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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 27, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hawks68%96107
27Pistons32%89101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
45.7
33.4
30
59%
5
3
1
1
0
2
2
3
5-6
83%
8-17
5-10
47%
49%
3-6
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.1
43.5
33.3
19
49%
11
8
1
1
3
1
2
9
6-8
75%
5-14
6-12
36%
51%
1-2
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.6
35.0
24.1
22
88%
8
1
0
1
0
1
1
7
5-8
63%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
5-6
83%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.0
34.6
27.9
16
62%
9
1
0
1
1
2
2
7
0-2
0%
8-12
3-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.6
21.3
32.4
2
33%
0
3
1
2
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.1
31.7
20.4
5
42%
4
9
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.7
18.1
18.0
7
64%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.2
16.4
5.9
2
25%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
45%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
7.8
14.7
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.8
7.8
16.2
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.2
3.1
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.3
8.0
0
1-2
42%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.2
3.7
0
0-1
43%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.6
42.4
29.7
22
52%
11
4
2
1
0
0
4
7
2-3
67%
10-20
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.2
41.7
35.7
20
51%
5
8
1
1
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
2-10
4-8
20%
43%
4-8
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.8
40.7
27.1
14
46%
3
5
1
1
0
2
1
2
5-5
100%
3-11
3-8
27%
43%
1-2
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.0
34.4
22.7
0
0%
3
3
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.4
16.5
19.3
2
50%
5
0
0
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.9
27.4
16.6
19
57%
8
0
0
0
1
1
4
4
3-6
50%
8-14
2-3
57%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.6
27.1
18.7
12
51%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
42%
2-4
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.9
18.1
24.4
12
61%
6
1
1
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.3
16.6
10.3
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
38%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.9
23.2
0
3-7
45%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.8
13.4
0
1-3
44%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.1
3.8
0
1-1
44%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.3
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.