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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Grizzlies43%9691
9Clippers57%9998
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
41.5
36.1
24
59%
7
2
0
1
1
6
1
6
3-5
60%
6-13
7-14
46%
49%
3-5
60%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.0
41.1
34.8
18
58%
11
6
2
1
0
0
3
8
8-8
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
53%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
34.3
33.9
4
20%
5
7
4
2
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
47%
0-3
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.0
32.2
25.2
14
52%
2
1
1
2
0
1
1
1
8-10
80%
3-9
4-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
8.0
21.7
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
31.8
27.5
14
35%
4
1
1
1
1
0
3
1
1-2
50%
2-11
3-7
18%
46%
3-8
38%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
15.9
13.2
5
37%
4
0
0
0
0
3
3
1
3-4
75%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
15.6
13.3
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.8
13.6
11.1
6
77%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.7
6.0
6.4
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.7
5.7
0
1-2
47%
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
4.8
0
0-1
44%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.9
4.6
0
0-1
42%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 22.9
40.3
33.0
20
57%
9
8
0
1
2
3
1
8
4-8
50%
8-13
7-15
62%
50%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.7
35.6
18.7
18
57%
7
7
2
1
0
2
0
7
10-11
91%
1-7
3-5
14%
50%
2-4
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.5
35.2
28.8
9
67%
9
0
0
1
3
1
3
6
1-4
25%
4-5
3-5
80%
64%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 31.9
30.5
31.3
17
72%
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.3
22.6
30.1
9
45%
2
3
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.1
30.3
23.3
18
60%
3
2
4
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
47%
2-5
40%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.3
17.2
21.9
7
122%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.5
12.8
14.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.4
10.9
19.5
0
0%
1
0
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.7
4.7
16.4
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.7
5.5
0
0-1
42%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
3.8
0
1-1
47%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.1
2.4
0
0-0
39%
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 21.8
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.