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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Hornets21%9088
11Rockets79%10190
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
45.7
22.7
10
46%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
42.2
30.8
15
56%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
5-9
2-5
56%
44%
1-3
33%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
36.7
36.9
15
45%
5
7
0
1
0
3
2
3
2-4
50%
5-12
5-10
42%
46%
1-3
33%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.9
29.4
20.4
17
52%
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
3
1-1
100%
8-16
3-7
50%
45%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
26.4
25.5
8
44%
12
1
0
1
1
0
4
8
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
26.6
21.2
5
25%
8
1
2
0
1
4
1
7
1-2
50%
2-9
4-9
22%
47%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.3
21.2
14.5
6
33%
2
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-9
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
18.1
15.0
6
30%
4
0
1
1
0
0
4
0
2-2
100%
2-8
1-3
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.0
16.3
19.2
6
50%
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
0-2
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.8
2.4
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
16.8
0
2-4
44%
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.4
4.3
0
0-1
42%
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.0
3.9
0
0-1
37%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.7
43.1
27.8
15
52%
17
2
0
1
2
3
9
8
1-1
100%
7-14
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.7
42.5
28.8
13
56%
4
2
0
1
2
5
0
4
5-6
83%
4-9
7-13
44%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.0
42.5
35.2
32
56%
8
0
1
1
0
0
1
7
3-3
100%
7-15
4-9
47%
48%
5-12
42%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.8
41.9
33.1
10
44%
9
8
3
1
1
7
1
8
1-1
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
1-4
25%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
24.6
26.9
3
30%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
25.7
18.0
17
66%
2
2
3
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
48%
2-4
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
16.6
21.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.7
12.2
21.0
0
0%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
12.2
17.8
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 25.9
3.8
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
4.5
0
1-1
44%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.9
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.9
1.2
0
0-0
57%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.