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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder66%10484
23Nets34%9974
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
44.5
36.6
20
41%
15
3
2
1
1
5
1
14
2-6
33%
9-16
7-13
56%
52%
0-6
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
35.6
35.3
21
46%
3
6
2
2
1
3
0
3
2-4
50%
8-18
7-15
44%
46%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
33.0
23.1
2
35%
8
2
1
1
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.2
30.0
26.7
5
36%
6
0
0
0
2
4
2
4
1-2
50%
2-6
2-3
33%
56%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
28.3
26.6
6
44%
9
0
0
0
5
2
5
4
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.4
27.5
27.7
16
69%
9
2
1
1
1
1
2
7
5-6
83%
4-6
3-5
67%
53%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.2
17.9
20.6
4
67%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
58%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.8
12.3
10.9
7
60%
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
5.8
13.2
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
4.9
11.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.2
2.5
0
0-0
51%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
2.4
0
0-1
45%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.1
2.1
0
0-0
43%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
42.9
33.6
12
35%
16
0
2
1
3
2
6
10
0-0
-
6-17
5-10
35%
49%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
39.0
35.3
14
35%
4
6
1
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
48%
0-6
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.0
34.3
35.6
14
38%
5
1
2
1
1
2
3
2
2-3
67%
6-13
5-10
46%
46%
0-4
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.8
31.0
14.7
8
55%
5
0
0
0
1
2
2
3
3-3
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
39%
1-4
25%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.7
26.4
29.3
0
0%
9
2
1
1
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
24.8
26.2
6
22%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
1-9
2-5
11%
46%
1-4
25%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
19.6
21.7
13
55%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
10.0
18.3
3
80%
4
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.0
8.0
8.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.8
2.7
6.7
2
53%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Larry Owens
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.0
1.2
6.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.9
6.3
0
0-1
44%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.3
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.3
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.