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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Celtics30%8591
6Magic70%9283
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.3
44.4
33.3
24
53%
6
10
0
1
1
5
0
6
8-11
73%
5-12
4-9
42%
48%
2-6
33%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.7
34.8
29.6
12
43%
10
4
3
1
4
3
2
8
0-0
-
6-14
5-10
43%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.0
31.6
17.4
12
61%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
3-8
38%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
29.2
30.2
10
36%
5
1
2
0
2
0
1
4
2-4
50%
4-12
5-10
33%
49%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.2
24.6
27.6
6
43%
4
2
0
1
0
5
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
18.8
3.1
4
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
18.4
16.4
4
100%
1
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 22.9
17.9
12.9
16
116%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
4-4
100%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.7
8.9
14.8
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-2
50%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
7.3
5.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
4.1
14.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
22.3
0
2-5
46%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.0
2.4
0
0-1
44%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.5
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.9
35.0
27.2
10
43%
5
7
2
1
0
4
1
4
2-4
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
2-5
40%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.0
33.3
26.2
11
52%
5
5
1
1
0
1
2
3
4-6
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
31.5
22.6
13
47%
0
0
3
1
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
30.7
32.7
16
52%
16
0
0
1
1
3
5
11
4-8
50%
6-12
6-11
50%
58%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
26.9
28.8
12
48%
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.1
26.2
21.1
7
28%
6
0
3
1
0
1
2
4
1-3
33%
3-11
3-7
27%
44%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
16.5
26.0
7
48%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
14.7
17.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.8
13.0
18.6
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
12.1
10.4
5
64%
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.5
10.7
0
1-2
47%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
5.9
0
0-1
39%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.5
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.