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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats30%9687
23Nets70%10397
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
35.5
33.8
15
58%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
48%
1-1
100%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.7
32.5
27.8
16
50%
6
3
1
1
0
3
0
6
5-7
71%
4-10
3-8
40%
42%
1-3
33%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.9
21.0
26.7
2
20%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
5-11
20%
48%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
20.1
25.7
6
60%
6
0
1
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.2
7.7
31.5
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.4
30.1
19.9
11
46%
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
4-8
2-5
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.6
19.9
12.8
10
50%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
43%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.8
19.2
19.4
4
67%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
18.4
11.7
6
27%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
44%
0-3
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.4
18.2
11.4
11
71%
7
1
2
0
4
1
3
4
1-4
25%
5-6
1-2
83%
47%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
17.5
3.9
6
100%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
2-2
100%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
14.1
0
2-4
51%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.0
3.7
0
0-1
44%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
38.3
36.4
19
53%
9
10
2
1
0
6
1
8
2-2
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
50%
1-5
20%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.0
36.4
34.4
20
56%
6
1
0
1
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
9-16
5-10
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
30.3
37.2
8
36%
10
0
0
1
1
2
6
4
0-0
-
4-11
6-11
36%
51%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.7
29.3
27.4
7
32%
4
1
0
1
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
1-8
13%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.8
14.7
22.1
0
0%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-2
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
32.0
25.4
19
81%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
22.4
20.6
13
74%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
21.6
14.6
5
43%
7
0
0
0
1
0
3
4
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.9
14.9
5.4
6
47%
1
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
1-5
20%
Larry Owens
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.0
0.2
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.0
8.5
0
1-3
48%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.8
5.4
0
1-1
49%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.8
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.3
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.