Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Raptors	21%	93	81	92.0	88	84.0
	8	Nuggets	79%	104	96	106.7	90	94.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 22	33.0	8	25%	4	3	0	0	3	2	2	2	2-2	100%	3-14	21%	0-1	0%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 30	31.6	9	45%	1	2	0	0	3	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	1-3	33%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 25	26.7	16	73%	3	2	2	1	0	6	2	1	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	1-1	100%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 27	25.3	2	14%	8	4	1	0	0	3	1	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 27	15.3	0	0%	11	0	0	1	2	4	4	7	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Leandro Barbosa G · 6'3" 194 · 29	22.6	19	63%	0	3	2	0	1	1	0	0	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23	18.1	5	36%	6	1	1	2	1	4	1	5	1-3	33%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 33	17.6	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 23	16.4	18	90%	2	3	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-5	80%
Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25	14.5	4	50%	2	1	0	1	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 34	13.6	0	0%	6	0	0	0	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Forbes F · 6'7" 220 · 27	5.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Solomon Alabi C · 7'1" 252 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrea Bargnani #7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Anthony Carter #25 · G · 6'1" 190 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	81	46%	43	21	7	5	15	0	11	32	10-14	71%	25-63	40%	7-19	37%

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26 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 22	33.0	8	25%	4	3	0	0	3	2	2	2	2-2	100%	3-14	21%	0-1	0%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 30	31.6	9	45%	1	2	0	0	3	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	1-3	33%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 25	26.7	16	73%	3	2	2	1	0	6	2	1	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	1-1	100%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 27	25.3	2	14%	8	4	1	0	0	3	1	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 27	15.3	0	0%	11	0	0	1	2	4	4	7	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Leandro Barbosa G · 6'3" 194 · 29	22.6	19	63%	0	3	2	0	1	1	0	0	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23	18.1	5	36%	6	1	1	2	1	4	1	5	1-3	33%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 33	17.6	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 23	16.4	18	90%	2	3	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-5	80%
Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25	14.5	4	50%	2	1	0	1	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 34	13.6	0	0%	6	0	0	0	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Forbes F · 6'7" 220 · 27	5.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Solomon Alabi C · 7'1" 252 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrea Bargnani #7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Anthony Carter #25 · G · 6'1" 190 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	81	46%	43	21	7	5	15	0	11	32	10-14	71%	25-63	40%	7-19	37%

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8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	39.1	13	54%	6	12	2	0	6	2	2	4	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	36.4	21	50%	7	0	0	1	0	1	0	7	5-7	71%	5-8	63%	2-10	20%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	33.8	20	59%	10	0	3	1	1	1	3	7	10-14	71%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	20.5	0	0%	1	2	0	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	17.0	4	50%	8	0	0	2	3	2	0	8	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	33.2	23	105%	1	1	3	0	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	5-7	71%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	26.2	9	41%	5	2	0	0	2	0	0	5	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	20.0	6	75%	5	0	0	0	0	2	1	4	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	8.4	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	5.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeMarre Carroll #0 · F · 6'8" 215 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ty Lawson #3 · G · 5'11" 195 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	55%	46	18	8	5	13	0	8	38	24-32	75%	24-43	56%	8-27	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.91 45.5%

DEN

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

14

21

67%

DEN

14

22

64%

Midrange

TOR

11

42

26%

DEN

10

21

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

7

10.5

19

37%

55%

DEN

8

12.0

27

30%

44%

Free Throws

TOR

10

14

71%

DEN

24

32

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Barbosa	19	63%	9.5 / 15
J. Bayless	18	90%	9.0 / 10
J. Johnson	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Calderon	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. DeRozan	8	25%	4.0 / 16
E. Davis	5	36%	2.5 / 7
A. Johnson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Kleiza	2	14%	1.0 / 7
A. Gray	0	-	0.0 / 2
R. Butler	0	-	0.0 / 2
G. Forbes	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Fernandez	23	105%	11.5 / 11
D. Gallinari	21	50%	10.5 / 21
Nene	20	59%	10.0 / 17
A. Miller	13	54%	6.5 / 12
A. Harrington	9	41%	4.5 / 11
C. Brewer	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Mozgov	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Afflalo	0	-	0.0 / 3
K. Koufos	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 100.5 2 109.3	TOR 92.0 DEN 106.7 +14.6
Pace	25 89.6 2 94.1	TOR 84.0 DEN 94.5 +10.6
Avg. Poss. Time	1 16.6 30 14.6	TOR 17.1 DEN 15.2 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 47.5% 2 51.6%	TOR 43.3% DEN 51.4% +8.1%
TO %	26 16.1% 20 15.7%	TOR 15.4% DEN 13.4% −2.0%
ORB %	22 26.0% 13 27.7%	TOR 22.4% +2.4% DEN 20.0%
FTrt	16 27.4 2 32.6	TOR 17.1 DEN 45.7 +28.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 60.9% 4 61.5%	TOR 65.6% +9.3% DEN 56.3%
STL %	26 7.2% 15 8.6%	TOR 8.0% DEN 8.9% +0.9%
BLK %	13 8.2% 16 8.1%	TOR 11.6% +3.7% DEN 7.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 50.2% 3 54.2%	TOR 45.5% DEN 55.2% +9.7%
Rim FG%	11 59.1% 8 59.7%	TOR 66.7% +3.1% DEN 63.6%
Mid FG%	23 37.2% 14 39.3%	TOR 26.2% DEN 47.6% +21.4%
3P %	19 34.0% 24 33.2%	TOR 36.8% +7.2% DEN 29.6%
FT %	12 77.0% 24 73.6%	TOR 71.4% DEN 75.0% +3.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 34.1% 1 48.0%	TOR 25.6% DEN 31.4% +5.8%
Mid Att. %	25 45.1% 1 27.7%	TOR 51.2% DEN 30.0% −21.2%
3P Att. %	19 20.9% 12 24.3%	TOR 23.2% DEN 38.6% +15.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	TOR	DEN
Possessions	88	90
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	81	96
Rebounds	43	46
Assists	21	18
Steals	7	8
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	38 (0)
Field Goals	32-82	32-70
At-the-Rim FG	14-21	14-22
Midrange FG	11-42	10-21
2-Point FG	25-63	24-43
3-Point FG	7-19	8-27
Free Throws	10-14	24-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg