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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors27%9299
14Suns73%10096
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.2
42.3
10.8
36
68%
6
2
2
0
1
2
1
5
12-12
100%
6-15
2-4
40%
48%
4-6
67%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
35.2
21.3
18
65%
10
0
1
1
0
2
3
7
4-4
100%
7-11
2-5
64%
45%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
33.3
29.6
6
47%
4
11
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
22.6
32.3
4
25%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
6-12
25%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.1
15.0
16.7
2
25%
5
1
2
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.2
31.0
24.0
19
64%
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
49%
3-3
100%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.1
20.5
18.3
5
43%
10
0
1
0
0
2
2
8
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
14.7
9.7
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.7
12.9
17.2
5
43%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.7
6.8
16.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
3.1
29.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
2.6
10.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.6
3.1
0
0-0
47%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.8
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
37.8
35.0
21
58%
12
1
0
1
2
0
3
9
3-5
60%
9-16
7-12
56%
57%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.0
34.7
34.6
17
61%
7
14
0
1
0
6
1
6
0-0
-
7-10
4-8
70%
54%
1-4
25%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.6
27.6
17.9
4
67%
5
0
2
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.3
22.5
30.6
11
55%
5
0
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
1-1
100%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.4
16.8
23.4
4
67%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.5
25.8
5.9
17
73%
1
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
5-6
83%
6-9
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
23.6
24.3
6
38%
1
1
3
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
51%
1-4
25%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.2
16.9
23.2
7
72%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.6
13.7
9.8
4
29%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
43%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
12.4
19.2
3
21%
3
0
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
4.6
5.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.8
3.8
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.6
2.8
0
0-1
58%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.