Final Win Prob. pScore
2417%94
85
183%106
92
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo Cavaliers
94.490101.3
MIA logo Heat
103.48980.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE85
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound85
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)85
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)85
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0CLEJamison P.FOUL (P2.PN)85
90
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)85
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0CLEMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0CLECavaliers Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)85
90
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0CLEGibson P.FOUL (P2.PN)85
88
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 1)85
88
Q4 - 0:09.0CLEIrving 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)85
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 0:12.0CLECavaliers Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)83
88
Q4 - 0:12.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)83
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)83
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0CLEGibson P.FOUL (P1.PN)83
86
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)83
86
Q4 - 0:13.0CLEIrving 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gibson 3 AST)83
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)80
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup80
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0CLEVarejao 1' Layup (11 PTS)80
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)78
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0CLEMISS Irving 3' Driving Layup78
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)78
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)78
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 0:55.0CLEIrving L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)78
84
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAHEAT Rebound78
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot78
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 1:18CLEGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)78
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 1:18CLEGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)77
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.PN)76
84
Q4 - 1:25CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)76
84
Q4 - 1:25MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (31 PTS)76
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 1:47CLEVarejao 2' Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Irving 4 AST)76
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 1:57MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)74
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 1:57CLESUB: Gibson FOR Gee74
81
Q4 - 1:57MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)74
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 1:57CLEGee S.FOUL (P4.PN)74
80
Q4 - 2:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q4 - 2:11CLEMISS Varejao 14' Jump Shot74
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 2:18MIAJump Ball Cole vs. Gee: Tip to Varejao74
80
Q4 - 2:37MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)74
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q4 - 2:37CLEGee S.FOUL (P3.PN)74
79
Q4 - 2:37MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (28 PTS) (James 5 AST)74
79
Q4 - 2:55CLEIrving Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
9.0%
77
91.0%
Q4 - 2:55CLEIrving Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
8.3%
77
91.7%
Q4 - 2:55MIACole S.FOUL (P2.PN)72
77
Q4 - 3:02CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot72
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q4 - 3:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q4 - 3:22CLEMISS Gee Free Throw 1 of 172
4.0%
77
96.0%
Q4 - 3:22MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)72
77
Q4 - 3:22CLEGee 1' Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Irving 3 AST)72
77
Q4 - 3:39MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)70
4.0%
77
96.0%
Q4 - 4:07CLEParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jamison 4 AST)70
5.3%
75
94.7%
Q4 - 4:26CLESUB: Parker FOR Gibson67
75
Q4 - 4:26CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)67
75
Q4 - 4:26MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)67
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q4 - 4:43CLEGee Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T22)67
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q4 - 5:02CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)67
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Miller67
72
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 167
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q4 - 5:03CLESUB: Irving FOR Sessions67
72
Q4 - 5:03CLEVarejao S.FOUL (P4.T4)67
72
Q4 - 5:03MIAJames 1' Layup (18 PTS)67
72
Q4 - 5:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS James 3' Layup67
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q4 - 5:16CLESessions P.FOUL (P2.T3)67
70
Q4 - 5:19CLEMiller STEAL (1 STL)67
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q4 - 5:39CLESUB: Varejao FOR Samuels67
70
Q4 - 5:3967
70
Q4 - 5:39MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)67
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q4 - 5:54CLESessions 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
11.9%
70
88.1%
Q4 - 6:07MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)65
9.7%
70
90.3%
Q4 - 6:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q4 - 6:25CLEBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)65
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q4 - 6:39MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)65
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q4 - 6:39CLESUB: Jamison FOR Hollins65
69
Q4 - 6:39CLESamuels S.FOUL (P3.T2)65
69
Q4 - 6:39MIABosh 1' Layup (22 PTS) (James 3 AST)65
69
Q4 - 6:57CLEHollins 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Samuels 2 AST)65
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q4 - 7:11CLESamuels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
12.9%
67
87.1%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot63
11.9%
67
88.1%
Q4 - 7:25MIAHEAT Rebound63
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q4 - 7:26CLEMISS Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q4 - 7:36MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T4)63
67
Q4 - 7:36CLECavaliers Rebound63
12.9%
67
87.1%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
11.9%
67
88.1%
Q4 - 7:52CLEGee P.FOUL (P2.T1)63
67
Q4 - 8:03MIASUB: James FOR Jones63
67
Q4 - 8:03MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)63
67
Q4 - 8:04CLESessions 1' Layup (8 PTS)63
10.6%
67
89.4%
Q4 - 8:09MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)61
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q4 - 8:15MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
6.6%
67
93.4%
Q4 - 8:16CLEMISS Samuels 19' Jump Shot61
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q4 - 8:28CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot61
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q4 - 8:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
6.6%
67
93.4%
Q4 - 8:43CLEMISS Gee 6' Jump Shot61
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q4 - 9:08MIACole 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)61
8.9%
67
91.1%
Q4 - 9:13MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
11.1%
65
88.9%
Q4 - 9:14CLEHaslem BLOCK (2 BLK)61
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q4 - 9:26CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
13.6%
65
86.4%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Miller 2' Layup61
12.8%
65
87.2%
Q4 - 9:44MIAHEAT Rebound61
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q4 - 9:45CLEHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)61
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q4 - 9:50MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)61
13.6%
65
86.4%
Q4 - 10:03CLESamuels Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
11.3%
65
88.7%
Q4 - 10:03CLECavaliers Rebound60
65
Q4 - 10:03CLEMISS Samuels Free Throw 1 of 260
10.7%
65
89.3%
Q4 - 10:03MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)60
65
Q4 - 10:19CLECavaliers Rebound60
11.3%
65
88.7%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS Cole 5' Running Jump Shot60
10.7%
65
89.3%
Q4 - 10:27MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q4 - 10:28CLEMISS Samuels 8' Jump Shot60
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q4 - 10:45MIABosh P.FOUL (P2.T2)60
65
Q4 - 11:01MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)60
11.7%
65
88.3%
Q4 - 11:16CLESessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q4 - 11:16CLESessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
13.7%
63
86.3%
Q4 - 11:16MIACole S.FOUL (P1.T1)58
63
Q4 - 11:40MIAMiller 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)58
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q4 - 12:0058
61
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE58
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound58
16.8%
61
83.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Gee 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 0:10.0CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
16.8%
61
83.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMISS James 14' Running Jump Shot58
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
14.3%
61
85.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0CLEMISS Hollins Free Throw 2 of 258
14.6%
61
85.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0CLEHollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
16.2%
61
83.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMiller P.FOUL (P1.PN)57
61
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)57
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 1:00CLESamuels 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)57
17.0%
59
83.0%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMiller 1' Layup (2 PTS)55
14.1%
59
85.9%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)55
16.8%
57
83.2%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot55
18.7%
57
81.3%
Q3 - 1:40CLESessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
16.8%
57
83.2%
Q3 - 1:40CLESUB: Hollins FOR Varejao54
57
Q3 - 1:40CLESessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
16.4%
57
83.6%
Q3 - 1:40MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers53
57
Q3 - 1:40MIASUB: Pittman FOR Anthony53
57
Q3 - 1:40CLESUB: Gibson FOR Parker53
57
Q3 - 1:40MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)53
57
Q3 - 1:40MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T2)53
57
Q3 - 1:53CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
14.1%
57
85.9%
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot53
13.4%
57
86.6%
Q3 - 2:18CLESamuels 2' Layup (12 PTS)53
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q3 - 2:19CLESamuels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
10.1%
57
89.9%
Q3 - 2:20CLEAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)51
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q3 - 2:24MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)51
10.0%
57
90.0%
Q3 - 2:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 2:29MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q3 - 2:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q3 - 3:04CLESamuels Foul Turnover (P2.T20)51
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 3:04CLESamuels OFF.Foul (P2)51
57
Q3 - 3:18CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
10.1%
57
89.9%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS James 3' Layup51
9.6%
57
90.4%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
9.6%
57
90.4%
Q3 - 3:49CLESUB: Gee FOR Irving51
57
Q3 - 3:49CLESUB: Sessions FOR Casspi51
57
Q3 - 3:49CLESUB: Samuels FOR Jamison51
57
Q3 - 3:49CLEIrving Foul Turnover (P3.T19)51
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 3:49CLEIrving OFF.Foul (P2)51
57
Q3 - 3:58MIAAnthony 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)51
10.1%
57
89.9%
Q3 - 4:13MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh51
55
Q3 - 4:13MIASUB: Miller FOR Battier51
55
Q3 - 4:14CLECasspi Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)51
11.7%
55
88.3%
Q3 - 4:17MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)51
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q3 - 4:19CLEBattier STEAL (4 STL)51
11.7%
55
88.3%
Q3 - 4:30MIAJames 29' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q3 - 4:59CLEIrving 12' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)51
18.2%
52
81.8%
Q3 - 5:08CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
15.9%
52
84.1%
Q3 - 5:10CLEMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot49
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q3 - 5:25MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T1)49
52
Q3 - 5:33MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)49
15.9%
52
84.1%
Q3 - 5:33MIAHEAT Rebound49
13.6%
52
86.4%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
15.2%
52
84.8%
Q3 - 5:49CLEParker P.FOUL (P2.T3)49
52
Q3 - 5:59CLEParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)49
13.6%
52
86.4%
Q3 - 6:18CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)49
52
Q3 - 6:21MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (11 PTS)49
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q3 - 6:37MIAHEAT Rebound49
17.7%
50
82.3%
Q3 - 6:39CLEMISS Jamison 17' Jump Shot49
18.5%
50
81.5%
Q3 - 7:01MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)49
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q3 - 7:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
25.1%
47
74.9%
Q3 - 7:14CLEMISS Jamison 2' Layup49
26.1%
47
73.9%
Q3 - 7:27MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 2 AST)49
28.3%
47
71.7%
Q3 - 7:53CLEIrving 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)49
31.4%
45
68.6%
Q3 - 7:57CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
28.4%
45
71.6%
Q3 - 7:58MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot47
27.4%
45
72.6%
Q3 - 8:15CLEJamison 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Irving 2 AST)47
24.6%
45
75.4%
Q3 - 8:38MIAChalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)45
22.1%
45
77.9%
Q3 - 9:04CLEIrving 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)45
23.9%
43
76.1%
Q3 - 9:15MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)43
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q3 - 9:28CLEBattier STEAL (3 STL)43
19.0%
43
81.0%
Q3 - 9:47MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)43
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q3 - 9:47MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)43
21.9%
42
78.1%
Q3 - 9:47CLEVarejao S.FOUL (P3.T2)43
41
Q3 - 9:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
24.0%
41
76.0%
Q3 - 9:48MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot43
26.0%
41
74.0%
Q3 - 10:05CLECasspi 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
23.1%
41
76.9%
Q3 - 10:26MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
20.9%
41
79.1%
Q3 - 10:43CLEIrving 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
23.2%
39
76.8%
Q3 - 11:05MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)39
20.4%
39
79.6%
Q3 - 11:05MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)39
20.8%
38
79.2%
Q3 - 11:05CLEVarejao S.FOUL (P2.T1)39
37
Q3 - 11:23CLECasspi 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Irving 1 AST)39
22.6%
37
77.4%
Q3 - 11:27CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
20.4%
37
79.6%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q3 - 11:49CLEBattier STEAL (2 STL)37
18.2%
37
81.8%
Q3 - 12:0037
37
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE37
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE37
37
Q2 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound37
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 30' 3PT Jump Shot37
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0CLEVarejao 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Jamison 3 AST)37
18.4%
37
81.6%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)35
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
14.8%
37
85.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0CLEMISS Casspi 3PT Jump Shot35
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot35
15.6%
37
84.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)35
14.7%
37
85.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
16.1%
37
83.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0CLEBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)35
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 1:14MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
15.8%
37
84.2%
Q2 - 1:14MIASUB: Bosh FOR Pittman35
36
Q2 - 1:14MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
16.1%
36
83.9%
Q2 - 1:14CLECasspi L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)35
35
Q2 - 1:14MIAHEAT Rebound35
18.2%
35
81.8%
Q2 - 1:15CLEMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 1:22MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)35
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 1:28CLEJames STEAL (2 STL)35
18.3%
35
81.7%
Q2 - 1:46CLECavaliers Rebound35
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
19.2%
35
80.8%
Q2 - 2:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 2:09CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 235
17.9%
35
82.1%
Q2 - 2:09CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q2 - 2:09MIAPittman S.FOUL (P1.T1)34
35
Q2 - 2:23CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
17.6%
35
82.3%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
17.1%
35
82.9%
Q2 - 2:44CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)34
35
Q2 - 2:44CLEVarejao Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)34
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 2:55CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot34
17.1%
35
82.9%
Q2 - 3:05MIASUB: Battier FOR Bosh34
35
Q2 - 3:10CLEPittman STEAL (1 STL)34
35
Q2 - 3:10MIAJump Ball Pittman vs. Jamison: Tip to James34
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q2 - 3:28CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
17.4%
35
82.6%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 234
17.1%
35
82.9%
Q2 - 3:29CLESUB: Casspi FOR Gee34
35
Q2 - 3:29CLESUB: Parker FOR Gibson34
35
Q2 - 3:29CLESUB: Irving FOR Sessions34
35
Q2 - 3:29MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
16.1%
35
83.9%
Q2 - 3:29CLEJamison S.FOUL (P1.T4)34
34
Q2 - 3:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
17.1%
34
82.9%
Q2 - 3:46CLEMISS Sessions 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
17.8%
34
82.2%
Q2 - 4:11MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)34
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 4:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
16.9%
34
83.1%
Q2 - 4:15CLEMISS Gibson 14' Jump Shot34
17.4%
34
82.6%
Q2 - 4:42MIACole 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)34
18.8%
34
81.2%
Q2 - 4:49MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
20.5%
32
79.5%
Q2 - 4:50CLEMISS Varejao 5' Jump Shot34
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 5:05MIABosh 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)34
22.2%
32
77.8%
Q2 - 5:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
24.4%
30
75.6%
Q2 - 5:15CLEMISS Jamison 21' Jump Shot34
25.0%
30
75.0%
Q2 - 5:30CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
26.5%
30
73.5%
Q2 - 5:31MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot34
25.9%
30
74.1%
Q2 - 5:45MIASUB: James FOR Miller34
30
Q2 - 5:45MIASUB: Pittman FOR Haslem34
30
Q2 - 5:45CLESUB: Varejao FOR Samuels34
30
Q2 - 5:45MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
30
Q2 - 5:45CLECavaliers Turnover: Backcourt (T#9)34
24.4%
30
75.6%
Q2 - 6:07MIACole 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
26.2%
30
73.8%
Q2 - 6:33CLEJamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)34
28.0%
28
72.0%
Q2 - 6:47MIAJones 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)31
24.1%
28
75.9%
Q2 - 7:14CLESamuels 1' Dunk (10 PTS)31
25.2%
26
74.8%
Q2 - 7:20CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
23.4%
26
76.6%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot29
22.7%
26
77.3%
Q2 - 7:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q2 - 7:33CLEMISS Jamison 20' Jump Shot29
21.9%
26
78.1%
Q2 - 7:49MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)29
23.4%
26
76.6%
Q2 - 8:16CLESamuels 1' Dunk (8 PTS)29
26.7%
23
73.3%
Q2 - 8:31MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)27
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q2 - 8:3127
23
Q2 - 8:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
22.8%
23
77.2%
Q2 - 8:38CLEMISS Sessions 1' Driving Layup27
23.4%
23
76.6%
Q2 - 8:49MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q2 - 9:09CLESamuels 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)27
26.0%
21
74.0%
Q2 - 9:20CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
24.2%
21
75.8%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot25
23.6%
21
76.4%
Q2 - 9:35CLESessions 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)25
22.3%
21
77.7%
Q2 - 9:46MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
20.6%
21
79.4%
Q2 - 9:46CLESUB: Jamison FOR Hollins23
20
Q2 - 9:46MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q2 - 9:46CLEHollins S.FOUL (P4.T3)23
19
Q2 - 10:03CLEGee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Samuels 1 AST)23
22.1%
19
77.9%
Q2 - 10:24MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T6)20
19.0%
19
81.0%
Q2 - 10:24MIABosh OFF.Foul (P1)20
19
Q2 - 10:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
17.3%
19
82.7%
Q2 - 10:27CLEMISS Sessions 13' Jump Shot20
17.8%
19
82.2%
Q2 - 10:47MIABosh 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)20
19.0%
19
81.0%
Q2 - 10:53CLEHollins P.FOUL (P3.T2)20
17
Q2 - 11:04CLEHollins P.FOUL (P2.T1)20
17
Q2 - 11:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q2 - 11:08CLEMISS Gibson 20' Jump Shot20
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q2 - 11:24CLESamuels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
22.1%
17
77.9%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
21.6%
17
78.4%
Q2 - 11:46CLESamuels 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)20
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q2 - 12:0018
17
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE18
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
17
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)18
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0CLEGee P.FOUL (P1.T4)18
15
Q1 - 0:25.0CLEGibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)18
20.2%
15
79.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17.0%
15
83.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot15
16.7%
15
83.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0CLEGibson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gee 2 AST)15
16.0%
15
84.0%
Q1 - 1:02MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)12
13.3%
15
86.7%
Q1 - 1:18CLESessions Foul Turnover (P1.T8)12
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 1:18CLESessions OFF.Foul (P1)12
15
Q1 - 1:36MIACole 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
13.3%
15
86.7%
Q1 - 1:41CLEHaslem STEAL (1 STL)12
14.7%
13
85.3%
Q1 - 1:56MIAJames 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
15.5%
13
84.5%
Q1 - 2:09MIASUB: Pittman FOR Anthony12
11
Q1 - 2:09CLESamuels Foul Turnover (P1.T6)12
17.0%
11
83.0%
Q1 - 2:09CLESamuels OFF.Foul (P1)12
11
Q1 - 2:25MIACole 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)12
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 2:29MIAHEAT Rebound12
19.7%
9
80.3%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS Miller 6' Driving Jump Shot12
20.7%
9
79.3%
Q1 - 2:34CLEHollins P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
9
Q1 - 2:37MIAHEAT Rebound12
9
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical12
19.7%
9
80.3%
Q1 - 2:37CLECavaliers T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Samuels )12
9
Q1 - 2:45MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers12
9
Q1 - 2:45MIASUB: Haslem FOR Battier12
9
Q1 - 2:45MIASUB: Miller FOR Bosh12
9
Q1 - 2:45CLESUB: Sessions FOR Irving12
9
Q1 - 2:45CLESUB: Gibson FOR Parker12
9
Q1 - 2:45CLESUB: Hollins FOR Varejao12
9
Q1 - 2:45CLECavaliers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
9
Q1 - 2:45CLEParker P.FOUL (P1.T2)12
9
Q1 - 2:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
19.7%
9
80.3%
Q1 - 2:52CLEMISS Irving 10' Jump Bank Shot12
20.1%
9
79.9%
Q1 - 2:58CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
21.1%
9
78.9%
Q1 - 2:59CLEMISS Parker 8' Running Hook Shot12
20.1%
9
79.9%
Q1 - 3:07CLESamuels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
20.7%
9
79.3%
Q1 - 3:08MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot12
20.2%
9
79.8%
Q1 - 3:28CLEVarejao 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)12
19.2%
9
80.8%
Q1 - 3:33MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)10
17.9%
9
82.1%
Q1 - 3:47CLEGee 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)10
16.6%
9
83.4%
Q1 - 4:07CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.2%
9
84.8%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot8
14.9%
9
85.1%
Q1 - 4:28CLESamuels 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Gee 1 AST)8
14.2%
9
85.8%
Q1 - 4:39CLESamuels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Battier 9' Jump Shot6
13.0%
9
87.0%
Q1 - 4:49CLEBattier STEAL (1 STL)6
12.4%
9
87.6%
Q1 - 5:09MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)6
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 5:27CLEVarejao Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)6
12.6%
9
87.4%
Q1 - 5:39CLESUB: Gee FOR Jamison6
9
Q1 - 5:39CLESUB: Samuels FOR Casspi6
9
Q1 - 5:39MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)6
9
Q1 - 5:39MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T3)6
9
Q1 - 5:45CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot6
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 6:03CLEJames STEAL (1 STL)6
12.6%
9
87.4%
Q1 - 6:17MIAJames 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)6
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 6:34CLEIrving Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
14.3%
7
85.7%
Q1 - 6:34CLEIrving OFF.Foul (P1)6
7
Q1 - 6:54MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
15.3%
7
84.7%
Q1 - 7:12CLEIrving 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST)6
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 7:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 7:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
16.1%
3
83.9%
Q1 - 7:27CLEVarejao S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 7:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 7:43CLEMISS Irving 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 7:57MIAChalmers Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)4
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 8:07CLEChalmers STEAL (1 STL)4
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 8:26CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
17.1%
2
82.9%
Q1 - 8:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 8:36CLEMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 8:59CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 9:01CLEMISS Casspi Free Throw 2 of 24
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 9:01CLECavaliers Rebound4
2
Q1 - 9:01CLEMISS Casspi Free Throw 1 of 24
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 9:01MIABattier S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
2
Q1 - 9:07CLECavaliers Rebound4
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 9:08CLEMISS Irving 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 9:14MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 9:32MIAHEAT Rebound4
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 9:33CLEMISS Varejao 10' Jump Shot4
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 9:54CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 9:55CLEMISS Casspi 9' Running Jump Shot4
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 10:07MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 10:25CLECavaliers Rebound4
17.1%
2
82.9%
Q1 - 10:26MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Reverse Layup4
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 10:46CLECasspi 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)4
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 11:03MIABosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 11:16CLEVarejao 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)2
16.8%
0
83.2%
Q1 - 11:36CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot0
16.8%
0
83.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Varejao: Tip to Chalmers0
17.2%
0
82.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.04 51.8%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
22
31
71%
MIA
10
16
63%
Midrange
CLE
6
21
29%
MIA
17
36
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
MIA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
CLE
11
17
65%
MIA
23
26
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving1771%8.5 / 12
S. Samuels1568%7.5 / 11
A. Varejao1155%5.5 / 10
R. Sessions1056%5.0 / 9
D. Gibson857%4.0 / 7
A. Gee750%3.5 / 7
O. Casspi650%3.0 / 6
A. Jamison542%2.5 / 6
A. Parker325%1.5 / 6
R. Hollins375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh3580%17.5 / 22
L. James1841%9.0 / 22
N. Cole1063%5.0 / 8
M. Chalmers975%4.5 / 6
J. Jones788%3.5 / 4
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
M. Miller433%2.0 / 6
S. Battier325%1.5 / 6
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
70
+10
-20
80
MIA
72
+9
-17
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.04 51.8%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.2
106.6
CLE 94.4
MIA 103.4 +8.9
Pace
91.3
91.3
CLE 101.3 +21.0
MIA 80.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.8
CLE 14.2 −3.7
MIA 17.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
50.5%
CLE 54.4% +5.1%
MIA 49.3%
TO %
15.9%
15.9%
CLE 22.6%
MIA 18.1% −4.5%
ORB %
29.0%
26.6%
CLE 23.3% +4.5%
MIA 18.8%
FTrt
30.7
30.7
CLE 25.0
MIA 37.1 +12.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
53.8%
CLE 58.8% +8.8%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
7.7%
9.6%
CLE 11.1%
MIA 11.2% +0.1%
BLK %
6.2%
9.0%
CLE 7.7%
MIA 9.6% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
53.5%
CLE 51.8%
MIA 56.1% +4.3%
Rim FG%
54.0%
61.1%
CLE 71.0% +8.5%
MIA 62.5%
Mid FG%
33.7%
40.0%
CLE 28.6%
MIA 47.2% +18.6%
3P %
34.6%
35.9%
CLE 37.5% +9.7%
MIA 27.8%
FT %
71.6%
77.5%
CLE 64.7%
MIA 88.5% +23.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.9%
36.7%
CLE 45.6% +22.7%
MIA 22.9%
Mid Att. %
35.3%
43.6%
CLE 30.9% −20.5%
MIA 51.4%
3P Att. %
23.8%
19.8%
CLE 23.5%
MIA 25.7% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes21.326.6
Points8592
Rebounds3329
Assists2016
Steals1010
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)20 (2)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (5)23 (5)
Field Goals34-6832-70
At-the-Rim FG22-3110-16
Midrange FG6-2117-36
2-Point FG28-5227-52
3-Point FG6-165-18
Free Throws11-1723-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 260 · 29
31.0
11
55%
11
1
0
1
3
4
4
7
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 36
30.9
5
42%
2
4
4
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 210 · 37
27.5
3
25%
3
1
1
0
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 195 · 20
26.0
17
71%
4
4
0
0
3
3
1
3
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
18.0
6
50%
0
0
1
0
4
1
0
0
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 225 · 25
28.0
7
50%
2
2
3
0
2
4
0
2
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 200 · 26
22.4
8
57%
1
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
· 6'9" 260 · 23
22.1
15
68%
5
2
1
1
2
3
1
4
1-2
50%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 26
22.0
10
56%
5
3
0
0
1
2
0
5
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 240 · 27
12.0
3
75%
0
0
0
2
0
4
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 24
C · 7'0" 240 · 25
F · 6'7" 210 · 23
#21 · F · 6'6" 211 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
52%
33
20
10
4
20
0
7
26
11-17
65%
28-52
54%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.