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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 20, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Lakers40%9280
6Magic60%9592
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.4
44.4
39.2
30
60%
3
8
0
1
0
3
2
1
7-7
100%
10-19
9-19
53%
47%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.5
40.9
36.3
13
44%
10
3
0
1
0
1
1
9
5-6
83%
4-11
6-12
36%
51%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.4
32.6
27.9
12
43%
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
40%
2-5
40%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.2
26.2
35.6
10
61%
12
0
0
1
2
0
5
7
2-5
40%
4-6
6-12
67%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.9
20.7
24.1
3
31%
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.0
19.1
10.0
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.9
18.0
16.0
1
57%
7
1
1
0
0
3
0
7
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
15.4
17.3
5
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.7
10.9
9.2
3
30%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.2
8.2
18.5
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
3.6
2.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-1
0%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
4.8
0
0-1
44%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
4.8
0
0-1
41%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.7
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
45.6
37.0
21
49%
23
2
1
1
1
4
4
19
9-17
53%
6-14
7-12
43%
59%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
33.0
30.1
15
63%
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
3-6
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
30.7
31.0
13
65%
8
0
4
1
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
30.4
27.0
12
55%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.9
28.2
31.7
17
64%
2
9
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-3
67%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
3-4
75%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
19.8
15.6
3
34%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.1
19.7
20.8
5
36%
8
0
0
1
0
2
5
3
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.8
16.6
15.5
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
1-2
50%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.5
15.9
17.6
3
20%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
0-2
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
11.0
0
1-2
39%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
5.2
0
1-1
44%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.5
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
0.6
0
0-0
46%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.8
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.