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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 27, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Magic56%9167
25Hornets44%8993
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
39.2
32.1
28
65%
16
3
2
1
1
4
3
13
10-17
59%
9-14
6-11
64%
58%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.9
29.9
29.9
3
21%
3
1
1
1
0
6
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
1-6
17%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
24.1
26.2
2
17%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
0-2
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.1
17.4
23.0
4
33%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-8
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.0
10.7
29.0
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
30.8
16.7
6
44%
3
5
0
0
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
43%
1-3
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
24.6
22.6
9
90%
2
2
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
3-5
60%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
22.4
11.3
4
33%
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.8
20.3
16.5
3
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
1-3
33%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.5
7.7
7.9
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
6.5
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.5
3.1
3.8
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
3.1
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
30.6
26.0
9
47%
6
1
3
1
1
2
4
2
1-6
17%
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
29.0
30.2
15
56%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-3
33%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
4-7
57%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.9
28.8
21.1
14
78%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
7-9
3-7
78%
46%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
27.4
31.2
5
25%
9
2
2
1
0
1
1
8
1-2
50%
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
24.4
35.3
11
51%
5
9
2
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
5-10
5-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
27.9
17.4
9
53%
5
0
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
44%
0-1
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.0
26.5
16.6
8
42%
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
0-4
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.4
25.3
25.0
17
63%
6
1
1
0
1
2
4
2
1-1
100%
8-13
4-8
62%
50%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.8
8.8
9.8
0
0%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
8.8
6.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
2.5
6.9
3
150%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
1-1
100%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
15.4
0
3-6
48%
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.0
2.3
0
0-0
39%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.