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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Cavaliers17%9485
1Heat83%10692
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.3
31.0
28.5
11
56%
11
1
0
1
1
3
4
7
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
50%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.6
30.9
28.2
5
42%
2
4
4
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-9
20%
45%
1-1
100%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 36.6
27.5
19.2
3
25%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-4
25%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 19.8
26.0
26.7
17
72%
4
4
0
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
6-8
4-10
75%
43%
1-3
33%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.6
18.0
22.2
6
51%
0
0
1
1
0
4
0
0
0-2
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
28.0
23.4
7
47%
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.9
22.4
19.1
8
58%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
37%
2-4
50%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.0
22.1
7.2
15
69%
5
2
1
0
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
7-10
1-2
70%
43%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
22.0
23.8
10
57%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
3-6
3-8
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
12.0
3.5
3
80%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.1
11.1
0
1-2
42%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
10.6
0
1-2
47%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.6
0.8
0
0-0
44%
Mychel Thompson
F · 6'6" 211 · 23.6
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.8
39.2
34.8
35
79%
7
2
0
1
1
2
1
6
14-14
100%
9-15
7-13
60%
53%
1-1
100%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.1
37.8
35.4
18
40%
5
5
2
2
0
5
1
4
1-4
25%
7-17
9-15
41%
56%
1-4
25%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.7
24.6
32.1
9
78%
1
3
1
2
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
20.2
23.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.4
20.1
26.5
3
25%
0
0
4
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
1-5
20%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
28.4
15.5
10
63%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
25.2
24.6
4
41%
10
1
1
0
2
2
2
8
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.9
20.2
18.0
4
33%
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.3
15.9
16.5
7
90%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.9
8.3
4.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.1
3.7
0
1-1
55%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
3.1
0
0-0
48%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.0
1.0
0
0-0
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.0
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.