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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 20, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bucks41%96100
18Knicks59%9986
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.3
35.7
32.8
36
69%
2
5
2
1
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
9-14
4-10
64%
43%
6-12
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.4
33.8
16.9
18
77%
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
7-10
2-5
70%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.1
32.8
26.8
11
56%
5
2
2
1
1
4
0
5
1-2
50%
5-9
5-9
56%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.4
28.7
30.8
9
64%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
42%
1-4
25%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.7
7.0
20.0
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
24.4
5.1
6
44%
7
0
2
0
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
2-6
1-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
22.9
19.7
3
30%
9
3
2
1
0
4
1
8
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
21.6
11.5
10
40%
11
0
0
0
0
2
3
8
6-8
75%
2-9
2-5
22%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.3
13.3
9.4
1
10%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-4
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
10.9
15.8
4
40%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.5
7.7
20.5
2
53%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-1
3-6
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.8
1.3
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.2
8.8
0
1-2
45%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.8
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.2
37.0
30.9
15
51%
11
0
1
1
1
5
4
7
3-4
75%
6-13
7-14
46%
50%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
35.5
34.3
35
55%
5
2
1
1
0
4
3
2
11-13
85%
9-20
7-15
45%
47%
2-6
33%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.3
33.7
33.4
11
65%
12
0
0
1
1
2
4
8
7-8
88%
2-5
3-4
40%
61%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
32.2
31.8
10
60%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-3
33%
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
1-3
33%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.6
30.0
33.5
4
30%
3
5
4
2
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
0-3
4-9
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.3
21.6
10.6
3
38%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
1-3
33%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 22.9
17.8
14.3
6
68%
4
0
2
0
1
2
0
4
0-1
0%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-4
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.8
14.6
18.5
2
17%
2
2
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
8.9
20.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.7
8.7
10.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-2
0%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
4.7
0
0-1
53%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
3.3
0
0-0
50%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.3
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.