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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Spurs61%95104
25Hornets39%92102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.7
37.9
34.4
20
62%
2
17
0
1
0
4
0
2
4-5
80%
8-13
7-15
62%
50%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.6
37.1
27.5
14
70%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
4-7
57%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.7
33.8
19.8
28
62%
7
2
1
0
0
1
1
6
6-8
75%
11-19
4-7
58%
49%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.8
22.4
20.7
4
50%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.6
7.2
28.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
47%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
24.3
24.2
7
64%
1
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.1
23.5
22.8
12
61%
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-4
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
54%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.3
21.5
21.2
10
71%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
2-2
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.8
16.3
23.3
3
75%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
1-2
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.8
10.2
3.9
4
41%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
5.9
10.8
2
100%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.2
2.1
0
0-0
46%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.8
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
40.9
36.3
26
58%
6
9
0
1
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
11-19
5-10
58%
46%
1-3
33%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
36.4
31.5
18
65%
6
5
3
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
33.0
28.9
10
45%
8
2
1
1
3
2
3
5
0-0
-
5-11
4-7
45%
54%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
29.4
29.5
12
100%
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
2-2
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.9
16.9
21.4
5
73%
4
0
1
1
2
0
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
46%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.3
31.9
19.9
18
60%
8
2
0
0
0
2
3
5
8-9
89%
5-9
3-7
56%
50%
0-2
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.0
16.6
16.8
5
50%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
14.2
16.4
6
38%
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
11.6
13.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
9.1
11.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.8
7.4
0
1-2
48%
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.0
3.9
0
0-1
38%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
2.7
0
0-1
43%
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.4
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.