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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Grizzlies54%9991
21Warriors46%9890
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
44.0
34.6
23
49%
9
4
3
1
2
4
3
6
3-6
50%
10-20
6-13
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
38.1
34.8
20
56%
1
9
1
2
0
5
0
1
2-2
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.0
36.8
35.1
15
47%
11
1
1
1
1
2
2
9
1-2
50%
7-14
5-10
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.0
36.4
20.9
12
54%
8
0
5
1
1
2
5
3
4-5
80%
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
23.8
24.4
8
43%
4
1
1
1
0
0
3
1
2-3
67%
3-8
5-9
38%
48%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
31.8
25.3
11
49%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
46%
0-5
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
9.3
16.9
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.8
6.6
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
4.0
15.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.7
4.0
3.3
2
53%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.9
3.3
6.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
1.8
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
8.4
0
1-1
44%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
37.4
34.6
20
78%
4
5
2
2
1
7
0
4
1-2
50%
5-5
7-14
100%
48%
3-7
43%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.7
36.2
34.7
13
51%
12
5
1
1
1
2
3
9
3-4
75%
5-11
7-13
45%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
36.1
28.5
18
50%
6
5
3
1
0
5
3
3
0-0
-
6-11
4-7
55%
48%
2-7
29%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.1
33.8
28.8
8
40%
3
2
2
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
0-3
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
16.1
21.4
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
56%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.5
25.4
21.5
10
83%
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
2-3
67%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
17.6
18.3
6
60%
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
12.9
16.1
7
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
12.4
12.9
3
52%
3
0
2
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.6
11.9
24.0
5
50%
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.9
10.1
0
1-2
44%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 30.4
2.5
0
0-1
39%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.6
0.3
0
0-0
43%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.9
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.