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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 20, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hawks36%9176
976ers64%9690
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.1
32.1
38.5
10
33%
6
4
0
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
5-14
7-15
36%
49%
0-1
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.6
32.0
36.4
12
55%
0
6
5
2
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
4-7
4-9
57%
45%
1-3
33%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
31.3
36.2
8
47%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-6
5-11
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.6
26.3
20.0
4
22%
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-9
2-5
22%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.1
19.4
11.3
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
20.2
15.8
14
100%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
2-2
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.9
20.0
23.1
5
73%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.7
18.3
15.1
10
57%
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
43%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.2
16.6
13.3
3
38%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
1-4
25%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.2
12.5
9.0
4
40%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
38%
0-2
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.8
4.4
16.4
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.2
3.5
1.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
3.5
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.0
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
39.5
36.9
11
43%
6
6
2
2
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
0-4
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.9
37.0
27.8
10
45%
16
2
2
1
3
3
9
7
0-0
-
5-11
5-9
45%
49%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.6
36.4
36.1
16
45%
6
11
3
2
0
5
1
5
4-4
100%
6-15
5-10
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.2
29.1
10.1
8
36%
7
1
1
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-9
1-3
44%
49%
0-2
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.4
26.5
27.4
12
75%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
4-8
50%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
23.5
20.3
5
43%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.6
22.7
29.9
20
78%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
8-11
6-12
73%
52%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.2
18.8
22.2
6
27%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
4-5
80%
1-8
3-7
13%
45%
0-1
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.9
6.5
10.1
2
53%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.7
15.9
0
2-5
49%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 32.1
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
1.6
0
0-0
49%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.0
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.