Final Win Prob. pScore
1355%91
67
2545%89
93
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
77.08786.3
Hornets
109.48585.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH67
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLOrton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)67
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLOrton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0NOHHenry S.FOUL (P2.PN)65
93
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLHarper REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0NOHMISS Vasquez 28' 3PT Jump Shot65
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLSummers STEAL (1 STL)65
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 1:04NOHSummers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ayon 1 AST)65
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 1:19ORLWafer 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35NOHHenry 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Summers 2 AST)63
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45ORLMISS Harper 19' Jump Shot63
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03NOHAminu 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Summers 1 AST)63
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07NOHSummers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09NOHMISS Ayon 14' Jump Shot63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28ORLDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28NOHSUB: Summers FOR Landry62
86
Q4 - 2:28ORLMagic Rebound62
86
Q4 - 2:28ORLMISS Duhon Free Throw 1 of 262
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28NOHVasquez P.FOUL (P2.PN)62
86
Q4 - 2:36ORLOrton Violation:Defensive Goaltending62
86
Q4 - 2:36NOHVasquez 3' Jump Shot (8 PTS)62
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00ORLWafer 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)62
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09NOHSUB: Henry FOR Okafor60
84
Q4 - 3:09NOHSUB: Ayon FOR Belinelli60
84
Q4 - 3:09ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)60
84
Q4 - 3:09ORLSUB: Harper FOR Clark60
84
Q4 - 3:09ORLSUB: Orton FOR Howard60
84
Q4 - 3:09ORLMagic Rebound60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16NOHMISS Belinelli 18' Jump Shot60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27ORLWafer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T22)60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44NOHLandry Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01NOHHORNETS Rebound60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01ORLMISS Clark 1' Dunk60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07NOHOkafor Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 260
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20ORLSUB: Wafer FOR Richardson60
84
Q4 - 4:20NOHHORNETS Rebound60
84
Q4 - 4:20NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 260
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20ORLHoward S.FOUL (P3.T4)60
84
Q4 - 4:38ORLClark 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duhon 5 AST)60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51NOHAminu Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04ORLHoward L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)58
84
Q4 - 5:04NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05ORLMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27NOHVasquez 4' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35ORLClark Violation:Kicked Ball58
82
Q4 - 5:52ORLHoward 6' Running Hook Shot (28 PTS)58
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14NOHOkafor Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)56
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27ORLVasquez STEAL (2 STL)56
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)56
82
Q4 - 6:40NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40NOHLandry Putback Slam Dunk (17 PTS)56
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41NOHMISS Okafor 4' Jump Shot56
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 7:04ORLOkafor STEAL (3 STL)56
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 7:17NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Smith56
80
Q4 - 7:17ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Hughes56
80
Q4 - 7:17ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Redick56
80
Q4 - 7:17ORLSUB: Clark FOR Turkoglu56
80
Q4 - 7:17NOHBelinelli P.FOUL (P2.T4)56
80
Q4 - 7:36NOHAminu 3' Layup (7 PTS)56
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 7:56NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 7:57ORLMISS Howard 3' Layup56
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 8:09ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 8:11NOHMISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 8:29NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 8:30NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot56
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 8:46NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 8:48ORLMISS Hughes 18' Jump Shot56
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 9:11NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)56
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q4 - 9:11ORLHughes S.FOUL (P1.T2)56
77
Q4 - 9:11NOHBelinelli 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Vasquez 4 AST)56
77
Q4 - 9:14ORLVasquez STEAL (1 STL)56
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q4 - 9:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)56
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q4 - 9:28NOHMISS Belinelli Free Throw 2 of 256
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q4 - 9:28NOHHORNETS Rebound56
75
Q4 - 9:28NOHMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 256
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q4 - 9:28ORLRedick S.FOUL (P2.T1)56
75
Q4 - 9:39NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q4 - 9:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q4 - 10:00NOHLandry 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS)56
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q4 - 10:04NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q4 - 10:06NOHMISS Landry 3' Jump Shot56
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q4 - 10:28NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q4 - 10:29ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 256
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q4 - 10:29ORLMagic Rebound56
73
Q4 - 10:29ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 256
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q4 - 10:29NOHVasquez S.FOUL (P1.T3)56
73
Q4 - 10:33ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)56
73
Q4 - 10:40NOHVasquez 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Landry 1 AST)56
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q4 - 10:55ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)56
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q4 - 10:55ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)55
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q4 - 10:55NOHSmith S.FOUL (P3.T2)54
71
Q4 - 11:15NOHLandry 3' Layup (13 PTS)54
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q4 - 11:19NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q4 - 11:20NOHMISS Vasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q4 - 11:38ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)54
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q4 - 11:38ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)53
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q4 - 11:38NOHSmith S.FOUL (P2.T1)52
69
Q4 - 11:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)52
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q4 - 11:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)52
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q4 - 11:39ORLMISS Howard 3' Layup52
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q4 - 11:41ORLMISS Howard 3' Layup52
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q4 - 12:0052
69
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH52
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot52
3.1%
69
96.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0NOHSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)52
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 0:09.0ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)52
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0NOHSmith 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Vasquez 3 AST)52
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLHoward 3' Layup (22 PTS)52
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 1:09NOHAminu Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T8)50
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 1:23NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 1:25ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 250
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 1:25ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)50
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 1:25NOHAminu P.FOUL (P3.PN)49
67
Q3 - 1:30ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 1:32NOHMISS Landry 12' Jump Shot49
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 1:49ORLSUB: Hughes FOR Duhon49
67
Q3 - 1:49NOHSUB: Vasquez FOR Jack49
67
Q3 - 1:49NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)49
67
Q3 - 1:49NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 1:50ORLMISS Duhon 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 1:55ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 1:57NOHMISS Jack 3' Layup49
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 2:07NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 2:09ORLLandry BLOCK (1 BLK)49
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 2:28NOHJack 5' Driving Bank Shot (11 PTS)49
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 2:38NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
5.6%
65
94.4%
Q3 - 2:39ORLMISS Redick 28' 3PT Jump Shot49
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 2:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)49
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 2:52NOHMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot49
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q3 - 3:07NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 3:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 249
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q3 - 3:08ORLMagic Rebound49
65
Q3 - 3:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 249
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 3:08NOHSmith P.FOUL (P1.PN)49
65
Q3 - 3:14ORLClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 3:20NOHMISS Ariza 1' Layup49
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 3:30ORLTurkoglu Illegal Screen Turnover (P6.T17)49
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 3:41NOHJack 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)49
7.6%
65
92.4%
Q3 - 3:52ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)49
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 3:52ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Richardson48
63
Q3 - 3:52NOHSUB: Aminu FOR Belinelli48
63
Q3 - 3:52NOHSUB: Smith FOR Okafor48
63
Q3 - 3:52ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)48
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 3:52NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P4.T4)47
63
Q3 - 4:10NOHAriza 4' Layup (5 PTS) (Jack 9 AST)47
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 4:18ORLDuhon Violation:Kicked Ball47
61
Q3 - 4:23NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
9.5%
61
90.5%
Q3 - 4:27ORLMISS Duhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 4:32ORLClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
11.4%
61
88.6%
Q3 - 4:34NOHMISS Landry 13' Jump Shot47
10.8%
61
89.2%
Q3 - 4:55ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)47
9.5%
61
90.5%
Q3 - 4:59ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
7.1%
61
92.9%
Q3 - 5:01ORLOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)44
6.9%
61
93.1%
Q3 - 5:11NOHSUB: Landry FOR Smith44
61
Q3 - 5:11NOHAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)44
7.7%
61
92.3%
Q3 - 5:22ORLClark P.FOUL (P3.T3)44
61
Q3 - 5:30NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)44
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 5:31ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q3 - 5:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)44
7.7%
61
92.3%
Q3 - 5:40NOHMISS Jack 19' Jump Shot44
7.3%
61
92.7%
Q3 - 6:08ORLDuhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)44
7.3%
61
92.7%
Q3 - 6:13NOHJack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 6:22NOHHORNETS Rebound41
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q3 - 6:25ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 241
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 6:25ORLSUB: Redick FOR Turkoglu41
61
Q3 - 6:25ORLMagic Rebound41
61
Q3 - 6:25ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 241
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q3 - 6:25NOHOkafor Shooting Block Foul (P3.T3)41
61
Q3 - 6:40NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
5.4%
61
94.6%
Q3 - 6:40NOHSmith 1' Putback Slam Dunk (12 PTS)41
5.4%
61
94.6%
Q3 - 6:42NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
7.0%
59
93.0%
Q3 - 6:53ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (17 PTS)41
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q3 - 7:16NOHSmith 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jack 8 AST)39
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q3 - 7:31ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)39
6.9%
57
93.1%
Q3 - 7:55NOHBelinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q3 - 8:14ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)39
11.2%
54
88.8%
Q3 - 8:14NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P2.T2)38
54
Q3 - 8:14ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS)38
54
Q3 - 8:29ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
8.6%
54
91.4%
Q3 - 8:32NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 236
8.4%
54
91.6%
Q3 - 8:32ORLSUB: Clark FOR Davis36
54
Q3 - 8:32NOHHORNETS Rebound36
54
Q3 - 8:32NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 236
7.9%
54
92.1%
Q3 - 8:32ORLDavis S.FOUL (P2.T2)36
54
Q3 - 8:37NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)36
7.4%
54
92.6%
Q3 - 8:38NOHMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot36
8.2%
54
91.8%
Q3 - 8:58ORLDuhon 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)36
7.4%
54
92.6%
Q3 - 9:19ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)34
54
Q3 - 9:19NOHBelinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jack 7 AST)34
6.9%
54
93.1%
Q3 - 9:30NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q3 - 9:31ORLMISS Richardson 14' Jump Shot34
9.4%
51
90.6%
Q3 - 9:48NOHSmith 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jack 6 AST)34
10.3%
51
89.7%
Q3 - 10:01ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P4.T15)34
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q3 - 10:01ORLTurkoglu OFF.Foul (P3)34
49
Q3 - 10:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)34
14.4%
49
85.6%
Q3 - 10:19NOHMISS Ariza 13' Jump Shot34
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q3 - 10:31ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P2.T1)34
49
Q3 - 10:42ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)34
12.6%
49
87.4%
Q3 - 10:42ORLMagic Rebound34
14.4%
49
85.6%
Q3 - 10:42ORLMISS Duhon 4' Jump Shot34
13.1%
49
86.9%
Q3 - 10:58NOHBelinelli P.FOUL (P1.T1)34
49
Q3 - 11:14NOHAriza 2' Driving Layup (3 PTS)34
15.4%
49
84.6%
Q3 - 11:32ORLOkafor STEAL (2 STL)34
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q3 - 11:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)34
19.3%
47
80.7%
Q3 - 11:46NOHMISS Jack 3' Jump Shot34
18.6%
47
81.4%
Q3 - 12:0034
47
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL34
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound34
19.3%
47
80.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
17.7%
47
82.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLSUB: Davis FOR Wafer34
47
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHAminu P.FOUL (P2.T4)34
47
Q2 - 0:06.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)34
20.1%
47
79.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0NOHOkafor 5' Tip Shot (9 PTS)34
20.1%
47
79.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0NOHMISS Aminu 8' Jump Shot34
24.2%
45
75.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
22.9%
45
77.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot34
23.4%
45
76.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
24.7%
45
75.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 234
24.4%
45
75.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0NOHAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
23.0%
45
77.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0ORLRichardson S.FOUL (P2.PN)34
44
Q2 - 1:10ORLHoward 3' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Duhon 4 AST)34
26.1%
44
73.9%
Q2 - 1:32NOHAminu Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)32
22.9%
44
77.1%
Q2 - 1:32ORLWafer S.FOUL (P1.T4)32
43
Q2 - 1:32NOHAminu 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)32
43
Q2 - 1:47ORLJack STEAL (2 STL)32
28.6%
41
71.4%
Q2 - 2:02ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)32
41
Q2 - 2:02NOHSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
31.7%
41
68.3%
Q2 - 2:21ORLRichardson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)32
29.0%
41
71.0%
Q2 - 2:53NOHJack 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
26.4%
41
73.6%
Q2 - 3:12ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T11)30
29.6%
39
70.4%
Q2 - 3:12ORLHoward OFF.Foul (P1)30
39
Q2 - 3:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)30
32.7%
39
67.3%
Q2 - 3:23NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Vasquez30
39
Q2 - 3:23NOHMISS Jack Free Throw 2 of 230
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 3:23ORLSUB: Wafer FOR Redick30
39
Q2 - 3:23ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Nelson30
39
Q2 - 3:23NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
30.3%
39
69.7%
Q2 - 3:23ORLNelson Shooting Block Foul (P1.T3)30
38
Q2 - 3:26ORLAminu STEAL (1 STL)30
32.2%
38
67.8%
Q2 - 3:43NOHOkafor 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)30
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 3:50NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
37.8%
36
62.2%
Q2 - 3:52ORLMISS Howard 10' Hook Shot30
38.8%
36
61.2%
Q2 - 4:04ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
41.4%
36
58.6%
Q2 - 4:05NOHMISS Vasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
40.5%
36
59.5%
Q2 - 4:21NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
38.3%
36
61.7%
Q2 - 4:23NOHMISS Aminu 3PT Jump Shot30
40.5%
36
59.5%
Q2 - 4:44NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
38.3%
36
61.7%
Q2 - 4:45ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
39.3%
36
60.7%
Q2 - 5:03NOHSmith 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)30
42.0%
36
58.0%
Q2 - 5:18ORLHoward 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)30
44.9%
34
55.1%
Q2 - 5:38NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
41.9%
34
58.1%
Q2 - 5:38NOHOkafor 1' Putback Dunk (5 PTS)28
41.9%
34
58.1%
Q2 - 5:40NOHMISS Jack 2' Layup28
46.8%
32
53.2%
Q2 - 5:59ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
44.9%
32
55.1%
Q2 - 5:59ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
43.8%
32
56.2%
Q2 - 5:59ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Davis26
32
Q2 - 5:59NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)26
32
Q2 - 5:59NOHAminu S.FOUL (P1.T3)26
32
Q2 - 6:17ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
42.7%
32
57.3%
Q2 - 6:19NOHMISS Vasquez Free Throw 1 of 126
42.3%
32
57.7%
Q2 - 6:19NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Ayon26
32
Q2 - 6:19NOHSUB: Jack FOR Henry26
32
Q2 - 6:19ORLSUB: Howard FOR Clark26
32
Q2 - 6:19ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Richardson26
32
Q2 - 6:19NOHSUB: Smith FOR Landry26
32
Q2 - 6:19ORLRedick S.FOUL (P1.T2)26
32
Q2 - 6:19NOHVasquez 2' Layup (2 PTS)26
32
Q2 - 6:22ORLLandry STEAL (1 STL)26
45.0%
30
55.0%
Q2 - 6:42ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
48.2%
30
51.8%
Q2 - 6:46NOHMISS Aminu 18' Jump Shot26
47.2%
30
52.8%
Q2 - 6:52NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
45.0%
30
55.0%
Q2 - 6:54ORLMISS Davis 2' Layup26
46.0%
30
54.0%
Q2 - 7:18NOHAminu 4' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)26
48.6%
30
51.4%
Q2 - 7:33NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
51.0%
28
49.0%
Q2 - 7:35ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
51.9%
28
48.1%
Q2 - 7:46NOHLandry P.FOUL (P1.T2)26
28
Q2 - 7:50ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
54.0%
28
46.0%
Q2 - 7:51NOHMISS Landry 15' Jump Shot26
53.1%
28
46.9%
Q2 - 8:04ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Duhon26
28
Q2 - 8:0426
28
Q2 - 8:04NOHHORNETS Rebound26
51.4%
28
48.6%
Q2 - 8:04NOHMISS Vasquez 2' Layup26
53.3%
28
46.7%
Q2 - 8:08NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
51.4%
28
48.6%
Q2 - 8:10ORLAyon BLOCK (1 BLK)26
52.2%
28
47.8%
Q2 - 8:29NOHLandry 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)26
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 8:49ORLRedick 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)26
56.6%
26
43.4%
Q2 - 9:01NOHLandry Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)23
51.6%
26
48.4%
Q2 - 9:01ORLClark S.FOUL (P2.T1)23
25
Q2 - 9:01NOHLandry 2' Layup (8 PTS)23
25
Q2 - 9:18ORLClark 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)23
56.6%
23
43.4%
Q2 - 9:29ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
54.2%
23
45.8%
Q2 - 9:30NOHMISS Ayon 15' Jump Shot21
53.4%
23
46.6%
Q2 - 9:55ORLDavis 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)21
51.5%
23
48.5%
Q2 - 10:10NOHLandry Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)19
49.1%
23
50.9%
Q2 - 10:27NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
46.3%
23
53.7%
Q2 - 10:28ORLMISS Richardson 28' 3PT Jump Shot19
47.1%
23
52.9%
Q2 - 10:42NOHHenry P.FOUL (P1.T1)19
23
Q2 - 10:53NOHHenry Foul Turnover (P1.T3)19
49.1%
23
50.9%
Q2 - 10:53NOHAyon OFF.Foul (P1)19
23
Q2 - 11:04NOHJump Ball Aminu vs. Clark: Tip to Landry19
23
Q2 - 11:23ORLAyon STEAL (1 STL)19
46.4%
23
53.6%
Q2 - 11:36ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q2 - 11:37NOHMISS Aminu 22' Jump Shot19
48.2%
23
51.8%
Q2 - 12:0019
23
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH19
46.4%
23
53.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound19
46.4%
23
53.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Okafor 7' Jump Shot19
48.2%
23
51.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0ORLOkafor STEAL (1 STL)19
47.0%
23
53.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
48.8%
23
51.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0NOHMISS Landry 19' Jump Shot19
48.3%
23
51.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLRichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)19
47.0%
23
53.0%
Q1 - 1:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)16
41.7%
23
58.3%
Q1 - 1:02NOHMISS Ariza 11' Jump Shot16
41.8%
23
58.2%
Q1 - 1:08NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)16
40.7%
23
59.3%
Q1 - 1:11ORLMISS Clark 22' Jump Shot16
41.1%
23
58.9%
Q1 - 1:30NOHLandry 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
42.2%
23
57.8%
Q1 - 1:47ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Clark 1 AST)16
45.2%
21
54.8%
Q1 - 1:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)13
40.0%
21
60.0%
Q1 - 1:56NOHMISS Belinelli 18' Jump Shot13
39.5%
21
60.5%
Q1 - 2:13NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
38.7%
21
61.3%
Q1 - 2:14ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
39.3%
21
60.7%
Q1 - 2:37ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
40.7%
21
59.3%
Q1 - 2:39NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 213
40.4%
21
59.6%
Q1 - 2:39NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
39.3%
21
60.7%
Q1 - 2:39ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Turkoglu13
20
Q1 - 2:39NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
20
Q1 - 2:39ORLClark S.FOUL (P1.T3)13
20
Q1 - 2:58ORLHoward 2' Layup (6 PTS)13
40.9%
20
59.1%
Q1 - 3:19NOHLandry 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
39.1%
20
60.9%
Q1 - 3:38ORLAriza STEAL (2 STL)11
18
Q1 - 3:48NOHMISS Belinelli 21' Jump Shot11
42.7%
18
57.3%
Q1 - 3:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)11
41.1%
18
58.9%
Q1 - 4:05ORLSUB: Clark FOR Davis11
18
Q1 - 4:05NOHSUB: Vasquez FOR Jack11
18
Q1 - 4:05ORLAriza STEAL (1 STL)11
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q1 - 4:05ORLTurkoglu L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)11
18
Q1 - 4:23NOHLandry 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
44.6%
18
55.4%
Q1 - 4:35ORLDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T4)11
46.5%
16
53.5%
Q1 - 4:35ORLDavis L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)11
16
Q1 - 4:38ORLMagic Rebound11
48.7%
16
51.3%
Q1 - 4:38ORLMISS Duhon 18' Jump Shot11
47.2%
16
52.8%
Q1 - 4:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
48.7%
16
51.3%
Q1 - 4:45NOHMISS Ariza 4' Jump Shot11
48.1%
16
51.9%
Q1 - 4:56ORLSUB: Redick FOR Richardson11
16
Q1 - 4:56NOHSUB: Landry FOR Smith11
16
Q1 - 4:56ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)11
46.6%
16
53.4%
Q1 - 5:02ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
48.9%
16
51.1%
Q1 - 5:03NOHMISS Okafor 15' Jump Shot11
48.3%
16
51.7%
Q1 - 5:12NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
46.9%
16
53.1%
Q1 - 5:14ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot11
47.5%
16
52.5%
Q1 - 5:30NOHJack 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
49.0%
16
51.0%
Q1 - 5:41NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
50.7%
14
49.3%
Q1 - 5:42ORLMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot11
51.4%
14
48.6%
Q1 - 6:00ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Nelson11
14
Q1 - 6:00ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)11
14
Q1 - 6:08NOHBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)11
52.9%
14
47.1%
Q1 - 6:15ORLJack STEAL (1 STL)11
56.3%
11
43.7%
Q1 - 6:31NOHJack 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)11
58.0%
11
42.0%
Q1 - 6:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
59.5%
9
40.5%
Q1 - 6:41ORLHoward 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)11
59.5%
9
40.5%
Q1 - 6:44ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
56.8%
9
43.2%
Q1 - 7:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
58.0%
9
42.0%
Q1 - 7:06NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
57.5%
9
42.5%
Q1 - 7:09NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
56.3%
9
43.7%
Q1 - 7:10NOHMISS Ariza 3' Jump Shot9
57.5%
9
42.5%
Q1 - 7:23NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
56.2%
9
43.8%
Q1 - 7:24ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot9
56.8%
9
43.2%
Q1 - 7:35NOHOkafor 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)9
57.9%
9
42.1%
Q1 - 7:44NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
59.1%
7
40.9%
Q1 - 7:45ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
59.6%
7
40.4%
Q1 - 7:58ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
60.6%
7
39.4%
Q1 - 7:59NOHMISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot9
60.1%
7
39.9%
Q1 - 8:20ORLNelson 6' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
59.1%
7
40.9%
Q1 - 8:31NOHSmith 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)7
57.7%
7
42.3%
Q1 - 8:50ORLDavis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)7
58.8%
5
41.2%
Q1 - 9:12NOHSmith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)5
57.6%
5
42.4%
Q1 - 9:26ORLRichardson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)5
58.5%
3
41.5%
Q1 - 9:26ORLRichardson OFF.Foul (P1)5
3
Q1 - 9:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
59.4%
3
40.6%
Q1 - 9:29NOHMISS Belinelli 22' Jump Shot5
59.1%
3
40.9%
Q1 - 9:40ORLHoward 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)5
58.3%
3
41.7%
Q1 - 9:49NOHOkafor P.FOUL (P1.T1)3
3
Q1 - 9:58ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
57.1%
3
42.9%
Q1 - 9:59NOHMISS Jack 9' Jump Shot3
56.8%
3
43.2%
Q1 - 10:05NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
56.1%
3
43.9%
Q1 - 10:06ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
56.4%
3
43.6%
Q1 - 10:26NOHBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)3
56.8%
3
43.2%
Q1 - 10:37NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
57.8%
0
42.2%
Q1 - 10:38ORLMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot3
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 10:46NOHBelinelli Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)3
58.2%
0
41.8%
Q1 - 10:51NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 10:55ORLMISS Richardson 3' Jump Shot3
57.5%
0
42.5%
Q1 - 11:13NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)3
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 11:13NOHHORNETS Rebound3
56.8%
0
43.2%
Q1 - 11:13NOHMISS Ariza 28' 3PT Jump Shot3
57.0%
0
43.0%
Q1 - 11:42ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)3
55.8%
0
44.2%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
55.2%
0
44.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLNOH
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.92 45.9%
NOH
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
8
19
42%
NOH
19
28
68%
Midrange
ORL
10
21
48%
NOH
17
39
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
NOH
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
ORL
13
21
62%
NOH
6
16
38%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2864%14.0 / 22
J. Redick990%4.5 / 5
C. Duhon643%3.0 / 7
G. Davis433%2.0 / 6
E. Clark433%2.0 / 6
V. Wafer4100%2.0 / 2
H. Turkoglu321%1.5 / 7
Q. Richardson350%1.5 / 3
J. Richardson217%1.0 / 6
J. Nelson225%1.0 / 4
D. Orton2100%1.0 / 1
L. Hughes0-0.0 / 1
J. Harper0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Landry1765%8.5 / 13
M. Belinelli1558%7.5 / 13
J. Smith1478%7.0 / 9
J. Jack1150%5.5 / 11
E. Okafor945%4.5 / 10
A. Aminu956%4.5 / 8
G. Vasquez844%4.0 / 9
T. Ariza525%2.5 / 10
D. Summers3150%1.5 / 1
X. Henry2100%1.0 / 1
G. Ayon0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
65
+9
-22
74
NOH
73
+15
-12
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.92 45.9%
NOH
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
100.9
ORL 77.0
NOH 109.4 +32.4
Pace
88.9
88.4
ORL 86.3 +0.6
NOH 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.4
ORL 16.7 −0.1
NOH 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
47.6%
ORL 44.3%
NOH 53.7% +9.4%
TO %
15.7%
16.5%
ORL 24.7%
NOH 12.9% −11.8%
ORB %
26.5%
27.6%
ORL 13.9%
NOH 27.9% +14.0%
FTrt
29.2
27.4
ORL 34.4 +14.6
NOH 19.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
59.5%
ORL 62.5% +13.7%
NOH 48.8%
STL %
7.6%
8.3%
ORL 5.7%
NOH 16.5% +10.8%
BLK %
6.7%
8.2%
ORL 7.5%
NOH 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.6%
50.1%
ORL 45.9%
NOH 51.1% +5.2%
Rim FG%
57.7%
56.0%
ORL 42.1%
NOH 67.9% +25.8%
Mid FG%
34.8%
40.6%
ORL 47.6% +4.0%
NOH 43.6%
3P %
37.5%
33.3%
ORL 28.6%
NOH 35.7% +7.1%
FT %
66.0%
75.7%
ORL 61.9% +24.4%
NOH 37.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
36.3%
ORL 31.1%
NOH 34.6% +3.4%
Mid Att. %
29.0%
48.5%
ORL 34.4% −13.7%
NOH 48.1%
3P Att. %
34.6%
15.2%
ORL 34.4% +17.1%
NOH 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3 and 3.
Game TotalsORLNOH
Possessions8785
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points6793
Rebounds3643
Assists1520
Steals514
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)22 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)31 (2)
Field Goals24-6141-81
At-the-Rim FG8-1919-28
Midrange FG10-2117-39
2-Point FG18-4036-67
3-Point FG6-215-14
Free Throws13-216-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 26
39.2
28
64%
16
3
2
1
4
3
3
13
10-17
59%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 33
29.9
3
21%
3
1
1
0
6
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-6
17%
G · 6'6" 225 · 31
24.1
2
17%
5
3
0
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 289 · 26
17.4
4
33%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 30
10.7
2
25%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 29
30.8
6
43%
3
5
0
0
3
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28
24.6
9
90%
2
2
1
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-5
60%
F · 6'10" 234 · 24
22.4
4
33%
2
1
1
2
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 228 · 32
20.3
3
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 209 · 27
7.7
4
100%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 33
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 275 · 21
3.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 22
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#34 · G · 6'6" 209 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'10" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
67
46%
36
15
5
5
22
0
5
31
13-21
62%
18-40
45%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.