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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Magic60%9256
16Celtics40%8887
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
35.1
39.7
18
39%
14
3
1
1
1
4
2
12
10-18
56%
4-14
7-13
29%
59%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.0
24.8
30.3
5
50%
1
3
1
1
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
1-1
100%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.8
24.2
28.7
7
61%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
23.3
30.6
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
48%
0-4
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
21.5
28.4
5
43%
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.1
23.7
20.3
6
30%
11
0
0
1
1
4
5
6
2-2
100%
2-9
3-7
22%
44%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.8
21.5
15.8
3
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
1-3
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
18.4
31.0
2
35%
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.5
14.7
16.7
5
43%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
11.3
17.0
3
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
9.0
3.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
8.1
7.8
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
38%
0-1
0%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
4.5
0.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.5
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
34.0
3.6
9
50%
4
0
2
0
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
40%
1-5
20%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.3
33.2
34.1
19
57%
5
7
0
1
0
3
0
5
6-6
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
48%
1-3
33%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.2
29.2
27.6
6
38%
4
3
3
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.7
28.5
30.6
14
65%
10
2
5
1
2
3
3
7
4-4
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
50%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
18.3
25.1
0
0%
9
0
0
0
2
3
1
8
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
34.0
29.1
19
62%
8
1
0
0
0
1
2
6
3-3
100%
8-14
5-10
57%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.0
28.9
10.1
8
51%
3
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
47%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 22.9
19.2
10.0
6
38%
0
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-4
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
10.3
3.8
2
33%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.0
4.5
1.5
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.0
25.2
1
1-3
47%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.5
24.8
1
2-4
49%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.9
16.3
1
2-4
49%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.7
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.