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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers41%9587
4Heat59%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.4
41.1
38.5
24
52%
5
7
3
1
0
2
1
4
5-5
100%
5-15
9-20
33%
47%
3-6
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.5
37.3
36.3
26
64%
8
2
0
1
1
1
4
4
3-3
100%
10-15
6-12
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.2
36.8
35.0
15
51%
12
2
0
1
2
1
1
11
3-4
75%
6-13
6-12
46%
53%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.4
29.0
27.2
2
20%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
40%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.9
22.1
25.9
3
22%
4
0
2
1
2
3
3
1
1-2
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
52%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.2
22.2
15.3
7
51%
1
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
2-4
50%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
18.1
16.4
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.9
12.8
18.4
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.0
10.6
9.4
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.7
9.0
8.1
8
100%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
0.9
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
6.1
0
1-1
43%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
5.6
0
0-1
41%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.9
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.1
37.2
34.4
31
52%
8
8
4
1
3
3
3
5
5-7
71%
10-24
8-14
42%
54%
2-3
67%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.8
35.2
35.5
15
57%
8
1
1
1
0
2
0
8
3-5
60%
6-11
7-13
55%
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.4
34.5
18.4
11
50%
6
1
1
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
3-7
43%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.7
32.4
29.1
10
51%
0
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
52%
2-5
40%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
29.4
19.1
7
60%
7
0
0
0
1
1
4
3
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
25.0
25.9
8
57%
8
1
0
0
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
15.6
19.4
4
29%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.9
14.9
13.7
3
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.3
9.8
19.8
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
1-1
100%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.1
6.1
1.8
6
77%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
53%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.9
8.5
0
1-2
49%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
7.7
0
0-1
45%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.9
2.2
0
0-0
47%
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.5
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.