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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings24%9195
13Grizzlies76%101128
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
30.6
38.5
13
60%
3
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
3-8
6-13
38%
44%
1-1
100%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.4
29.5
27.7
19
49%
11
1
0
1
1
2
4
7
1-3
33%
9-18
5-11
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.5
26.2
25.2
7
33%
6
0
0
0
1
2
4
2
3-4
75%
2-9
3-7
22%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.1
15.7
18.6
3
38%
1
0
3
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
13.1
33.9
2
20%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.9
33.2
14.1
21
82%
7
3
1
0
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
8-9
1-3
89%
46%
1-3
33%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.9
33.0
13.6
20
61%
3
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
7-8
88%
2-7
1-3
29%
38%
3-6
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.0
21.6
14.4
2
14%
5
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
37%
0-3
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.3
19.1
4.5
8
42%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
4-7
0-1
57%
40%
0-2
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.4
18.0
21.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.1
27.0
1
2-6
44%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.6
6.0
0
1-1
48%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.5
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
34.5
35.0
23
57%
3
4
4
1
1
3
1
2
5-7
71%
9-16
7-13
56%
50%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.0
31.9
37.3
20
81%
11
5
1
1
6
0
0
11
3-3
100%
7-10
6-11
70%
55%
1-1
100%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
30.5
37.7
22
82%
2
6
2
2
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
9-11
5-9
82%
48%
1-2
50%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
28.5
22.9
12
68%
15
1
1
1
0
0
3
12
2-2
100%
5-7
4-9
71%
49%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.0
19.6
22.0
8
41%
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
0
4-6
67%
2-7
3-6
29%
52%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
26.6
25.0
22
69%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
6-10
60%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
19.7
15.8
7
51%
10
1
1
1
1
1
5
5
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
14.7
15.9
6
104%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.8
12.0
3.3
2
25%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.8
9.8
9.2
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
5.4
4.4
4
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.7
5.4
1.5
2
50%
5
1
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
1.3
12.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.