISS Stephenson 3' Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 1:06SACEvans Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)21
19
Q1 - 1:17SACHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
19
Q1 - 1:17INDMISS Granger 8' Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 1:34INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
19
Q1 - 1:34INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 1:40INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
19
Q1 - 1:41INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 221
19
Q1 - 1:41SACSUB: Greene FOR Thompson21
19
Q1 - 1:41INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
19
Q1 - 1:41SACHickson S.FOUL (P1.T4)20
19
Q1 - 1:46INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
19
Q1 - 1:47SACMISS Hickson 14' Jump Shot20
19
Q1 - 2:07INDEvans STEAL (1 STL)20
19
Q1 - 2:21SACEvans 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
19
Q1 - 2:33SACThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
17
Q1 - 2:35SACMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
17
Q1 - 2:51INDSUB: Amundson FOR Collison20
17
Q1 - 2:51INDSUB: Stephenson FOR Hibbert20
17
Q1 - 2:51INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
17
Q1 - 3:02INDHibbert 3' Layup (9 PTS)20
17
Q1 - 3:26SACThompson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)18
17
Q1 - 3:32INDSalmons STEAL (1 STL)18
15
Q1 - 3:34INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
15
Q1 - 3:36SACMISS Hickson 8' Jump Shot18
15
Q1 - 3:44SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
15
Q1 - 3:46INDMISS Granger 5' Jump Shot18
15
Q1 - 4:03SACThompson 8' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)18
15
Q1 - 4:24INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
13
Q1 - 4:24INDPacers Rebound17
13
Q1 - 4:24INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 217
13
Q1 - 4:24SACEvans S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
13
Q1 - 4:34INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
13
Q1 - 4:35INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
13
Q1 - 4:41INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
13
Q1 - 4:42INDMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
13
Q1 - 5:04INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13
Q1 - 5:05SACMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
13
Q1 - 5:10SACHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
13
Q1 - 5:11SACMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
13
Q1 - 5:23INDSUB: Hill FOR George17
13
Q1 - 5:23INDSUB: Hansbrough FOR West17
13
Q1 - 5:23SACSUB: Hickson FOR Cousins17
13
Q1 - 5:23SAC17
13
Q1 - 5:23SACKINGS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
13
Q1 - 5:29INDCollison 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
13
Q1 - 5:36SACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)15
13
Q1 - 5:51INDWest 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
10
Q1 - 6:07INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
10
Q1 - 6:07SACMISS Evans 18' Jump Shot13
10
Q1 - 6:25SACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
10
Q1 - 6:26INDMISS George 4' Jump Shot13
10
Q1 - 6:36INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
10
Q1 - 6:39SACMISS Cousins 5' Jump Hook Shot13
10
Q1 - 6:40SACCousins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)13
10
Q1 - 6:41SACMISS Salmons 19' Jump Shot13
10
Q1 - 6:53INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
10
Q1 - 6:53INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
10
Q1 - 6:53SACCousins S.FOUL (P1.T2)11
10
Q1 - 6:54INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
10
Q1 - 6:56INDMISS West 3' Layup11
10
Q1 - 7:08SACEvans 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
10
Q1 - 7:26INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
8
Q1 - 7:26SACSalmons S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
8
Q1 - 7:26INDGranger 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)10
8
Q1 - 7:33SACThompson 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)8
8
Q1 - 7:46INDGeorge 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)8
6
Q1 - 7:56SACThornton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)6
6
Q1 - 7:57SACCousins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 7:58SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 7:58SACMISS Cousins 3' Tip Shot6
6
Q1 - 7:59SACMISS Salmons 2' Layup6
6
Q1 - 8:04SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 8:05INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 8:05INDMISS Hibbert 1' Tip Shot6
6
Q1 - 8:06INDMISS Granger 3' Layup6
6
Q1 - 8:21INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 8:22SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 26
6
Q1 - 8:22SACKINGS Rebound6
6
Q1 - 8:22SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 1 of 26
6
Q1 - 8:22INDHibbert S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
6
Q1 - 8:22SACCousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 8:23SACMISS Thompson 7' Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 8:32SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
6
Q1 - 8:33SACMISS Cousins 3' Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 8:48INDGranger 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)6
6
Q1 - 8:56INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 8:57SACMISS Cousins 4' Jump Hook Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:19INDThompson STEAL (1 STL)4
6
Q1 - 9:37SACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 9:44SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
3
Q1 - 9:44INDMISS Collison 7' Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 9:51INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
3
Q1 - 9:51SACMISS Cousins 20' Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 10:12INDWest Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
3
Q1 - 10:14INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
3
Q1 - 10:18SACMISS Thompson 18' Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 10:39INDHibbert 3' Hook Bank Shot (4 PTS)4
3
Q1 - 11:02SACSalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)2
3
Q1 - 11:12SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
0
Q1 - 11:14SACMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:30INDHibbert 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:39SACCousins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00SACJump Ball Thompson vs. Hibbert: Tip to Salmons0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventINDSAC
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.96 47.8%
SAC
0.81 40.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
19
30
63%
SAC
13
31
42%
Midrange
IND
14
35
40%
SAC
7
31
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
1
1.5
13
8%
12%
SAC
8
12.0
31
26%
39%
Free Throws
IND
20
27
74%
SAC
28
41
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Collison1662%8.0 / 13
D. Granger1642%8.0 / 19
D. West1359%6.5 / 11
R. Hibbert1359%6.5 / 11
P. George1042%5.0 / 12
G. Hill857%4.0 / 7
T. Hansbrough770%3.5 / 5
L. Amundson350%1.5 / 3
D. Jones250%1.0 / 2
L. Stephenson0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Thornton1747%8.5 / 18
F. Garcia1657%8.0 / 14
D. Cousins1336%6.5 / 18
J. Thompson950%4.5 / 9
T. Evans827%4.0 / 15
I. Thomas850%4.0 / 8
J. Salmons643%3.0 / 7
J. Hickson650%3.0 / 6
T. Outlaw542%2.5 / 6
D. Greene433%2.0 / 6
J. Fredette0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
72
+18
-18
90
SAC
76
+35
-12
111
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.96 47.8%
SAC
0.81 40.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
104.2
IND 98.9
SAC 104.5 +5.7
Pace
91.1
94.4
IND 90.8 +2.8
SAC 88.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.0
IND 15.9 −0.5
SAC 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
47.2%
IND 44.2% +9.8%
SAC 34.4%
TO %
14.4%
14.6%
IND 17.5%
SAC 9.8% −7.7%
ORB %
29.3%
29.1%
IND 42.5%
SAC 45.5% +3.0%
FTrt
32.1
26.8
IND 34.6
SAC 44.1 +9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
51.0%
IND 38.2%
SAC 60.7% +22.5%
STL %
8.7%
8.9%
IND 7.8%
SAC 12.5% +4.7%
BLK %
8.8%
7.4%
IND 12.9% +8.3%
SAC 4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
49.8%
IND 47.8% +7.1%
SAC 40.7%
Rim FG%
53.6%
56.2%
IND 63.3% +21.4%
SAC 41.9%
Mid FG%
38.3%
35.8%
IND 40.0% +17.4%
SAC 22.6%
3P %
36.8%
31.6%
IND 7.7%
SAC 25.8% +18.1%
FT %
78.3%
73.6%
IND 74.1% +5.8%
SAC 68.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
42.9%
IND 38.5% +5.1%
SAC 33.3%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
34.3%
IND 44.9%
SAC 33.3% −11.5%
3P Att. %
19.8%
22.8%
IND 16.7%
SAC 33.3% +16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDSAC
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes23.824.0
Points8992
Rebounds5353
Assists1317
Steals711
Blocks83
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (1)30 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)23 (5)
Field Goals34-7828-93
At-the-Rim FG19-3013-31
Midrange FG14-357-31
2-Point FG33-6520-62
3-Point FG1-138-31
Free Throws20-2728-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
36.9
16
62%
6
3
0
0
1
2
2
4
3-3
100%
5-11
45%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 222 · 29
36.8
16
42%
7
1
1
1
2
5
3
4
4-7
57%
6-11
55%
0-6
0%
G · 6'8" 220 · 22
34.4
10
42%
9
1
2
1
3
3
0
9
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 31
29.6
13
59%
5
1
2
0
3
3
1
4
3-5
60%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 270 · 25
25.8
13
59%
8
4
0
4
3
5
4
4
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 26
24.4
8
57%
5
0
0
0
2
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
· 6'9" 250 · 26
22.2
7
70%
5
1
0
0
3
4
3
2
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 29
13.0
3
50%
4
0
1
2
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31
11.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 230 · 21
5.6
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35
G · 6'2" 195 · 25
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
48%
53
13
7
8
18
0
17
36
20-27
74%
33-65
51%
1-13
8%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.