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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks74%9583
25Hornets26%8781
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.7
36.8
30.3
14
59%
12
1
0
1
1
0
1
11
1-2
50%
5-9
5-10
56%
51%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.8
34.0
31.0
0
0%
10
5
0
2
0
2
0
10
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-5
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.5
33.8
20.1
16
68%
5
6
1
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
5-8
2-5
63%
48%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.2
27.9
23.7
6
60%
10
0
0
0
2
0
2
8
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.2
25.7
21.4
16
48%
4
2
0
0
0
3
3
1
3-6
50%
5-9
2-5
56%
52%
1-5
20%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.3
26.8
29.4
12
32%
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
0-7
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.2
18.4
20.3
6
60%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
57%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
16.9
12.9
7
44%
3
0
3
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.7
7.3
4.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
6.7
3.3
6
104%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.2
5.8
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.6
32.1
1
6-12
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.0
10.3
0
1-2
46%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
39.9
35.1
12
40%
4
6
1
1
0
2
1
3
5-7
71%
2-8
5-10
25%
46%
1-4
25%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
37.1
24.7
16
56%
17
1
0
1
1
2
6
11
2-3
67%
7-13
3-6
54%
53%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
37.1
28.7
12
37%
6
2
2
1
1
1
2
4
1-3
33%
4-12
3-7
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
24.9
32.6
4
25%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
2-6
100%
44%
0-6
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.9
20.9
22.1
4
33%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-8
33%
45%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.3
27.1
16.0
19
65%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
9-13
69%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.0
16.1
17.5
5
46%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
10.9
15.3
2
33%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
9.9
12.0
4
40%
2
0
3
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
7.2
21.8
3
61%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
1-1
100%
1-2
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.0
5.2
3.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
35%
0-2
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.8
3.7
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.4
3.0
0
0-1
41%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.