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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Cavaliers26%9194
13Hawks74%99121
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.3
28
29
3
9
3
0
1
0
1
2
7
1-2
50%
1-5
4-7
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 19.8
27
27
18
2
2
0
1
1
7
0
2
1-4
25%
7-8
4-10
88%
42%
1-2
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.6
26
30
10
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
5-10
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.6
25
21
11
2
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
1-3
33%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 36.6
21
19
3
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
24
24
13
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
9-11
82%
2-6
3-8
33%
43%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
24
24
14
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 20.9
23
17
16
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
4-5
80%
6-7
3-7
86%
43%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.1
23
4
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
12
10
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.0
6
7
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.9
28
1
1-4
38%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
4
0
0-1
52%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.6
Mychel Thompson
F · 6'6" 211 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
30
34
25
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
5-9
56%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.9
29
22
13
6
4
2
1
0
2
5
1
1-2
50%
6-7
2-4
86%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.1
28
36
8
11
5
4
1
1
1
1
10
4-6
67%
2-8
7-14
25%
52%
0-1
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.6
27
34
14
0
5
2
2
0
0
0
0
4-5
80%
5-7
4-9
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.6
20
23
12
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-4
3-6
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.8
24
12
11
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
48%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.7
22
16
4
1
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
18
18
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.2
15
10
14
2
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
41%
2-3
67%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.1
8
15
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.2
6
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
6
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.2
6
15
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-2
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.