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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets51%100107
22Timberwolves49%9992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.8
42.8
35.8
16
48%
10
10
3
1
0
4
1
9
7-8
88%
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.0
35.3
34.6
31
63%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
7-8
88%
6-11
5-10
55%
46%
4-10
40%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
33.9
23.6
5
42%
5
4
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.7
28.0
29.7
15
60%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
7-12
6-12
58%
50%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.7
25.4
31.1
4
23%
15
0
0
1
2
1
2
13
2-2
100%
1-8
4-8
13%
51%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
26.7
21.8
9
50%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
23.0
18.5
14
76%
2
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
4-5
80%
5-6
2-4
83%
48%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
18.4
22.3
13
55%
4
0
0
1
1
1
4
0
1-4
25%
6-10
3-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
6.5
10.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.7
12.0
0
1-2
49%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
4.3
0
0-1
42%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.0
3.6
0
0-1
41%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 25.9
2.4
0
0-1
45%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.4
42.1
36.3
39
83%
11
1
1
1
0
5
2
9
8-10
80%
8-14
6-12
57%
49%
5-5
100%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.3
38.5
34.9
6
28%
3
12
3
2
0
5
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-8
29%
44%
0-3
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.7
36.5
18.9
11
44%
7
0
0
1
0
4
1
6
5-8
63%
3-9
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.9
35.8
34.0
17
62%
3
8
2
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.6
19.8
19.3
4
29%
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
33.7
24.1
4
18%
6
0
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-9
2-5
22%
45%
0-2
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
13.4
15.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.5
10.7
4.9
9
53%
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
2
1-1
100%
4-8
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.1
9.6
15.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
27.6
1
2-5
45%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
8.3
0
2-3
46%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
6.2
0
1-2
47%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.7
3.0
0
0-1
44%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.8
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.